133-D Farrington Ct · Leisure Village, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to 133D Farrington Court in the desirable 55+ community of Leisure Village in Lakewood. This end-unit home offers a wonderful opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. A sidewalk leads to the front entrance, where you'll find screened-in porch. Inside, the home features a living room, kitchen, convenient laundry area, two good sized bedrooms, and a full bath. An attached one-car garage provides additional storage. While the home does need TLC, it offers excellent potential for buyers looking to customize a home to their taste in a well established active adult community. Leisure Village offers an impressive array of amenities designed for an active and social lifestyle. Make your appointment today!
Key facts
- $420 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $420; HOA covers common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, and snow removal; Community amenities include boat slip, clubhouse, community center, exercise room, gated community, golf course, lake, outdoor pool, retirement community features, and shuffleboard
Exterior
- Parking: Attached oversized garage with side entry (1-car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric utilities
- Home design: End-of-row townhouse; Fee simple ownership; Senior community (55+)
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Community outdoor pool; Corner unit
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: No basement; Living area per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 6.0% in Leisure Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 419 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.28%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $205,238
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51A Cambridge Ct | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 987 (+0%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $142 | 88 |
| 404A Picardy Ct | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (0%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $239 | 80 |
| 699A Plymouth Dr Unit 699A | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (0%) | 1mo | $259,000 | $264 | 76 |
| 703 Plymouth Dr Unit A | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (0%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $270 | 75 |
| 465D Thornbury Ct | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (0%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $209 | 74 |
| 402 Picardy Ct Unit B | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (+6%) | 0mo | $259,900 | $251 | 72 |
| 243D Jefferson Ct | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (+6%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $164 | 71 |
| 337C Canterbury Ct | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 1,078 (+10%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $148 | 68 |
| 530 Portsmouth Dr Unit D | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (0%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $200 | 67 |
| 562 Portsmouth Dr Unit 562C | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (0%) | 1mo | $187,000 | $190 | 66 |
| 569A Sheffield Ct | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (0%) | 0mo | $1,169,900 | $1,191 | 66 |
| 500B Thornbury Ct Unit B | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,078 (+10%) | 1mo | $216,000 | $200 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,711
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $37,052
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08701
- Active inventory
- 419
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,857/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$420
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47L Cambridge Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,795 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,275 | $2.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 19d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 106A Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 219 Buckingham Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,900 | $2.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1042C Aberdeen Dr Unit C Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 824A Balmoral Ct Unit A Toms River, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,200 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1100 Deer Path Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1187 | $2,575 | $2.17 | 1d | 4 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $420 · $5,040/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-13status $125,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $125,000 Active Under Contract 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-04$125,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,857 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,485 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- +$628/yr (+$52/mo · 33.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,365
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,857
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,029
- − Management
- −$2,029
- − HOA
- −$5,040
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $3,146
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$755
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408220
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,301
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8813
- State rank
- #417 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #14624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 439,426 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 139,149
- Household income
- $64,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5757.0
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -682.83%
- Current HPI
- 465.344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $125,000 MOMLS
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,857 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…