CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
21-23 Derby Ave Duplex
B Composite 73.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$137,400

21-23 Derby Ave · Auburn, NY 13021
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,452 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 324 Days on market
Built 1890 5,227 sqft lot $56/sqft · 9% below area Est $150k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Located on a quiet private street, this solidly built two-family side-by-side home offers a fantastic opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike. Each spacious unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom as well as providing comfortable living with thoughtful updates and enduring quality. Recent improvements include updated hall and bathroom flooring, a refreshed front porch, a new suspended ceiling, and fresh paint both inside and out. The home's well-crafted construction and durable metal roof are standout features that ensure long-term value. Whether you're looking to live in one unit and rent the other, or expand your investment portfolio, this property offers flexibility, functionality, and peace of mind in a quiet, desirable setting. New certificate of occupancy issued Nune 2025

Key facts

  • Private street
  • Fresh paint inside
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

PRIVATE STREETUPDATED HALL FLOORINGUPDATED BATHROOM FLOORINGREFRESHED FRONT PORCHNEW SUSPENDED CEILINGFRESH PAINT INSIDE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $137k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $966/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $137k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,621/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1449% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $950 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.64%
Cap rate
23.17%
Cash-on-cash
60.27%
DSCR
3.68
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,349
List price
$137,400
Delta
-8.61%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9-11 Aurelius Ave 0.24mi 6/2.0 2,336 (-5%) 1mo $60,000 $26 80
47 West St 0.10mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,304 (-6%) 2mo $80,000 $35 78
7 Barber St 0.21mi 6/2.0 2,560 (+4%) 7mo $24,010 $9 77
110 Cottage St 0.48mi 6/2.0 2,374 (-3%) 8mo $90,000 $38 65
110 Wall St 0.11mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,586 (+6%) 20mo $100,000 $39 62
31 Washington St 0.41mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,518 (+3%) 10mo $132,500 $53 60
81 Orchard St 0.32mi 6/2.0 2,102 (-14%) 2mo $110,000 $52 59
100-102 N Division St 0.42mi 6/2.0 2,648 (+8%) 14mo $156,000 $59 56
101 Cottage St #99 0.51mi 6/2.0 2,602 (+6%) 17mo $149,900 $58 52
15 Garrow St 0.72mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,497 (+2%) 12mo $148,000 $59 48
11 Barber St 0.21mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,147 (-12%) 21mo $98,300 $46 47
144 Cottage St 0.35mi 5/3.5 (-1) 2,604 (+6%) 19mo $142,500 $55 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.0%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$100,850
Equity at exit
$20,487
10-year hold
IRR
63.8%
Equity multiple
7.41×
Total profit
$246,464
Equity at exit
$11,880

Cash invested: $38,472 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13021

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,621 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$721
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,805/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$760
Net cashflow
$1,932

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,175
Max offer price $137,400
Occupancy floor 42%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,621

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,350
Closing costs
$4,122
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $137,400 Active 324 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $137,400 Active 323 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $137,400 Active 322 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $137,400 Active 321 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $137,400 Active 320 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $137,400 Active 318 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $137,400 Active 317 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $137,400 Active 314 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $137,400 Active 313 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $137,400 Active 312 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $137,400 Active 309 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $137,400 Active 308 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $137,400 Active 307 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $137,400 Active 306 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $137,400 Active 305 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $137,400 Active 304 DOM
  17. 2025-10-29
    price $137,400 804-char remark
    Show marketing remark (804 chars)

    Located on a quiet private street, this solidly built two-family side-by-side home offers a fantastic opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike. Each spacious unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom as well as providing comfortable living with thoughtful updates and enduring quality. Recent improvements include updated hall and bathroom flooring, a refreshed front porch, a new suspended ceiling, and fresh paint both inside and out. The home's well-crafted construction and durable metal roof are standout features that ensure long-term value. Whether you're looking to live in one unit and rent the other, or expand your investment portfolio, this property offers flexibility, functionality, and peace of mind in a quiet, desirable setting. New certificate of occupancy issued Nune 2025

  18. 2025-07-30
    listed $139,900 Active 804-char remark
    Show marketing remark (804 chars)

    Located on a quiet private street, this solidly built two-family side-by-side home offers a fantastic opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike. Each spacious unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom as well as providing comfortable living with thoughtful updates and enduring quality. Recent improvements include updated hall and bathroom flooring, a refreshed front porch, a new suspended ceiling, and fresh paint both inside and out. The home's well-crafted construction and durable metal roof are standout features that ensure long-term value. Whether you're looking to live in one unit and rent the other, or expand your investment portfolio, this property offers flexibility, functionality, and peace of mind in a quiet, desirable setting. New certificate of occupancy issued Nune 2025

  19. 2024-01-26
    historical
  20. 2023-11-30
    price $97,000
  21. 2023-09-15
    status Active
  22. 2023-08-02
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  23. 2023-07-26
    listed $98,000 Active
  24. 2005-04-29
    soldstatus $125,100
  25. 2002-10-03
    soldstatus $57,725
  26. 2002-07-24
    soldstatus $57,725

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,805 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,064 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$258/yr (+$22/mo · 14.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,452
− Mortgage interest
−$7,697
− Property taxes
−$1,805
− Insurance
−$687
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,476
− Management
−$3,476
− Depreciation
−$3,997
Taxable income
$22,314
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,355
After-tax cash flow
$17,833/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn City School District
NCES district ID
3603480
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$43,567
Composite
29.71/100
National rank
#6452
State rank
#558 of 590 in NY

Livability — Auburn

Score
74/100
State rank
#298
US rank
#4814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, NY
County
Cayuga County · 37,247 people
City population
37,247
Metro
Auburn, NY
Population (ZIP)
37,247
Household income
$60,712
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1449.0

Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
74,820 people
By 2030
72,402 · -3.2%
By 2040
66,917 · -10.6%
By 2050
61,007 · -18.5%
By 2075
48,047 · -35.8%
By 2100
34,512 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga

2024 margin
R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.53%
Current HPI
338.5537
Rent YoY
Metro
Auburn, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+138.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $137,400 CNYIS
  • 2025-07-30 Listed $139,900 CNYIS
  • 2024-01-26 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2023-11-30 Price Changed $97,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-09-15 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2023-08-02 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-07-26 Listed $98,000 CNYIS
  • 2005-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $125,100 Public Records
  • 2002-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $57,725 Public Records
  • 2002-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $57,725 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,805 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…