1500 NE Gabriela Ct · Salem, OR 97301

$124,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Land public records · 65 Days on market

Built 1991 $87/sqft · 32% above area Est $105k · 19% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully remodeled and updated 1991 Skyline home in the desirable Royal Oaks Estates 55+ community! This move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home shines with fresh interior texture and paint, along with new skirting & exterior paint for great curb appeal.Step inside to find all-new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout—stylish, durable, and easy to maintain. The updated kitchen features new stainless steel appliances and a fresh, modern feel, while the entire home has been professionally cleaned and thoughtfully refreshed.Privately tucked into a corner location, this property offers a peaceful setting with standout outdoor living. Enjoy the expansive covered deck with ramp access, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The beautifully landscaped, wrap-around fenced yard includes lawn, mature trees and plantings, plus raised garden beds for those with a green thumb.Additional features include a spacious carport with extra parking and a brand-new storage shed. Located in a quiet, well-maintained park close to shopping and everyday services, this home offers comfort, convenience, and easy living.

Key facts

• Raised garden beds
• Landscaped yard
• Updated kitchen

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORING
• EXPANSIVE COVERED DECK
• LANDSCAPED YARD
• RAISED GARDEN BEDS
• SPACIOUS CARPORT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
• Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#59 in OR, #2,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
• Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Recommended offer $117,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.56% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.83%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.35%
• DSCR: 2.04
• GRM: 5.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $104,840
• List price: $124,900
• Delta: 19.13%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 13.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.50×
• Total profit: $17,397
• Equity at exit: $18,623

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.40×
• Total profit: $48,937
• Equity at exit: $10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Oregon: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 97301

• Rents YoY: -0.7%
• Active inventory: 276
• Price-to-rent: 5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,954 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$655
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$410
• Net cashflow: $680

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093

Max offer price $124,900

Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,225
• Closing costs: $3,747
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 24 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1973 45th Ave NE Salem, OR	2.0	1.0–2.0	1043	$1,360	$1.30	13d	2	0.67mi
4768 El Cedro Loop NE Salem, OR	3.0	2.0	1344	$1,895	$1.41	43d	1	0.79mi
4200 Sunnyview Rd NE Salem, OR	2.0	1.0–2.0	880	$1,445	$1.64	23d	1	0.86mi
434 Greencrest St NE Salem, OR	3.0	2.0	1637	$3,900	$2.38	23d	1	0.87mi
412 Lost Lake St NE Salem, OR	4.0	3.0	1662	$2,495	$1.50	23d	1	0.88mi
4098 Market St NE Unit MT21 Salem, OR	2.0	1.0	900	$1,275	$1.42	23d	1	0.89mi
4154 Sunnyview Rd NE Salem, OR	1.0–2.0	1.0	806	$1,375	$1.71	13d	6	0.97mi
4359 Rodeo Dr NE Salem, OR	3.0	2.0	1170	$2,245	$1.92	21d	1	1.07mi
4485 Monroe Ave NE Salem, OR	4.0	2.0	1200	$2,195	$1.83	43d	1	1.08mi
4889 Saunter Loop NE Salem, OR	3.0	1.5	1186	$1,925	$1.62	43d	1	1.11mi
4833 Thyme Ave NE Salem, OR	3.0	2.5	1681	$2,545	$1.51	13d	1	1.12mi
3910-3930 Sunnyview Rd NE Salem, OR	3.0	2.5	1300	$1,845	$1.42	13d	6	1.17mi
102 Greencrest St NE Salem, OR	3.0	1.0–2.0	914	$2,205	$2.41	13d	25	1.20mi
3695 D St NE Salem, OR	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1037	$1,650	$1.59	43d	3	1.26mi
435 Fountain Valley Way NE Salem, OR	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	939	$1,559	$1.66	21d	5	1.27mi
2500 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 35 Salem, OR	2.0	1.0	890	$1,295	$1.46	43d	1	1.32mi
2500 Lancaster Dr NE Salem, OR	1.0–2.0	1.0	771	$1,350	$1.75	13d	11	1.32mi
4252 Ash Grove Dr NE Salem, OR	3.0	2.0	1357	$2,100	$1.55	13d	1	1.35mi
4824 Falcon Ct NE Salem, OR	3.0	1.5	1246	$1,995	$1.60	23d	1	1.36mi
2489 Coral Ave NE Salem, OR	1.0–2.0	1.0	817	$1,301	$1.59	13d	11	1.38mi
143 Connecticut Ave SE Unit 145 Salem, OR	3.0	1.0	1207	$1,595	$1.32	13d	1	1.39mi
430 Brittany Way NE Unit 369-421 Salem, OR	2.0	2.0	920	$1,400	$1.52	43d	1	1.42mi
124 Stafford Ln NE Unit 124-203 Salem, OR	3.0	2.0	1052	$1,595	$1.52	43d	1	1.43mi
2970 Phipps Ln NE Salem, OR	4.0	2.0	1350	$2,450	$1.81	23d	1	1.44mi

Listing history 21 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $124,900 Active 65 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $124,900 Active 64 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $124,900 Active 63 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   price $124,900 Active 62 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $134,900 Active 62 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $134,900 Active 60 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $134,900 Active 57 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $134,900 Active 56 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $134,900 Active 55 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 54 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 50 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,900 Active 49 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 48 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 47 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $134,900 Active 46 DOM
16. 2026-05-17
    price $134,900 1119-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1119 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled and updated 1991 Skyline home in the desirable Royal Oaks Estates 55+ community! This move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home shines with fresh interior texture and paint, along with new skirting & exterior paint for great curb appeal.Step inside to find all-new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout—stylish, durable, and easy to maintain. The updated kitchen features new stainless steel appliances and a fresh, modern feel, while the entire home has been professionally cleaned and thoughtfully refreshed.Privately tucked into a corner location, this property offers a peaceful setting with standout outdoor living. Enjoy the expansive covered deck with ramp access, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The beautifully landscaped, wrap-around fenced yard includes lawn, mature trees and plantings, plus raised garden beds for those with a green thumb.Additional features include a spacious carport with extra parking and a brand-new storage shed. Located in a quiet, well-maintained park close to shopping and everyday services, this home offers comfort, convenience, and easy living.

17. 2026-04-14
    listed $139,900 Active 1119-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled and updated 1991 Skyline home in the desirable Royal OaksEstates 55+ community! This move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home shines with fresh interior texture and paint, along with new exterior paint for great curb appeal. Step inside to find all-new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout—stylish, durable, and easy to maintain. The updated kitchen features new stainless steel appliances and a fresh, modern feel, while the entire home has been professionally cleaned and thoughtfully refreshed.Privately tucked into a corner location, this property offers a peaceful setting with standout outdoor living. Enjoy the expansive covered deck with ramp access, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The beautifully landscaped, wrap-around fenced yard includes lawn, mature trees and plantings, plus raised garden beds for those with a green thumb.Additional features include a spacious carport with extra parking and a brand-new storage shed. Located in a quiet, well-maintained park close to shopping and everyday services, this home offers comfort, convenience, and easy living.

18. 2026-04-14
    listed $139,900 Active 1104-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled and updated 1991 Skyline home in the desirable Royal OaksEstates 55+ community! This move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home shines with fresh interior texture and paint, along with new exterior paint for great curb appeal. Step inside to find all-new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout—stylish, durable, and easy to maintain. The updated kitchen features new stainless steel appliances and a fresh, modern feel, while the entire home has been professionally cleaned and thoughtfully refreshed.Privately tucked into a corner location, this property offers a peaceful setting with standout outdoor living. Enjoy the expansive covered deck with ramp access, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The beautifully landscaped, wrap-around fenced yard includes lawn, mature trees and plantings, plus raised garden beds for those with a green thumb.Additional features include a spacious carport with extra parking and a brand-new storage shed. Located in a quiet, well-maintained park close to shopping and everyday services, this home offers comfort, convenience, and easy living.

19. 2008-01-07
    soldstatus $2,100,000
20. 1995-03-30
    soldstatus $1,080,000
21. 1990-11-14
    soldstatus $31,895

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,446
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,996
• − Property taxes: −$1,874
• − Insurance: −$624
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,876
• − Management: −$1,876
• − Depreciation: −$3,633
• Taxable income: $6,567
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,576
• After-tax cash flow: $6,588/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Salem-Keizer SD 24J
• NCES district ID: 4110820
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $48,632
• Composite: 37.16/100
• National rank: #9017
• State rank: #103 of 183 in OR

Livability — Salem

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #59
• US rank: #2084

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Salem, OR
• County: Marion County · 258,219 people
• City population: 193,601
• Metro: Salem, OR
• Population (ZIP): 57,574
• Household income: $60,422
• Rent vs Own: 57.2% rent · 42.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 3089.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 360,940 people
• By 2030: 375,178 · +3.9%
• By 2040: 400,914 · +11.1%
• By 2050: 422,187 · +17.0%
• By 2075: 460,305 · +27.5%
• By 2100: 464,025 · +28.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 19% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, China, Philippines
• Languages at home: 68% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -548.17%
• Current HPI: 335.8199
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.70%
• Metro: Salem, OR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	1	$51B

Price history

+323.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-17 Price Changed $134,900 RMLS
• 2026-04-14 Listed $139,900 WVMLS
• 2026-04-14 Listed $139,900 RMLS
• 2008-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $2,100,000 Public Records
• 1995-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $1,080,000 Public Records
• 1990-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $31,895 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $28,881 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.