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13 Michigan St
D- Composite 37.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,000

13 Michigan St · Bloomfield, NY 14469
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1856 0.25 ac lot Est $176k · 35% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large colonial with many updates . Newer metal roof 2017. Siding only 5 years old . Hardwood floors, some newer windows , Newer bathroom . Formal dinning room with hardwood floors and build in cupboards . Two living rooms . Newer solid wood front door . small laundry room . Furnace and Central air 2016 . Back closed in porch . Nice patio between garage and house. level backyard with gardens and large shed . Flower Gardens in side yard and front yard . Garage and workshop has concrete floor , electric , and gas heat . please 24 hour notice for showings . Delayed negotiations until 4 /20 /26 NOON

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Newer bathroom
  • Back closed in porch

Tags

NEWER METAL ROOFNEWER BATHROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMTWO LIVING ROOMSNEWER SOLID WOOD FRONT DOORBACK CLOSED IN PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($565/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (4.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#484 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • East Bloomfield Central School District (rural): math 64% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #196 of 590 in NY (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bloomfield Elementary School (math 72% / reading 62%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 350 students, 0% FRL); Bloomfield Middle School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 171 students, 37% FRL); Bloomfield High School (math 87%, 265 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $239k implies a 497% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1856 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $229,500 (4.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1856 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.84%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$176,400
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 Michigan St 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,788 (-1%) 9mo $175,000 $98 84
39 South Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,888 (+5%) 2mo $165,000 $87 60
131 Main St 0.15mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,944 (+8%) 20mo $260,000 $134 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-35,624
Equity at exit
$35,636
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-26,732
Equity at exit
$20,664

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14469

Home prices YoY
-15.4%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,295 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$413 /mo · $4,956/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,235
Max offer price $239,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $182 -5% $115 +0% $47 +5% $-21 +10% $-88
Rent -10% $-134 -5% $-44 +0% $47 +5% $138 +10% $228
Rate -1.0pp $167 -0.5pp $108 base $47 +0.5pp $-15 +1.0pp $-78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
170 Heartwood Ln Bloomfield, NY 2.0 2.0 1350 $2,295 $1.70 4d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-12
    listed $239,000 Active
  3. 1993-10-20
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,956 · $413/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,956 · $413/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,540
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$4,956
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,203
− Management
−$2,203
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable loss
−$3,358
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$806
After-tax cash flow
$1,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Bloomfield Central School District
NCES district ID
3604920
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$58,217
Composite
53.95/100
National rank
#1399
State rank
#196 of 590 in NY

Livability — Bloomfield

Score
69/100
State rank
#484
US rank
#8532

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bloomfield, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,789

Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,230 people
By 2030
111,401 · +0.2%
By 2040
109,535 · -1.5%
By 2050
104,895 · -5.7%
By 2075
92,999 · -16.4%
By 2100
73,723 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Iranian 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ontario

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.61%
Current HPI
305.0485
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+497.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $239,000 UNYREIS
  • 1993-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,956 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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