6126 Stream Bank Dr · Theodore, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
**WELCOME TO CREEKSIDE ESTATES *THE CALI PLAN IS AN APPEALING OPEN CONCEPT 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING. THE KITCHEN FEATURES CLASSIC WHITE CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS AND A ONE BOWL STAINLESS STEEL SINK. QUALITY WHIRLPOOL STAINLESS STEEL SMOOTH TOP RANGE, DISHWASHER AND MICROWAVE ROUND OUT THE INCLUDED APPLIANCE PACKAGE. THERE IS A NICE SIZED PANTRY AND A KITCHEN ISLAND FOR ADDITIONAL SURFACE SPACE. MOHAWK LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORING IN ALL COMMON AREAS AND PLUSH CARPETING IN THE BEDROOMS. THERE IS A COVERED BACK PORCH FOR MAXIMUM OUTDOOR RELAXATION AND A 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE***INTRODUCING THE NEW SMART HOME*** YOUR SYSTEM WILL INCLUDE KWICKSET SMART CODE FRONT DOOR LOCK, SKYBELL VIDEO DOORBELL, EATON Z-WAVE LIGHT SWITCH FOR EASY REMOTE CONTROL, HONEYWELL T6 PRO Z-WAVE THERMOSTAT THAT WILL WORK SEAMLESSLY WITH YOUR SMART PHONE OR TABLET. COMMINICATE WITH YOUR SMART HOME SYSTEM THROUGH THE AMAXOM ECHO DOT VOICE-COMMAND DEVICE GIVING YOU THE ADVANTAGE OF FULL CONTROL OF LIGHTS, DOOR LOCKS AND THERMOSTAT.***THIS HOME IS BEING BUILD WITH GOLD FORTIFIED CERTIFICATION AND ZIP SYSTEM SHEATHING & TAPE WHICH MAY SAVE ON HOMEOWNERS INSURANCE. THE HOME COMES WITH A 1-YEAR BUILDER WARRANTY AND A 10-YEAR STRUCTURAL WARRANTY.
Key facts
- 7,056 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2022
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA with a $100 quarterly fee
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with opener; Garage faces front; Level driveway; Kitchen-level parking access
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available (110V and 220V); Natural gas available; Phone available; Public sewer; Water available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; Located in Creekside Estates
- Construction: Built in 2022; Brick 4 sides and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Window treatments
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; View available; No pool or spa; No other structures; No special accessibility features
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Self-cleaning oven; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Disappearing attic stairs; Double vanity; Entrance foyer; High-speed internet; Walk-in closets; Open floorplan; White kitchen cabinets; Kitchen island; Walk-in pantry; Stone countertops; Kitchen view to family room; No basement
- Laundry & utility: High-speed internet (service available)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($174/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (20.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.0% in Theodore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#145 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Nan Gray Davis Elementary School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #424 of 627 statewide, top 68%, 491 students, 78% FRL); Theodore High School (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #247 of 305 statewide, top 81%, 1,280 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.25%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $241,164
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6137 Stream Bank Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,752 (-4%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $134 | 81 |
| 6185 Stream Bank Dr | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,768 (-3%) | 18mo | $240,100 | $136 | 76 |
| 6127 Stream Bank Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,645 (-10%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $149 | 70 |
| 5551 Springer Ct | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,702 (-7%) | 2mo | $193,000 | $113 | 64 |
| 6209 Waterbridge Ave | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 2,037 (+12%) | 10mo | $268,000 | $132 | 64 |
| 6330 Rester Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (+1%) | 24mo | $245,000 | $133 | 52 |
| 5398 Quail Run | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,860 (+2%) | 16mo | $215,000 | $116 | 51 |
| 5500 Quail Run W | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,748 (-4%) | 14mo | $225,000 | $129 | 50 |
| 6171 Boykin Rd | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,980 (+8%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $86 | 42 |
| 6352 Roundtree Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,022 (+11%) | 16mo | $250,000 | $124 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-39,648
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-33,644
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36582
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,988 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,299/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $14
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5417 Quail Run E Theodore, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5831 Belle Terrace Dr Theodore, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1485 | $1,550 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$249,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,299 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,299 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,853
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,299
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,908
- − Management
- −$1,908
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$4,176
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,002
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,176/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Theodore
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #13651
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Theodore, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 23,705
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,705
- Household income
- $64,763
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 431.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.61%
- Current HPI
- 209.7621
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-2.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $249,900 GCMLS AL
- 2021-12-13 Sold (MLS) $254,900 GCMLS AL
Property tax history
+49.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,299 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…