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317 Chickagami Ln
D Composite 41.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$279,000

317 Chickagami Ln · Pocono Pines, PA 18350
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,488 sqft · Townhouse public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1984 871 sqft lot $188/sqft · at area comps Est $279k · at est. $575/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't let snow keep you away, Pinecrest shovels right up to your door! A large primary bedroom WITH FIREPLACE will keep you snug. Own a piece of Pocono Lake Life with this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome located in 5-star amenity-filled Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. Featuring a true stone fireplace in the living room, fresh paint, new flooring, replaced skylight, and new appliances, offering a bright and comfortable living space. Just a 2-minute walk to the beach, marina, outdoor pool, pickleball and tennis courts, fitness center, community garden, walking trails, and skating pond. Community amenities include a private 18-hole championship golf course and clubhouse with restaurant and bar. Association dues cover access to amenities, trash removal, snow removal, and exterior maintenance, including a recently updated pool. Short-term rentals are permitted, providing flexibility for personal use or investment. Convenient location with access to year-round recreation makes this an ideal primary residence, vacation home, or income-producing property.

Key facts

  • Replaced skylight
  • True stone fireplace
  • New flooring

Tags

PRIMARY BEDROOM WITH FIREPLACETRUE STONE FIREPLACENEW FLOORINGREPLACED SKYLIGHTNEW APPLIANCES2 MINUTE WALK TO BEACH

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Annual HOA fee of $6,900

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable TV available; Phone service available
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Above-grade finished living space
  • Construction: Frame construction; Crawl space foundation; Above- and below-grade structures; Year built estimated
  • Exterior features: Not located in a federal flood zone; Annual ground rent payment

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heat; Ceiling fans for cooling; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Two fireplaces; Assessor-listed living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $279k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-187 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (11.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $279k).
  • Recommended offer: $246k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.1% in Pocono Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#532 in PA, #4,925 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $207k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Recommended offer $246,037 (11.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
5.49%
Cash-on-cash
-2.87%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$278,502
List price
$279,000
Delta
0.18%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
513 Rondaxe Ln 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,488 (0%) 3mo $335,000 $225 94
823 Crest Pines Ln Ln 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,488 (0%) 10mo $299,000 $201 80
423 Woods Lake Ln 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,488 (0%) 16mo $200,000 $134 80
1532 Assembly Lodge Ln 0.19mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,468 (-1%) 10mo $285,000 $194 76
846 Crest Pines Ln 0.20mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-3%) 14mo $230,000 $160 74
1055 Crestwoods Dr 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-3%) 10mo $270,000 $188 73
325 Chickagami Ln 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,564 (+5%) 22mo $240,000 $153 72
833 Crest Pines Ln 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-3%) 16mo $340,000 $236 71
1061 Crestwoods Dr 0.28mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,631 (+10%) 4mo $300,000 $184 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.9%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-56,764
Equity at exit
$41,600
10-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-63,391
Equity at exit
$24,123

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18350

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,798 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,908/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$575
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$587
Net cashflow
$-187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,034
Max offer price $246,037
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-29 -5% $-108 +0% $-187 +5% $-266 +10% $-345
Rent -10% $-408 -5% $-297 +0% $-187 +5% $-76 +10% $34
Rate -1.0pp $-46 -0.5pp $-116 base $-187 +0.5pp $-259 +1.0pp $-332

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$575 · $6,900/yr
Likely covers
trashsnow removalexterior maint.poolgym

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $279,000 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $279,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $279,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $279,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $279,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $279,000 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $279,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $279,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $279,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,000 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $279,000 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $279,000 Active 1015-char remark
  18. 2026-01-21
    listed $279,000 Active 1087-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1087 chars)

    Don't let snow keep you away, Pinecrest shovels right up to your door! A large primary bedroom WITH FIREPLACE will keep you snug. Own a piece of Pocono Lake Life with this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome located in 5-star amenity-filled Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. Featuring a true stone fireplace in the living room, fresh paint, new flooring, replaced skylight, and new appliances, offering a bright and comfortable living space. Just a 2-minute walk to the beach, marina, outdoor pool, pickleball and tennis courts, fitness center, community garden, walking trails, and skating pond. Community amenities include a private 18-hole championship golf course and clubhouse with restaurant and bar. Association dues cover access to amenities, trash removal, snow removal, and exterior maintenance, including a recently updated pool. Short-term rentals are permitted, providing flexibility for personal use or investment. Convenient location with access to year-round recreation makes this an ideal primary residence, vacation home, or income-producing property.

  19. 2024-07-01
    soldstatus $207,000
  20. 2024-06-28
    soldstatus $207,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Property is Under Contract and considering back-up offers only at this time. Grab your slice of quintessential lake life with this well-maintained 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome in picturesque and amenity-filled Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. It's a 2 minute stroll to the beach, marina, outdoor pool, pickle ball and tennis complex, fitness center, community garden, walking trails, and skating pond. Other community amenities include a private 18-hole championship golf course and clubhouse restaurant & bar. Dues cover access to all amenities and conveniences, including trash and snow removal. NO separate membership fees and low initial capital contribution. Close to Camelback, Kalahari, and shopping.

  21. 2024-05-02
    listed $210,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Property is Under Contract and considering back-up offers only at this time. Grab your slice of quintessential lake life with this well-maintained 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome in picturesque and amenity-filled Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. It's a 2 minute stroll to the beach, marina, outdoor pool, pickle ball and tennis complex, fitness center, community garden, walking trails, and skating pond. Other community amenities include a private 18-hole championship golf course and clubhouse restaurant & bar. Dues cover access to all amenities and conveniences, including trash and snow removal. NO separate membership fees and low initial capital contribution. Close to Camelback, Kalahari, and shopping.

  22. 2009-06-29
    soldstatus $139,000
  23. 1997-12-02
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,908 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,658 · $305/mo
Expected delta
+$750/yr (+$63/mo · 25.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,570
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$2,908
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,686
− Management
−$2,686
− HOA
−$6,900
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable loss
−$6,748
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,620
After-tax cash flow
$-620/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pocono Pines

Score
74/100
State rank
#532
US rank
#4925

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pocono Pines, PA
City population
595
Population (ZIP)
595

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Asian 12% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 6% Russian 3%
Foreign-born
15% · South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Korean 12% Other Indo-European 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.00%
Current HPI
215.5562
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+248.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $279,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $279,000 PMAR
  • 2024-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $207,000 Public Records
  • 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) $207,000 PMAR
  • 2024-05-02 Listed $210,000 PMAR
  • 2009-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,908 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…