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4684 Green Rd
D Composite 43.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

4684 Green Rd · Warrensville Heights, OH 44128
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1956 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own this 3-bedroom bungalow in Warrensville Heights! Conveniently located near shopping, public transportation, and quick access to I-271 and I-480, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Whether you're searching for a starter home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property is full of potential. The home features a spacious backyard and an enclosed rear porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Included in the sale is an additional parcel (Parcel No. 771-11-019) totaling 0.689 acres, providing extra outdoor space and added value. Updates include a newer furnace and a waterproofed basement completed in 2020, with foundation drains repla

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Newer furnace
  • Enclosed rear porch

Tags

SPACIOUS BACKYARDENCLOSED REAR PORCHADDITIONAL PARCELNEWER FURNACEWATERPROOFED BASEMENTPLUMBED FOR FUTURE HALF BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home warranty included; Below-grade finished area of 696 (per assessor); Above-grade finished area of 1,028 (per owner)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached paved garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; Attached property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built in (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: East-facing property; Lot approximately 79 x 140

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air gas heating
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement with sump pump; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($476/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#316 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, commute D-.
  • Warrensville Heights City (suburban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #604 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Warrensville Heights Elementary School (876 students, 0% FRL); Warrensville Heights Middle School (math 13% / reading 23%, grade F, #617 of 654 statewide, top 94%, 374 students, 0% FRL); Warrensville Heights High School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #619 of 781 statewide, top 80%, 547 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 84% district-wide (84 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.0%/yr); 32 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $145k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,653 (11.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.17%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-14,151
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$21,892
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44128

Rents YoY
12.0%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,287 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,877/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,236
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $122 -5% $81 +0% $40 +5% $-1 +10% $-42
Rent -10% $-62 -5% $-11 +0% $40 +5% $90 +10% $141
Rate -1.0pp $113 -0.5pp $77 base $40 +0.5pp $2 +1.0pp $-36

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4761 Walford Rd Cleveland, OH 1.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 1021 $1,200 $1.17 0d 176 0.41mi
4340 Clarkwood Pkwy Cleveland, OH 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,108 $1.10 0d 483 0.67mi
20859 Ellacott Pkwy Warrensville Heights, OH 2.0 1.0 672 $955 $1.42 45d 1 1.01mi
20859 Ellacott Pkwy Warrensville Heights, OH 2.0 1.0 672 $955 $1.42 23d 1 1.01mi
20763 Ellacott Pkwy Cleveland, OH 2.0 1.0 672 $955 $1.42 45d 1 1.03mi
5303 Northfield Rd Bedford Heights, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 712 $1,210 $1.70 0d 26 1.27mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $144,900 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-05-28
    listed $144,900 Active
  3. 2023-05-10
    status Active
  4. 2023-04-27
    historical Contingent
  5. 2023-04-25
    listed $125,000 Active
  6. 2017-06-06
    historical
  7. 2017-05-03
    price $74,900
  8. 2017-03-21
    listed $79,000 Active
  9. 2011-10-07
    historical
  10. 2011-07-26
    listed $59,900
  11. 2007-10-26
    soldstatus $42,900
  12. 2007-09-20
    listed $44,900
  13. 2007-08-22
    soldstatus $36,667
  14. 2000-04-24
    soldstatus $59,000
  15. 1987-09-01
    soldstatus $62,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,877 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,069 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$191/yr (+$16/mo · 10.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,438
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$1,877
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,235
− Management
−$1,235
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable loss
−$1,966
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$472
After-tax cash flow
$948/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Warrensville Heights City
NCES district ID
3904500
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$34,622
Composite
20.98/100
National rank
#8467
State rank
#604 of 656 in OH

Livability — Warrensville Heights

Score
73/100
State rank
#316
US rank
#5173

Category grades

Amenities C Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warrensville Heights, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
27,122
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
27,122
Household income
$43,993
Rent vs Own
49.9% rent · 50.1% own
Severe rent burden
2088.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.42%
Current HPI
114.0877
Rent YoY
▲ 11.96%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $144,900 MLSNOW
  • 2023-05-10 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2023-04-27 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2023-04-25 Listed $125,000 MLSNOW
  • 2017-06-06 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2017-05-03 Price Changed $74,900 MLSNOW
  • 2017-03-21 Listed $79,000 MLSNOW
  • 2011-10-07 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2011-07-26 Listed $59,900 MLSNOW
  • 2007-10-26 Sold (MLS) $42,900 MLSNOW
  • 2007-09-20 Listed $44,900 MLSNOW
  • 2007-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $36,667 Public Records
  • 2000-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 1987-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,877 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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