317 Chickagami Ln · Pocono Pines, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't let snow keep you away, Pinecrest shovels right up to your door! A large primary bedroom WITH FIREPLACE will keep you snug. Own a piece of Pocono Lake Life with this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome located in 5-star amenity-filled Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. Featuring a true stone fireplace in the living room, fresh paint, new flooring, replaced skylight, and new appliances, offering a bright and comfortable living space. Just a 2-minute walk to the beach, marina, outdoor pool, pickleball and tennis courts, fitness center, community garden, walking trails, and skating pond. Community amenities include a private 18-hole championship golf course and clubhouse with restaurant and bar. Association dues cover access to amenities, trash removal, snow removal, and exterior maintenance, including a recently updated pool. Short-term rentals are permitted, providing flexibility for personal use or investment. Convenient location with access to year-round recreation makes this an ideal primary residence, vacation home, or income-producing property.
Key facts
- Replaced skylight
- True stone fireplace
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Annual HOA fee of $6,900
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable TV available; Phone service available
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Above-grade finished living space
- Construction: Frame construction; Crawl space foundation; Above- and below-grade structures; Year built estimated
- Exterior features: Not located in a federal flood zone; Annual ground rent payment
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heat; Ceiling fans for cooling; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Two fireplaces; Assessor-listed living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-187 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (11.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $279k).
- Recommended offer: $246k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.1% in Pocono Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#532 in PA, #4,925 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $207k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.87%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,502
- List price
- $279,000
- Delta
- 0.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 513 Rondaxe Ln | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,488 (0%) | 3mo | $335,000 | $225 | 94 |
| 823 Crest Pines Ln Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,488 (0%) | 10mo | $299,000 | $201 | 80 |
| 423 Woods Lake Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,488 (0%) | 16mo | $200,000 | $134 | 80 |
| 1532 Assembly Lodge Ln | 0.19mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,468 (-1%) | 10mo | $285,000 | $194 | 76 |
| 846 Crest Pines Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (-3%) | 14mo | $230,000 | $160 | 74 |
| 1055 Crestwoods Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (-3%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $188 | 73 |
| 325 Chickagami Ln | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,564 (+5%) | 22mo | $240,000 | $153 | 72 |
| 833 Crest Pines Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (-3%) | 16mo | $340,000 | $236 | 71 |
| 1061 Crestwoods Dr | 0.28mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,631 (+10%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $184 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-56,764
- Equity at exit
- $41,600
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-63,391
- Equity at exit
- $24,123
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18350
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,798 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,908/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$575
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$587
- Net cashflow
- $-187
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-29 | -5% $-108 | +0% $-187 | +5% $-266 | +10% $-345 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-408 | -5% $-297 | +0% $-187 | +5% $-76 | +10% $34 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-46 | -0.5pp $-116 | base $-187 | +0.5pp $-259 | +1.0pp $-332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $575 · $6,900/yr
- Likely covers
- trashsnow removalexterior maint.poolgym
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $279,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $279,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $279,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $279,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $279,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $279,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$279,000 Active 1015-char remark
-
2026-01-21$279,000 Active 1087-char remark
Show marketing remark (1087 chars)
Don't let snow keep you away, Pinecrest shovels right up to your door! A large primary bedroom WITH FIREPLACE will keep you snug. Own a piece of Pocono Lake Life with this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome located in 5-star amenity-filled Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. Featuring a true stone fireplace in the living room, fresh paint, new flooring, replaced skylight, and new appliances, offering a bright and comfortable living space. Just a 2-minute walk to the beach, marina, outdoor pool, pickleball and tennis courts, fitness center, community garden, walking trails, and skating pond. Community amenities include a private 18-hole championship golf course and clubhouse with restaurant and bar. Association dues cover access to amenities, trash removal, snow removal, and exterior maintenance, including a recently updated pool. Short-term rentals are permitted, providing flexibility for personal use or investment. Convenient location with access to year-round recreation makes this an ideal primary residence, vacation home, or income-producing property.
-
2024-07-01soldstatus $207,000
-
2024-06-28soldstatus $207,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
Property is Under Contract and considering back-up offers only at this time. Grab your slice of quintessential lake life with this well-maintained 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome in picturesque and amenity-filled Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. It's a 2 minute stroll to the beach, marina, outdoor pool, pickle ball and tennis complex, fitness center, community garden, walking trails, and skating pond. Other community amenities include a private 18-hole championship golf course and clubhouse restaurant & bar. Dues cover access to all amenities and conveniences, including trash and snow removal. NO separate membership fees and low initial capital contribution. Close to Camelback, Kalahari, and shopping.
-
2024-05-02$210,000 Active
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
Property is Under Contract and considering back-up offers only at this time. Grab your slice of quintessential lake life with this well-maintained 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome in picturesque and amenity-filled Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. It's a 2 minute stroll to the beach, marina, outdoor pool, pickle ball and tennis complex, fitness center, community garden, walking trails, and skating pond. Other community amenities include a private 18-hole championship golf course and clubhouse restaurant & bar. Dues cover access to all amenities and conveniences, including trash and snow removal. NO separate membership fees and low initial capital contribution. Close to Camelback, Kalahari, and shopping.
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2009-06-29soldstatus $139,000
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1997-12-02soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,908 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,658 · $305/mo
- Expected delta
- +$750/yr (+$63/mo · 25.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,570
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$2,908
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,686
- − Management
- −$2,686
- − HOA
- −$6,900
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable loss
- −$6,748
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,620
- After-tax cash flow
- $-620/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pocono Pines
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #532
- US rank
- #4925
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pocono Pines, PA
- City population
- 595
- Population (ZIP)
- 595
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Asian 12% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 6% Russian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Korean 12% Other Indo-European 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.00%
- Current HPI
- 215.5562
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+248.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $279,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $279,000 PMAR
- 2024-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $207,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) $207,000 PMAR
- 2024-05-02 Listed $210,000 PMAR
- 2009-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
- 1997-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,908 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…