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1617 Fourth Ave Multi-family
B+ Composite 76.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

1617 Fourth Ave · Schenectady, NY 12303
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,194 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1923 0.40 ac lot $130/sqft · 37% below area Est $245k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can buy. This home is in need of some TLC and a little sweat; it can be a great investment with owner occupied. featuring 4 bedrooms,2 full bathrooms,2 kitchen, newer boilers and hwh only a few years old, put your personal touch and make this house an asset

Key facts

  • 0.4 acre lot
  • Built 1923
  • Listed 160 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $796 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 6.3% in Schenectady — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#167 in NY, #2,597 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
  • Schenectady City School District (urban): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #556 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $155k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $136,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
12.46%
Cash-on-cash
22.02%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$244,706
List price
$155,000
Delta
-36.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1411 5th Ave 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,248 (+4%) 24mo $95,000 $76 65
1021-1023 Congress St 0.21mi 4/2.0 1,360 (+14%) 24mo $139,000 $102 47
622 Lansing St 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,360 (+14%) 21mo $235,000 $173 34
2138 Neil St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,356 (+14%) 12mo $260,000 $192 33
2324 Williams St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,342 (+12%) 22mo $200,000 $149 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$25,760
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$88,376
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12303

Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,604 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$383 /mo · $4,600/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$547
Net cashflow
$796

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,596
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 64%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,604

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
418 Third St Schenectady, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 14d 1 0.38mi
1826 Campbell Ave Schenectady, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 14d 1 0.41mi
1120 Pleasant St Schenectady, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 14d 1 0.43mi
2030 Euclid Ave Schenectady, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 19d 1 0.44mi
2007 Campbell Ave Schenectady, NY 3.0 1.0 1272 $1,600 $1.26 14d 1 0.52mi
918 Delamont Ave Schenectady, NY 3.0 1.0 1192 $1,600 $1.34 23d 1 1.00mi
611 Cramer Ave Schenectady, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,295 $2.09 14d 1 1.00mi
117 Washington Ave Schenectady, NY 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1033 $2,163 $2.09 14d 9 1.16mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 275-char remark
    Show marketing remark (275 chars)

    Why rent when you can buy. This home is in need of some TLC and a little sweat; it can be a great investment with owner occupied. featuring 4 bedrooms,2 full bathrooms,2 kitchen, newer boilers and hwh only a few years old, put your personal touch and make this house an asset

  2. 2026-04-26
    status Active 275-char remark
    Show marketing remark (275 chars)

    Why rent when you can buy. This home is in need of some TLC and a little sweat; it can be a great investment with owner occupied. featuring 4 bedrooms,2 full bathrooms,2 kitchen, newer boilers and hwh only a few years old, put your personal touch and make this house an asset

  3. 2026-04-26
    price $155,000 275-char remark
    Show marketing remark (275 chars)

    Why rent when you can buy. This home is in need of some TLC and a little sweat; it can be a great investment with owner occupied. featuring 4 bedrooms,2 full bathrooms,2 kitchen, newer boilers and hwh only a few years old, put your personal touch and make this house an asset

  4. 2026-04-08
    status Pending 275-char remark
    Show marketing remark (275 chars)

    Why rent when you can buy. This home is in need of some TLC and a little sweat; it can be a great investment with owner occupied. featuring 4 bedrooms,2 full bathrooms,2 kitchen, newer boilers and hwh only a few years old, put your personal touch and make this house an asset

  5. 2026-03-13
    price $165,000 275-char remark
    Show marketing remark (275 chars)

    Why rent when you can buy. This home is in need of some TLC and a little sweat; it can be a great investment with owner occupied. featuring 4 bedrooms,2 full bathrooms,2 kitchen, newer boilers and hwh only a few years old, put your personal touch and make this house an asset

  6. 2025-11-17
    listed $175,000 Active 275-char remark
    Show marketing remark (275 chars)

    Why rent when you can buy. This home is in need of some TLC and a little sweat; it can be a great investment with owner occupied. featuring 4 bedrooms,2 full bathrooms,2 kitchen, newer boilers and hwh only a few years old, put your personal touch and make this house an asset

  7. 2025-07-12
    status Pending
  8. 2025-07-12
    historical
  9. 2025-07-11
    listed $160,000 Active
  10. 2021-09-30
    soldstatus $57,000
  11. 2021-01-05
    soldstatus $52,000
  12. 2020-12-31
    soldstatus $52,000 Closed (Final Sale)
  13. 2020-09-05
    status Pend (Under Cntr)
  14. 2020-08-12
    listed $79,900 New
  15. 1999-04-09
    soldstatus $45,000
  16. 1999-04-09
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,600 · $383/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,600 · $383/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,248
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$4,600
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,500
− Management
−$2,500
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$7,681
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,844
After-tax cash flow
$7,713/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Schenectady City School District
NCES district ID
3626010
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$39,453
Composite
30.2/100
National rank
#6309
State rank
#556 of 590 in NY

Livability — Schenectady

Score
78/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#2597

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Schenectady, NY
County
Schenectady County · 141,369 people
City population
141,369
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
29,360
Household income
$84,375
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
1318.0

Population outlook (Schenectady County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
155,046 people
By 2030
154,322 · -0.5%
By 2040
151,796 · -2.1%
By 2050
148,621 · -4.1%
By 2075
141,229 · -8.9%
By 2100
126,014 · -18.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schenectady

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 55.4% · R 44.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.7 2016: D+5.8 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.01%
Current HPI
280.3886
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+244.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-04-26 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $155,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $165,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $175,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-07-12 Pending Global MLS
  • 2025-07-12 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $160,000 Global MLS
  • 2021-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-31 Sold (MLS) $52,000 Global MLS
  • 2020-09-05 Pending Global MLS
  • 2020-08-12 Listed $79,900 Global MLS
  • 1999-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
  • 1999-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,600 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…