900 Golden Wheel Park Dr #33 · San Jose, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home located in the Golden Wheel community. Built in 1972 and approximately 720 sq. ft. , this home features recent improvements including new flooring, updated light fixtures, a remodeled bathroom with a new sink and tile, and fresh interior paint. The exterior has also been freshly painted, and the fence has been repaired, giving the home a clean and well-maintained appearance. Golden Wheel is a well-established community offering convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. Ideally located near major highways 680, 880, and 101, making commuting throughout Silicon Valley simple and convenient. A great opportunity for affordable living in a central location.
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- New flooring
- Fresh interior paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $200k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Orchard Elementary (urban): math 51% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #225 of 1,400 in CA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.30%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $226,482
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- -2.86%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900 Golden Wheel Park #120 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 725 (+1%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $317 | 87 |
| 900 Golden Wheel Park #15 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 23mo | $200,000 | $278 | 81 |
| 900 Golden Wheel Park Dr #32 | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 624 (-13%) | 20mo | $199,000 | $319 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $21,497
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $103,531
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Jose
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+24
ZIP-level market 95112
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,984 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$627
- Net cashflow
- $837
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $989 | -5% $913 | +0% $837 | +5% $761 | +10% $685 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $601 | -5% $719 | +0% $837 | +5% $955 | +10% $1,073 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $948 | -0.5pp $893 | base $837 | +0.5pp $780 | +1.0pp $722 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1331 Lakeshore Cir San Jose, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1017 | $3,932 | $3.86 | 2d | 28 | 0.73mi |
| 1501 Berryessa Rd San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $4,734 | $4.90 | 2d | 31 | 0.86mi |
| 1543 Ambergrove Dr San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $2,700 | $4.14 | 2d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 925 N Bayshore Rd W Unit 925-07 San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 437 | $1,625 | $3.72 | 11d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 925 N Bayshore Rd W San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 437 | $1,850 | $4.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 925 N Bayshore Rd W San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 437 | $1,625 | $3.72 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1416 Rue Avati Unit 3 San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 420 | $2,033 | $4.84 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1700 N 1st St San Jose, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 941 | $3,667 | $3.90 | 2d | 8 | 1.07mi |
| 60 E Rosemary St San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 606 | $2,202 | $3.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 30 E Rosemary St San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 533 | $2,026 | $3.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1729 N 1st St San Jose, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $4,707 | $5.31 | 2d | 12 | 1.23mi |
| 817 N 10th St San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $3,749 | $4.40 | 2d | 10 | 1.23mi |
| 263 E Hedding St #1535 San Jose, CA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1629 | $3,640 | $2.23 | 4d | 2 | 1.24mi |
| 750 N 23rd St San Jose, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,799 | $3.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 415 E Taylor St San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $4,595 | $5.11 | 2d | 11 | 1.34mi |
| 73 E Hedding St #1738 San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $2,720 | $4.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 630 N 16th St San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,995 | $3.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 67 E Hedding St #1737 San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $2,820 | $4.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1231 Forrestal Ave Unit 2 San Jose, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 433 | $2,000 | $4.62 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $220,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $220,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $220,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $230,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $240,000 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home located in the Golden Wheel community. Built in 1972 and approximately 720 sq. ft. , this home features recent improvements including new flooring, updated light fixtures, a remodeled bathroom with a new sink and tile, and fresh interior paint. The exterior has also been freshly painted, and the fence has been repaired, giving the home a clean and well-maintained appearance. Golden Wheel is a well-established community offering convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. Ideally located near major highways 680, 880, and 101, making commuting throughout Silicon Valley simple and convenient. A great opportunity for affordable living in a central location.
-
2026-03-17price $240,000 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home located in the Golden Wheel community. Built in 1972 and approximately 720 sq. ft. , this home features recent improvements including new flooring, updated light fixtures, a remodeled bathroom with a new sink and tile, and fresh interior paint. The exterior has also been freshly painted, and the fence has been repaired, giving the home a clean and well-maintained appearance. Golden Wheel is a well-established community offering convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. Ideally located near major highways 680, 880, and 101, making commuting throughout Silicon Valley simple and convenient. A great opportunity for affordable living in a central location.
-
2026-02-24$250,000 Active 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home located in the Golden Wheel community. Built in 1972 and approximately 720 sq. ft. , this home features recent improvements including new flooring, updated light fixtures, a remodeled bathroom with a new sink and tile, and fresh interior paint. The exterior has also been freshly painted, and the fence has been repaired, giving the home a clean and well-maintained appearance. Golden Wheel is a well-established community offering convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. Ideally located near major highways 680, 880, and 101, making commuting throughout Silicon Valley simple and convenient. A great opportunity for affordable living in a central location.
-
2026-02-24$250,000 Active 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home located in the Golden Wheel community. Built in 1972 and approximately 720 sq. ft. , this home features recent improvements including new flooring, updated light fixtures, a remodeled bathroom with a new sink and tile, and fresh interior paint. The exterior has also been freshly painted, and the fence has been repaired, giving the home a clean and well-maintained appearance. Golden Wheel is a well-established community offering convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. Ideally located near major highways 680, 880, and 101, making commuting throughout Silicon Valley simple and convenient. A great opportunity for affordable living in a central location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,807
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,300
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,865
- − Management
- −$2,865
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable income
- $6,954
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,669
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,374/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orchard Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0628680
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $108,165
- Composite
- 54.67/100
- National rank
- #2853
- State rank
- #225 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Jose
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #2559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Jose, CA
- County
- Santa Clara County · 1,806,974 people
- City population
- 954,479
- Metro
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,373
- Household income
- $89,103
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4364.0
Population outlook (Santa Clara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,179,074 people
- By 2030
- 2,301,297 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 2,528,195 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 2,712,135 · +24.5%
- By 2075
- 2,998,701 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 2,931,429 · +34.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% Asian 27% White 22% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 29% Vietnamese 9% Chinese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Clara
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+40.0) · D 68.1% · R 28.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: 40.9pp · 2024: 40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+40.0 2020: D+47.4 2016: D+52.5 2012: D+42.1 2008: D+40.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1025.61%
- Current HPI
- 297.1788
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.25%
- Metro
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $240,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $240,000 MLSListings
- 2026-02-24 Listed $250,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-02-24 Listed $250,000 MLSListings
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…