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4415 14th St E
B- Composite 69.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,900

4415 14th St E · Ellenton, FL 34222
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 864 sqft · Manufactured public records · 158 Days on market
Built 1986 4,008 sqft lot $58/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Best Priced Home! Priced for Quick Sale!!! Welcome home to this lovely furnished home in Land Owned Tidevue Estates. This two bedroom two bath home with a large air conditioned Florida room is move in ready. You'll love the open floor plan with a large living room that flows into the Florida room, a spacious kitchen with spice maple wood cabinetry and updated appliances. Don't forget about the large work shop and additional 8x10 shed with its own golf cart parking. Pride in ownership definitely sets this one apart! The owners have installed all new bathroom sinks and fixtures, painted both the interior and exterior of the home, and installed new LVP flooring throughout the whole home. Enjoy the security of a new rubber roof installed in 2020 with Lifetime Transferrable Warranty. You will also enjoy fresh water with your own water softner. This beautifully decorated home is move in ready with all the upgrades and priced to sell fast! Tidevue Estates has Bocce ball and shuffleboard courts. It also has indoor pickle ball courts, an updated gym, library with free WI-FI, and a large solar heated community pool, all for a low fee of $58 per/month. Tidevue is located in Ellenton Florida with easy access to plenty of shopping, major roadways to Sarasota, St. Pete and Tampa, and a 30 minute drive to Gorgeous Anna Maria Island! Come see this one before its gone!

Key facts

  • Updated appliances
  • Open floor plan
  • New fixtures

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANSPICE MAPLE WOOD CABINETRYUPDATED APPLIANCESLARGE WORK SHOPNEW BATHROOM SINKSNEW FIXTURES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Manufactured Home; Lot size category: 0 to less than 1/4 acre
  • Financial info: Total annual fees $696
  • HOA & community: HOA required (monthly fee $58); Community clubhouse; Fitness center; Pool; Pickleball courts; Shuffleboard court(s); Deed restrictions; Senior community; No pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Faces west
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Membrane roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.09-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Private mailbox; Sliding doors; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Solid wood cabinets; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Outdoor laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.5% in Ellenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#232 in FL, #3,666 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,561/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $160k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.67%
Cash-on-cash
19.20%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$119,232
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1204 43rd Ave E 0.15mi 2/2.0 903 (+4%) 4mo $73,500 $81 82
4212 13th St E 0.13mi 2/2.0 960 (+11%) 2mo $175,000 $182 74
1416 41st Ave E 0.27mi 2/2.0 800 (-7%) 3mo $160,000 $200 72
1005 45th Ave E 0.20mi 2/2.0 960 (+11%) 4mo $100,000 $104 69
4603 10th Street Ct E 0.24mi 2/1.5 780 (-10%) 3mo $108,000 $138 68
1532 47th Avenue Dr E 0.26mi 2/1.0 784 (-9%) 1mo $129,900 $166 68
1224 41st Avenue Dr E 0.22mi 2/2.0 963 (+12%) 4mo $125,000 $130 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$22,796
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$87,750
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34222

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Active inventory
182
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,561 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,075/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$58
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$538
Net cashflow
$829

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,512
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5021 US Highway 301 N Ellenton, FL 3.0 2.5 861 $3,900 $4.53 3d 1 0.39mi
4180 Yardly Dr Palmetto, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $2,498 $2.45 3d 15 0.39mi
4403 7th St E #4 Ellenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,700 $2.50 23d 1 0.56mi
1651 36th Ave E Ellenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 804 $1,397 $1.74 3d 13 0.68mi
5942 Factory Shops Blvd Ellenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 953 $2,362 $2.48 1d 67 1.10mi
2710 59th Dr E Ellenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1149 $2,234 $1.94 2d 37 1.28mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$58 · $696/yr
Likely covers
waterinternetpoolgymsecurity

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $184,900 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $184,900 Active 157 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $184,900 Active 156 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $184,900 Active 155 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,900 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,900 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $184,900 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $184,900 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,900 Active 148 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,900 Active 147 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $184,900 Active 143 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $184,900 Active 142 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 141 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 140 DOM
  15. 2026-04-06
    price $189,900
  16. 2026-04-01
    price $199,500
  17. 2026-02-13
    price $199,799
  18. 2026-01-11
    listed $199,800 Active
  19. 2025-11-25
    soldstatus $160,000
  20. 2025-11-20
    soldstatus $160,000 Closed 1375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1375 chars)

    Best Priced Home! Priced for Quick Sale!!! Welcome home to this lovely furnished home in Land Owned Tidevue Estates. This two bedroom two bath home with a large air conditioned Florida room is move in ready. You'll love the open floor plan with a large living room that flows into the Florida room, a spacious kitchen with spice maple wood cabinetry and updated appliances. Don't forget about the large work shop and additional 8x10 shed with its own golf cart parking. Pride in ownership definitely sets this one apart! The owners have installed all new bathroom sinks and fixtures, painted both the interior and exterior of the home, and installed new LVP flooring throughout the whole home. Enjoy the security of a new rubber roof installed in 2020 with Lifetime Transferrable Warranty. You will also enjoy fresh water with your own water softner. This beautifully decorated home is move in ready with all the upgrades and priced to sell fast! Tidevue Estates has Bocce ball and shuffleboard courts. It also has indoor pickle ball courts, an updated gym, library with free WI-FI, and a large solar heated community pool, all for a low fee of $58 per/month. Tidevue is located in Ellenton Florida with easy access to plenty of shopping, major roadways to Sarasota, St. Pete and Tampa, and a 30 minute drive to Gorgeous Anna Maria Island! Come see this one before its gone!

  21. 2025-11-10
    status Pending 1375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1375 chars)

    Best Priced Home! Priced for Quick Sale!!! Welcome home to this lovely furnished home in Land Owned Tidevue Estates. This two bedroom two bath home with a large air conditioned Florida room is move in ready. You'll love the open floor plan with a large living room that flows into the Florida room, a spacious kitchen with spice maple wood cabinetry and updated appliances. Don't forget about the large work shop and additional 8x10 shed with its own golf cart parking. Pride in ownership definitely sets this one apart! The owners have installed all new bathroom sinks and fixtures, painted both the interior and exterior of the home, and installed new LVP flooring throughout the whole home. Enjoy the security of a new rubber roof installed in 2020 with Lifetime Transferrable Warranty. You will also enjoy fresh water with your own water softner. This beautifully decorated home is move in ready with all the upgrades and priced to sell fast! Tidevue Estates has Bocce ball and shuffleboard courts. It also has indoor pickle ball courts, an updated gym, library with free WI-FI, and a large solar heated community pool, all for a low fee of $58 per/month. Tidevue is located in Ellenton Florida with easy access to plenty of shopping, major roadways to Sarasota, St. Pete and Tampa, and a 30 minute drive to Gorgeous Anna Maria Island! Come see this one before its gone!

  22. 2025-10-16
    price $169,900 1375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1375 chars)

    Best Priced Home! Priced for Quick Sale!!! Welcome home to this lovely furnished home in Land Owned Tidevue Estates. This two bedroom two bath home with a large air conditioned Florida room is move in ready. You'll love the open floor plan with a large living room that flows into the Florida room, a spacious kitchen with spice maple wood cabinetry and updated appliances. Don't forget about the large work shop and additional 8x10 shed with its own golf cart parking. Pride in ownership definitely sets this one apart! The owners have installed all new bathroom sinks and fixtures, painted both the interior and exterior of the home, and installed new LVP flooring throughout the whole home. Enjoy the security of a new rubber roof installed in 2020 with Lifetime Transferrable Warranty. You will also enjoy fresh water with your own water softner. This beautifully decorated home is move in ready with all the upgrades and priced to sell fast! Tidevue Estates has Bocce ball and shuffleboard courts. It also has indoor pickle ball courts, an updated gym, library with free WI-FI, and a large solar heated community pool, all for a low fee of $58 per/month. Tidevue is located in Ellenton Florida with easy access to plenty of shopping, major roadways to Sarasota, St. Pete and Tampa, and a 30 minute drive to Gorgeous Anna Maria Island! Come see this one before its gone!

  23. 2025-09-30
    price $169,898 1375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1375 chars)

    Best Priced Home! Priced for Quick Sale!!! Welcome home to this lovely furnished home in Land Owned Tidevue Estates. This two bedroom two bath home with a large air conditioned Florida room is move in ready. You'll love the open floor plan with a large living room that flows into the Florida room, a spacious kitchen with spice maple wood cabinetry and updated appliances. Don't forget about the large work shop and additional 8x10 shed with its own golf cart parking. Pride in ownership definitely sets this one apart! The owners have installed all new bathroom sinks and fixtures, painted both the interior and exterior of the home, and installed new LVP flooring throughout the whole home. Enjoy the security of a new rubber roof installed in 2020 with Lifetime Transferrable Warranty. You will also enjoy fresh water with your own water softner. This beautifully decorated home is move in ready with all the upgrades and priced to sell fast! Tidevue Estates has Bocce ball and shuffleboard courts. It also has indoor pickle ball courts, an updated gym, library with free WI-FI, and a large solar heated community pool, all for a low fee of $58 per/month. Tidevue is located in Ellenton Florida with easy access to plenty of shopping, major roadways to Sarasota, St. Pete and Tampa, and a 30 minute drive to Gorgeous Anna Maria Island! Come see this one before its gone!

  24. 2025-09-06
    price $169,899 1375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1375 chars)

    Best Priced Home! Priced for Quick Sale!!! Welcome home to this lovely furnished home in Land Owned Tidevue Estates. This two bedroom two bath home with a large air conditioned Florida room is move in ready. You'll love the open floor plan with a large living room that flows into the Florida room, a spacious kitchen with spice maple wood cabinetry and updated appliances. Don't forget about the large work shop and additional 8x10 shed with its own golf cart parking. Pride in ownership definitely sets this one apart! The owners have installed all new bathroom sinks and fixtures, painted both the interior and exterior of the home, and installed new LVP flooring throughout the whole home. Enjoy the security of a new rubber roof installed in 2020 with Lifetime Transferrable Warranty. You will also enjoy fresh water with your own water softner. This beautifully decorated home is move in ready with all the upgrades and priced to sell fast! Tidevue Estates has Bocce ball and shuffleboard courts. It also has indoor pickle ball courts, an updated gym, library with free WI-FI, and a large solar heated community pool, all for a low fee of $58 per/month. Tidevue is located in Ellenton Florida with easy access to plenty of shopping, major roadways to Sarasota, St. Pete and Tampa, and a 30 minute drive to Gorgeous Anna Maria Island! Come see this one before its gone!

  25. 2025-08-18
    listed $169,900 Active 1375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1375 chars)

    Best Priced Home! Priced for Quick Sale!!! Welcome home to this lovely furnished home in Land Owned Tidevue Estates. This two bedroom two bath home with a large air conditioned Florida room is move in ready. You'll love the open floor plan with a large living room that flows into the Florida room, a spacious kitchen with spice maple wood cabinetry and updated appliances. Don't forget about the large work shop and additional 8x10 shed with its own golf cart parking. Pride in ownership definitely sets this one apart! The owners have installed all new bathroom sinks and fixtures, painted both the interior and exterior of the home, and installed new LVP flooring throughout the whole home. Enjoy the security of a new rubber roof installed in 2020 with Lifetime Transferrable Warranty. You will also enjoy fresh water with your own water softner. This beautifully decorated home is move in ready with all the upgrades and priced to sell fast! Tidevue Estates has Bocce ball and shuffleboard courts. It also has indoor pickle ball courts, an updated gym, library with free WI-FI, and a large solar heated community pool, all for a low fee of $58 per/month. Tidevue is located in Ellenton Florida with easy access to plenty of shopping, major roadways to Sarasota, St. Pete and Tampa, and a 30 minute drive to Gorgeous Anna Maria Island! Come see this one before its gone!

  26. 2019-05-02
    soldstatus $100,000
  27. 2018-12-18
    soldstatus $100
  28. 2016-01-05
    soldstatus $95,000
  29. 2016-01-04
    soldstatus $95,000 Sold 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Welcome to Tidevue Estates. Don't miss out on this one. This 2bd/2ba has a Florida room in the front to watch the world go by. Brand new kitchen which include cabinets, countertops and all new appliances. New laminate flooring in the bedrooms. Plenty of activities in Tidevue to enjoy. Water aerobics in the heated community, golf club, card club, line dancing, pickle ball, shuffleboard and much more. You will love the Tidevue Life Style!!!

  30. 2015-10-15
    status Pending 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Welcome to Tidevue Estates. Don't miss out on this one. This 2bd/2ba has a Florida room in the front to watch the world go by. Brand new kitchen which include cabinets, countertops and all new appliances. New laminate flooring in the bedrooms. Plenty of activities in Tidevue to enjoy. Water aerobics in the heated community, golf club, card club, line dancing, pickle ball, shuffleboard and much more. You will love the Tidevue Life Style!!!

  31. 2015-10-14
    listed $98,000 Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Welcome to Tidevue Estates. Don't miss out on this one. This 2bd/2ba has a Florida room in the front to watch the world go by. Brand new kitchen which include cabinets, countertops and all new appliances. New laminate flooring in the bedrooms. Plenty of activities in Tidevue to enjoy. Water aerobics in the heated community, golf club, card club, line dancing, pickle ball, shuffleboard and much more. You will love the Tidevue Life Style!!!

  32. 2014-04-01
    soldstatus $58,000
  33. 2014-03-31
    soldstatus $59,900 Sold
  34. 2012-08-21
    listed $62,900
  35. 2002-03-15
    soldstatus $62,500
  36. 1981-12-01
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,075 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,535 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$460/yr (+$38/mo · 42.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,726
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$1,075
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,458
− Management
−$2,458
− HOA
−$696
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$7,378
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,771
After-tax cash flow
$8,172/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ellenton

Score
76/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#3666

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ellenton, FL
County
Manatee County · 416,364 people
City population
14,819
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
14,819
Household income
$64,355
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
313.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.75%
Current HPI
293.2597
Rent YoY
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2010.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $189,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $199,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $199,799 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $199,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-20 Sold (MLS) $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-10 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed $169,898 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-06 Price Changed $169,899 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2018-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $100 Public Records
  • 2016-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2016-01-04 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-15 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-14 Listed $98,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2014-03-31 Sold (MLS) $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-21 Listed $62,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
  • 1981-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,075 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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