Duplex
448 Beach 64th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Renovated 2-family home offering an excellent opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. The first-floor unit is currently occupied by a tenant paying $3,200/month, providing immediate rental income, while the second-floor unit is vacant and ready for occupancy or market rent. Features include updated kitchens and bathrooms, spacious bedrooms, hardwood flooring, tile flooring, modern cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and abundant natural light throughout. Private driveway and separate living spaces make this a versatile investment. Conveniently located near transportation, shopping, schools, and local amenities.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Modern cabinetry
- Updated bathrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Duplex; Total building area approximately 2,016 sq. ft.
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $799k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-211/yr) — negative. Per door: $-9/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $796k (0.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $669k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $669k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,686/mo this rent would consume 161% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $85k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $80k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$137k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $450k; list at $799k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.19%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $790,272
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6235 Burchell Rd | 0.14mi | 5/3.0 | 2,000 (-1%) | 5mo | $867,347 | $434 | 88 |
| 609 Beach 63rd St | 0.21mi | 5/2.0 | 2,068 (+3%) | 7mo | $565,000 | $273 | 80 |
| 193 Beach 59th St | 0.28mi | 5/3.0 | 2,052 (+2%) | 6mo | $710,000 | $346 | 79 |
| 65-05 Beach Channel Dr | 0.14mi | 5/2.0 | 2,024 (+0%) | 21mo | $700,000 | $346 | 76 |
| 463 Beach 68th St | 0.24mi | 7/4.0 | 2,200 (+9%) | 1mo | $905,000 | $411 | 73 |
| 618 Beach 67th St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,946 (-4%) | 12mo | $715,000 | $367 | 72 |
| 69-43 Thursby Ave | 0.36mi | 5/2.0 | 2,068 (+3%) | 11mo | $810,000 | $392 | 69 |
| 62-04 Hillmeyer Rd | 0.29mi | 6/4.0 | 2,200 (+9%) | 10mo | $995,000 | $452 | 63 |
| 345 Beach 73rd St | 0.48mi | 5/2.0 | 1,926 (-4%) | 13mo | $550,000 | $286 | 59 |
| 6523 Seaspray Ave | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 | 2,258 (+12%) | 8mo | $1,170,000 | $518 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $434,003
- Equity at exit
- $719,803
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.72×
- Total profit
- $1,278,875
- Equity at exit
- $1,552,281
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11692
- Home prices YoY
- 14.4%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 19.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,686 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,404
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $6,686 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,343 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,343 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,686 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6935 Hessler Ave Arverne, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1596 | $3,300 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 75-18 Aquatic Dr Unit B Arverne, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2034 | $3,500 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 325 Beach 46th St Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2250 | $3,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1-76 Beach 97th St Unit 3 Rockaway Beach, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $4,000 | $2.67 | 7d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $799,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $799,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 633-char remark
-
2026-06-15$799,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,200 · $350/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,851 · $738/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,652/yr (+$388/mo · 110.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $80,232
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$4,200
- − Insurance
- −$9,114
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,419
- − Management
- −$6,419
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable loss
- −$13,919
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,340
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,734
- Household income
- $49,720
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1734.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 15% White 13% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 44.49%
- Current HPI
- 354.2007
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+77.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-28 Rental Removed — ONEKEY
- 2023-08-03 Listed for Rent — ONEKEY
- 2023-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,200 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…