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70 Welles Ave
C Composite 57.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

70 Welles Ave · Kingston, PA 18704
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1925 2,200 sqft lot $135/sqft · 6% above area Est $205k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

cozy 2 bedroom with hard wood floors and nice fenced in yard. this property is sold as is.

Key facts

  • 2,200 sq ft lot
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Lot is cleared

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Eight total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (0.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (0.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.0% in Kingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#162 in PA, #1,345 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $155k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,481 (0.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.23%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$205,002
List price
$155,000
Delta
-24.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
77 Goodwin Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+1%) 9mo $150,000 $130 77
52 Welles Ave 0.01mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+6%) 19mo $165,000 $136 71
121 Gates Ave 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,300 (+14%) 2mo $185,000 $142 66
76 Loveland Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,250 (+9%) 12mo $190,000 $152 62
230 Wright Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,260 (+10%) 6mo $147,500 $117 58
214 Spruce St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,140 (-0%) 8mo $190,000 $167 58
123 N Thomas Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,277 (+12%) 22mo $200,000 $157 53
88 Goodwin Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,312 (+15%) 7mo $187,000 $143 50
903 Market St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,296 (+13%) 24mo $115,000 $89 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-16,937
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$3,662
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18704

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,545 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,280/yr
Insurance
$65
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,435
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20 N Loveland Ave Kingston, PA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,775 $1.27 13d 1 0.09mi
27 S Gates Ave Kingston, PA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 21d 1 0.18mi
300 Market St Ste 104 Kingston, PA 2.0 2.0 873 $1,950 $2.23 13d 1 0.26mi
73 2nd Ave Kingston, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $950 $0.79 21d 1 0.31mi
238 Rutter Ave Kingston, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,050 $0.88 43d 1 0.32mi
266 Rutter Ave Unit 2 Kingston, PA 2.0 1.0 875 $1,270 $1.45 43d 1 0.33mi
313 Rutter Ave Kingston, PA 2.0 1.0 727 $1,450 $1.99 43d 1 0.33mi
115 1st Ave Unit 115 Kingston, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 13d 1 0.39mi
200 Gateway Dr Kingston, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1130 $3,219 $2.85 13d 1 0.42mi
40 N Dawes Ave Kingston, PA 3.0 1.5 1450 $1,800 $1.24 21d 1 0.43mi
41 Main St Kingston, PA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 21d 1 0.44mi
400 N Gates Ave Unit 1 Kingston, PA 2.0 2.0 1198 $1,300 $1.09 43d 1 0.44mi
100 Parkway Blvd Kingston, PA 2.0 1.0 650 $1,400 $2.15 13d 1 0.53mi
47 Price St Apt 2 Kingston, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 43d 1 0.76mi
9-10 Meyers Ct Kingston, PA 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 21d 1 0.77mi
59 Price St Unit 2 Kingston, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 43d 1 0.78mi
19 N River St Unit 308 Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.0 1.5 910 $1,600 $1.76 13d 1 0.81mi
19 N River St Unit 403 Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 723 $1,600 $2.21 13d 1 0.81mi
38 W Market St Unit 3 Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 1388 $1,295 $0.93 13d 1 0.86mi
98 N Franklin St Unit 2 Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.0 2.0 1254 $1,650 $1.32 13d 1 0.88mi
206 Zerby Ave Edwardsville, PA 2.0 1.0 741 $1,200 $1.62 13d 1 0.89mi
27 Penn St Kingston, PA 3.0 1.5 1225 $1,550 $1.27 21d 1 0.93mi
104 Meyers St Kingston, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 43d 1 0.93mi
27 1/2 Penn St Kingston, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 43d 1 0.94mi
41 Pulaski St Kingston, PA 3.0 1.5 1292 $1,450 $1.12 21d 1 0.95mi
36 Pulaski St Kingston, PA 3.0 2.0 1432 $1,600 $1.12 13d 1 0.95mi
150 S Franklin St Wilkes Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,750 $2.06 43d 1 0.97mi
570 Main St Edwardsville, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,180 $1.07 43d 1 0.98mi
159 New Mallery Pl Unit 2 Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 1020 $950 $0.93 43d 1 0.99mi
26 Stanley St Wilkes Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,650 $1.74 43d 1 0.99mi
224 New Mallery Pl Wilkes Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 13d 1 1.00mi
157 E Walnut St Kingston, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 13d 1 1.01mi
151 E Walnut St Kingston, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 13d 1 1.02mi
67-69 Public Sq Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 910 $1,875 $2.06 43d 1 1.03mi
67-69 Public Sq #1203 Wilkes Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 875 $1,825 $2.09 43d 1 1.03mi
155 W River St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,425 $1.30 43d 1 1.04mi
98 E Walnut St Kingston, PA 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,500 $1.17 21d 1 1.08mi
11 Holiday Dr Kingston, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1083 $2,639 $2.44 13d 14 1.09mi
182 Roosevelt St Kingston, PA 2.0 1.0 1152 $1,625 $1.41 13d 1 1.09mi
109 Penn St Unit 1 Kingston, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 13d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    listed $155,000 Active 195-char remark
  2. 2020-07-24
    soldstatus $63,000 90-char remark
    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    cozy 2 bedroom with hard wood floors and nice fenced in yard. this property is sold as is.

  3. 2020-04-27
    listed $67,600 90-char remark
    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    cozy 2 bedroom with hard wood floors and nice fenced in yard. this property is sold as is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,280 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,364 · $197/mo
Expected delta
+$85/yr (+$7/mo · 3.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,538
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,280
− Insurance
−$1,572
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,483
− Management
−$1,483
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$1,472
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$353
After-tax cash flow
$1,392/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wyoming Valley West SD
NCES district ID
4225950
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,437
Composite
25.38/100
National rank
#7470
State rank
#445 of 539 in PA

Livability — Kingston

Score
81/100
State rank
#162
US rank
#1345

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kingston, PA
County
Luzerne County · 118,885 people
City population
31,149
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Population (ZIP)
31,149
Household income
$64,444
Rent vs Own
39.9% rent · 60.1% own
Severe rent burden
1454.0

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 18% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.72%
Current HPI
255.5375
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending LCAR
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $155,000 LCAR
  • 2020-07-24 Sold (MLS) $63,000 LCAR
  • 2020-04-27 Listed $67,600 LCAR

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,280 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…