Duplex
39 Seminole Pkwy · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$214,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Exceptional opportunity in the heart of South Buffalo on Seminole Parkway! This well-maintained two-family property offers the perfect combination of owner occupancy and investment potential. The first-floor unit has been beautifully renovated and features updates throughout, making it move-in ready for a new owner or tenant. The second-floor unit is tenant occupied, providing immediate rental income from day one. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or offset your mortgage with rental revenue, this property delivers flexibility and value. Situated on one of South Buffalo's most desirable parkways, you'll enjoy easy access to local shops, restaurants, parks, schools, a
Key facts
- Strong rental demand
- Second-floor unit
- First-floor unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total units; Two units in community
- Financial info: Owner pays water; Rent includes water; Operating expenses include water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2 stories; Existing structure (resale)
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; Near public transit; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance list provided
- Bedrooms: 2-unit property (unit counts listed under Multi Unit Information)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Two fireplaces; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $954 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $477/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,829/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $215k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.03%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,500
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Mineral Spring Rd | 0.02mi | 6/2.0 | 2,278 (-9%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $132 | 84 |
| 75 Juniata Pl | 0.32mi | 6/2.0 | 2,544 (+2%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $96 | 81 |
| 18 Sage Ave | 0.27mi | 6/2.0 | 2,578 (+3%) | 4mo | $164,500 | $64 | 79 |
| 96 Stevenson St | 0.36mi | 6/2.0 | 2,496 (-0%) | 6mo | $272,096 | $109 | 78 |
| 26 Kamper Ave | 0.29mi | 6/2.0 | 2,394 (-4%) | 3mo | $179,000 | $75 | 77 |
| 110 Armin Pl | 0.19mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,366 (-5%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $99 | 76 |
| 85 Geary St | 0.22mi | 6/2.0 | 2,780 (+11%) | 2mo | $267,500 | $96 | 69 |
| 389 Cumberland Ave | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,328 (-7%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $120 | 52 |
| 181 Willett St | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 | 2,704 (+8%) | 2mo | $301,000 | $111 | 51 |
| 35 Kimmel Ave | 0.69mi | 6/2.0 | 2,218 (-11%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $101 | 47 |
| 71 Buffum St | 0.55mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,136 (-15%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $75 | 40 |
| 54 Remoleno St | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,796 (+12%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $107 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $192,687
- Equity at exit
- $193,599
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.25×
- Total profit
- $556,508
- Equity at exit
- $417,503
Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14210
- Home prices YoY
- 13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 12.7%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,829 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $769/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$594
- Net cashflow
- $954
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,830 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,415 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,415 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,829 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,725
- Closing costs
- $6,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$214,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $769 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,201 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,431/yr (+$119/mo · 186.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,948
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,038
- − Property taxes
- −$769
- − Insurance
- −$1,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,716
- − Management
- −$2,716
- − Depreciation
- −$6,252
- Taxable income
- $8,383
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,012
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,563
- Household income
- $54,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 959.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.34%
- Current HPI
- 431.7951
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+974.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $214,900 WNYREIS
- 2019-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
- 2016-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2006-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $769 · +65.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…