CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1626 Inverness Ave
C- Composite 51.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.2/15.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

1626 Inverness Ave · Baltimore, MD 21230
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · Townhouse public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1953 1,968 sqft lot $146/sqft · 14% above area Est $131k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready! Ebony stained hard wood floors & a fresh coat of paint on the walls. Updated kitchen with stainless steal appliances. Updated bath. Close to bus routes & interstate 95. * property is being sold as is

Key facts

  • Built 1953
  • Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Finished above-grade area: 1,024 (assessor)
  • HOA & community: Ground rent paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: 2+ access exits; Above-grade and below-grade other structures; Not on tidal water; In city limits (Baltimore City)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (all upper levels)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Morrell Park Elementary/Middle (math 5% / reading 9%, grade F, #726 of 860 statewide, top 86%, 419 students, 74% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.60%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,732
List price
$149,000
Delta
13.97%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1710 Wickes Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,024 (0%) 3mo $150,000 $146 81
2809 Washington Blvd 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,110 (+8%) 3mo $80,000 $72 70
3034 Lorena Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,024 (0%) 1mo $153,000 $149 68
3507 Greenvale Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,024 (0%) 0mo $241,000 $235 62
2036 Deering Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,112 (+9%) 3mo $129,900 $117 60
2527 Tolley St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (+2%) 6mo $120,000 $114 59
2149 Harman Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (+2%) 2mo $115,000 $110 57
1935 Grinnalds Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+6%) 1mo $119,000 $110 56
1919 Grinnalds Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+6%) 7mo $130,000 $120 56
1052 Parksley Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (+2%) 4mo $110,000 $105 55
2014 Grinnalds Ave 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,015 (-1%) 6mo $80,000 $79 55
1931 Griffis Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-11%) 0mo $120,000 $132 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,997
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$681
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21230

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
362
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,756 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,523/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$334

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,334
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1708 Hall Ave Unit 2 Halethorpe, MD 2.0 1.0 845 $1,625 $1.92 11d 1 0.54mi
1931 Griffis Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 912 $1,349 $1.48 4d 1 0.66mi
2056 Griffis Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1230 $1,495 $1.22 22d 1 0.69mi
3017 Janice Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,995 $1.95 24d 1 0.72mi
3004 Elizabeth Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,395 $1.36 4d 1 0.74mi
2600 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 856 $1,309 $1.53 2d 24 0.82mi
2737 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,650 $1.34 4d 1 1.00mi
2738 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1183 $1,500 $1.27 43d 1 1.03mi
3392 Saint Benedict St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 24d 1 1.04mi
2671 Saint Benedict St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1144 $1,325 $1.16 43d 1 1.10mi
2200 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 890 $1,569 $1.76 43d 1 1.10mi
3704 Coolidge Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1262 $2,000 $1.58 20d 1 1.11mi
2657 Lehman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,000 $0.95 43d 1 1.19mi
2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,800 $1.34 11d 1 1.19mi
2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,800 $1.34 43d 1 1.19mi
2509 Christian St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1248 $1,699 $1.36 3d 1 1.20mi
3130 Stafford St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 20d 1 1.22mi
2715 Hammonds Ferry Rd Halethorpe, MD 2.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 43d 1 1.34mi
332 S Franklintown Rd Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 776 $795 $1.02 24d 1 1.39mi
2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,400 $1.30 24d 1 1.40mi
514 S Payson St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1264 $1,750 $1.38 43d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $149,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $155,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-08
    listed $155,000 Active 395-char remark
  15. 2023-08-08
    soldstatus $99,553
  16. 2019-04-16
    soldstatus $91,000
  17. 2019-03-08
    soldstatus $91,000 Closed 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Move in ready! Ebony stained hard wood floors & a fresh coat of paint on the walls. Updated kitchen with stainless steal appliances. Updated bath. Close to bus routes & interstate 95. * property is being sold as is

  18. 2019-02-07
    status Pending 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Move in ready! Ebony stained hard wood floors & a fresh coat of paint on the walls. Updated kitchen with stainless steal appliances. Updated bath. Close to bus routes & interstate 95. * property is being sold as is

  19. 2019-02-03
    listed $90,000 Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Move in ready! Ebony stained hard wood floors & a fresh coat of paint on the walls. Updated kitchen with stainless steal appliances. Updated bath. Close to bus routes & interstate 95. * property is being sold as is

  20. 2004-08-16
    soldstatus $79,900
  21. 2002-10-22
    soldstatus $34,500
  22. 2002-09-09
    historical
  23. 2002-08-16
    listed $37,000
  24. 1999-12-29
    soldstatus $55,000
  25. 1999-12-22
    soldstatus $55,000
  26. 1999-10-21
    historical
  27. 1999-06-30
    listed $52,500
  28. 1999-06-26
    historical
  29. 1999-05-04
    listed
  30. 1995-05-25
    soldstatus $8,805

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,523 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,523 · $210/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,074
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$2,523
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,686
− Management
−$1,686
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable income
$1,754
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$421
After-tax cash flow
$3,583/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
32,977
Household income
$91,842
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1463.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -311.43%
Current HPI
284.338
Rent YoY
▼ -1.00%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1592.2% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $99,553 Public Records
  • 2019-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
  • 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $91,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-02-07 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-02-03 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
  • 2002-10-22 Sold (MLS) $34,500 MRIS
  • 2002-09-09 Delisted MRIS
  • 2002-08-16 Listed $37,000 MRIS
  • 1999-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1999-12-22 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MRIS
  • 1999-10-21 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-06-30 Listed $52,500 MRIS
  • 1999-06-26 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-05-04 Listed MRIS
  • 1995-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $8,805 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,523 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…