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822 W Kennicott St
B- Composite 69.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$46,900

822 W Kennicott St · Carbondale, IL 62901
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1948 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Updated 3-bedroom home located in a convenient Carbondale neighborhood. This property features a spacious living area, updated kitchen with newer appliances, and a functional layout with good natural light throughout. Recent improvements include fresh interior paint and a newer stove, offering a strong starting point for a buyer looking to personalize or add value. The large backyard and detached garage provide additional space for storage, outdoor use, or future improvements. A good fit for buyers looking for an affordable home or investment opportunity. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and main roads.

Key facts

  • Newer appliances
  • Large backyard
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENNEWER APPLIANCESFRESH INTERIOR PAINTLARGE BACKYARDDETACHED GARAGECONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space; 1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Property built approximately 71–80 years ago; Property listed as built before 1978
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (about 11 x 13)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (approximately 11 x 13); Two additional bedrooms on the main level (about 11 x 11 and 11 x 9)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heat; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (about 7 x 9)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($814 rent vs $47k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $324 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $47k implies a 369% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,086 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
13.92%
Cash-on-cash
27.23%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
603 N Allyn St 0.23mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,088 (+1%) 2mo $119,500 $110 77
620 N Almond St 0.19mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (-2%) 5mo $109,000 $103 74
614 N Springer St 0.18mi 2/1.0 (+1) 972 (-10%) 0mo $94,000 $97 70
705 N Bridge St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (+1) 960 (-11%) 1mo $99,395 $104 62
517 N Michaels St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,060 (-2%) 13mo $72,000 $68 60
517 N Michaels St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,060 (-2%) 13mo $72,000 $68 60
300 N Oakland Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,018 (-6%) 4mo $30,000 $29 58
710 N Billy Bryan St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,142 (+6%) 11mo $98,500 $86 58
1007 W Willow St 0.17mi 2/1.5 (+1) 925 (-14%) 7mo $98,580 $107 56
1007 W Willow St 0.17mi 2/1.5 (+1) 925 (-14%) 7mo $98,580 $107 56
518 N Almond St 0.30mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,228 (+14%) 10mo $99,900 $81 48
406 N Washington St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,172 (+8%) 8mo $15,000 $13 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$12,661
Equity at exit
$6,993
10-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$40,879
Equity at exit
$4,055

Cash invested: $13,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62901

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$814 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$246
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $955/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$171
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $46,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,725
Closing costs
$1,407
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $46,900 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $46,900 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $46,900 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $46,900 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $46,900 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $46,900 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $46,900 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $46,900 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $46,900 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $46,900 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $46,900 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $46,900 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $46,900 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $46,900 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $46,900 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-04-13
    listed $46,900 Active
  17. 2025-12-17
    historical
  18. 2025-07-09
    price
  19. 2025-06-29
    listed Active
  20. 2025-06-16
    historical
  21. 2025-06-16
    historical
  22. 2025-06-06
    price
  23. 2025-05-28
    price
  24. 2025-05-05
    listed Active
  25. 2021-08-06
    historical
  26. 2020-05-21
    soldstatus $10,000
  27. 2020-05-21
    soldstatus $10,000
  28. 2019-12-06
    listed $14,800
  29. 2019-12-06
    listed $14,800
  30. 2019-03-13
    historical
  31. 2007-04-27
    soldstatus $40,900
  32. 2007-04-27
    soldstatus $40,900
  33. 2007-04-01
    soldstatus $40,900
  34. 2005-10-12
    listed $42,900
  35. 2005-10-12
    listed $42,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$955 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,010 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$55/yr (+$5/mo · 5.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,768
− Mortgage interest
−$2,627
− Property taxes
−$955
− Insurance
−$234
− Repairs & maintenance
−$781
− Management
−$781
− Depreciation
−$1,364
Taxable income
$3,024
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$726
After-tax cash flow
$2,850/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbondale Chsd 165
NCES district ID
1708370
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$22,075
Composite
23.92/100
National rank
#7787
State rank
#279 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carbondale, IL
County
Jackson County · 22,946 people
City population
22,946
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
Population (ZIP)
22,946
Household income
$35,089
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2038.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.62%
Current HPI
88.7209
Rent YoY
▲ 4.51%
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $46,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-17 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-29 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-16 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-16 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-06 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-05 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-21 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-21 Sold (MLS) $10,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-12-06 Listed $14,800 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-12-06 Listed $14,800 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-27 Sold (MLS) $40,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-27 Sold (MLS) $40,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,900 Public Records
  • 2005-10-12 Listed $42,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-10-12 Listed $42,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-6.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $955 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…