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15595 NW 27th Ave
B Composite 72.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

15595 NW 27th Ave · Reddick, FL 32113
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1971 1.00 ac lot $108/sqft · 46% below area Est $184k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

Key facts

  • Florida room
  • 1 acre lot
  • 1 acre lot

Tags

1 ACRE LOTFLORIDA ROOMEXPANSIVE OUTDOOR AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 1.8% in Reddick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#845 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Reddick-Collier Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 334 students, 67% FRL); North Marion Middle School (math 35% / reading 34%, grade F, #421 of 571 statewide, top 74%, 803 students, 72% FRL); North Marion High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,303 students, 66% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $125k (56%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $100k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.11%
Cash-on-cash
13.64%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$184,164
List price
$100,000
Delta
-45.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$4,103
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$29,809
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32113

Home prices YoY
-5.5%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,302 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,726/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $899
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $375 -5% $347 +0% $318 +5% $290 +10% $262
Rent -10% $216 -5% $267 +0% $318 +5% $370 +10% $421
Rate -1.0pp $369 -0.5pp $344 base $318 +0.5pp $292 +1.0pp $266

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $100,000 Pending 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    pricestatus $100,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  4. 2026-05-04
    price $135,000 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  5. 2026-04-24
    price $150,000 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  6. 2026-04-22
    status Active 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  7. 2026-04-22
    price $175,000 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  8. 2026-04-21
    status Pending 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  9. 2026-04-14
    status Active 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  10. 2026-04-11
    status Pending 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  11. 2026-03-18
    status Active 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  12. 2026-03-16
    status Pending 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  13. 2026-03-08
    listed $225,000 Active 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Under contract-accepting backup offers. investor motivated seller Welcome to your future oasis in Central Florida! This charming three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is perfectly situated between Marion County and Gainesville, providing you with the best of both worlds. Nestled on a generous * * 1-acre lot * * , this property is brimming with potential, offering ample space for your future dream. The converted garage has been transformed into a delightful Florida room, ideal for enjoying the serene surroundings and soaking up the warm sunshine. Whether you're looking to create a cozy retreat or expand your living space, this home provides the perfect canvas. Imagine cultivating a vibrant garden, hosting gatherings, or simply enjoying the peace and tranquility that this expansive outdoor area affords. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your own and unlock the full potential of this beautiful Central Florida gem!

  14. 2001-03-05
    soldstatus $50,000
  15. 1986-04-01
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,726 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,726 · $144/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,619
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,726
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,250
− Management
−$1,250
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,384
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$572
After-tax cash flow
$3,248/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Reddick

Score
58/100
State rank
#845
US rank
#21164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,382

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.68%
Current HPI
284.1669
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+462.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-11 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,726 · +17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…