1626 Inverness Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +1.2/15.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready! Ebony stained hard wood floors & a fresh coat of paint on the walls. Updated kitchen with stainless steal appliances. Updated bath. Close to bus routes & interstate 95. * property is being sold as is
Key facts
- Built 1953
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Finished above-grade area: 1,024 (assessor)
- HOA & community: Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Shingle roof
- Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation
- Exterior features: 2+ access exits; Above-grade and below-grade other structures; Not on tidal water; In city limits (Baltimore City)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the first upper level
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (all upper levels)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Morrell Park Elementary/Middle (math 5% / reading 9%, grade F, #726 of 860 statewide, top 86%, 419 students, 74% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.60%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,732
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- 13.97%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1710 Wickes Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (0%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $146 | 81 |
| 2809 Washington Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,110 (+8%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $72 | 70 |
| 3034 Lorena Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (0%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $149 | 68 |
| 3507 Greenvale Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (0%) | 0mo | $241,000 | $235 | 62 |
| 2036 Deering Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,112 (+9%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $117 | 60 |
| 2527 Tolley St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+2%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $114 | 59 |
| 2149 Harman Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+2%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $110 | 57 |
| 1935 Grinnalds Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+6%) | 1mo | $119,000 | $110 | 56 |
| 1919 Grinnalds Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+6%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $120 | 56 |
| 1052 Parksley Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+2%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $105 | 55 |
| 2014 Grinnalds Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,015 (-1%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $79 | 55 |
| 1931 Griffis Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-11%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $132 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,997
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $681
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21230
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 362
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,756 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,523/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $334
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1708 Hall Ave Unit 2 Halethorpe, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,625 | $1.92 | 11d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1931 Griffis Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,349 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2056 Griffis Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1230 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3017 Janice Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,995 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3004 Elizabeth Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,395 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2600 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,309 | $1.53 | 2d | 24 | 0.82mi |
| 2737 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,650 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2738 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1183 | $1,500 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3392 Saint Benedict St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2671 Saint Benedict St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,325 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2200 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,569 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3704 Coolidge Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2657 Lehman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2509 Christian St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,699 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3130 Stafford St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2715 Hammonds Ferry Rd Halethorpe, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 332 S Franklintown Rd Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $795 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 514 S Payson St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $149,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$155,000 Active 395-char remark
-
2023-08-08soldstatus $99,553
-
2019-04-16soldstatus $91,000
-
2019-03-08soldstatus $91,000 Closed 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Move in ready! Ebony stained hard wood floors & a fresh coat of paint on the walls. Updated kitchen with stainless steal appliances. Updated bath. Close to bus routes & interstate 95. * property is being sold as is
-
2019-02-07status Pending 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Move in ready! Ebony stained hard wood floors & a fresh coat of paint on the walls. Updated kitchen with stainless steal appliances. Updated bath. Close to bus routes & interstate 95. * property is being sold as is
-
2019-02-03$90,000 Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Move in ready! Ebony stained hard wood floors & a fresh coat of paint on the walls. Updated kitchen with stainless steal appliances. Updated bath. Close to bus routes & interstate 95. * property is being sold as is
-
2004-08-16soldstatus $79,900
-
2002-10-22soldstatus $34,500
-
2002-09-09historical
-
2002-08-16$37,000
-
1999-12-29soldstatus $55,000
-
1999-12-22soldstatus $55,000
-
1999-10-21historical
-
1999-06-30$52,500
-
1999-06-26historical
-
1999-05-04
-
1995-05-25soldstatus $8,805
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,523 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,523 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,074
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$2,523
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,686
- − Management
- −$1,686
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $1,754
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,583/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,977
- Household income
- $91,842
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1463.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -311.43%
- Current HPI
- 284.338
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.00%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1592.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $99,553 Public Records
- 2019-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
- 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $91,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-02-07 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-02-03 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 2002-10-22 Sold (MLS) $34,500 MRIS
- 2002-09-09 Delisted — MRIS
- 2002-08-16 Listed $37,000 MRIS
- 1999-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1999-12-22 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MRIS
- 1999-10-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-06-30 Listed $52,500 MRIS
- 1999-06-26 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-05-04 Listed — MRIS
- 1995-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $8,805 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,523 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…