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133-D Farrington Ct
B Composite 72.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

133-D Farrington Ct · Leisure Village, NJ 08701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 982 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1967 Est $205k · 39% under $420/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to 133D Farrington Court in the desirable 55+ community of Leisure Village in Lakewood. This end-unit home offers a wonderful opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. A sidewalk leads to the front entrance, where you'll find screened-in porch. Inside, the home features a living room, kitchen, convenient laundry area, two good sized bedrooms, and a full bath. An attached one-car garage provides additional storage. While the home does need TLC, it offers excellent potential for buyers looking to customize a home to their taste in a well established active adult community. Leisure Village offers an impressive array of amenities designed for an active and social lifestyle. Make your appointment today!

Key facts

  • $420 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $420; HOA covers common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, and snow removal; Community amenities include boat slip, clubhouse, community center, exercise room, gated community, golf course, lake, outdoor pool, retirement community features, and shuffleboard

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached oversized garage with side entry (1-car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric utilities
  • Home design: End-of-row townhouse; Fee simple ownership; Senior community (55+)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Community outdoor pool; Corner unit

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: No basement; Living area per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 6.0% in Leisure Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 419 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
10.01%
Cash-on-cash
13.28%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,238
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51A Cambridge Ct 0.21mi 2/1.0 987 (+0%) 2mo $140,000 $142 88
404A Picardy Ct 0.42mi 2/1.0 982 (0%) 0mo $235,000 $239 80
699A Plymouth Dr Unit 699A 0.50mi 2/1.0 982 (0%) 1mo $259,000 $264 76
703 Plymouth Dr Unit A 0.52mi 2/1.0 982 (0%) 1mo $265,000 $270 75
465D Thornbury Ct 0.53mi 2/1.0 982 (0%) 2mo $205,000 $209 74
402 Picardy Ct Unit B 0.39mi 2/1.0 1,036 (+6%) 0mo $259,900 $251 72
243D Jefferson Ct 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,036 (+6%) 0mo $170,000 $164 71
337C Canterbury Ct 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,078 (+10%) 1mo $160,000 $148 68
530 Portsmouth Dr Unit D 0.67mi 2/1.0 982 (0%) 2mo $196,000 $200 67
562 Portsmouth Dr Unit 562C 0.69mi 2/1.0 982 (0%) 1mo $187,000 $190 66
569A Sheffield Ct 0.72mi 2/1.0 982 (0%) 0mo $1,169,900 $1,191 66
500B Thornbury Ct Unit B 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,078 (+10%) 1mo $216,000 $200 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$4,711
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$37,052
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08701

Active inventory
419
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,114 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,857/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$420
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$387

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,623
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
47L Cambridge Ct Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 841 $1,795 $2.13 24d 1 0.25mi
341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 982 $2,275 $2.32 22d 1 0.27mi
335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 982 $1,950 $1.99 19d 1 0.32mi
106A Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 858 $2,200 $2.56 17d 1 0.34mi
219 Buckingham Ct Lakewood, NJ 1.0 1.0 663 $1,900 $2.87 43d 1 0.40mi
278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,250 $2.25 2d 1 0.57mi
1042C Aberdeen Dr Unit C Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 982 $2,000 $2.04 4d 1 1.11mi
824A Balmoral Ct Unit A Toms River, NJ 2.0 1.0 982 $2,200 $2.24 19d 1 1.25mi
829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ 1.0 1.0 663 $1,600 $2.41 24d 1 1.30mi
1100 Deer Path Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0–1.5 1187 $2,575 $2.17 1d 4 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$420 · $5,040/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $125,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $125,000 Active Under Contract 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    remarks 693-char remark
  5. 2026-06-04
    listed $125,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,857 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,485 · $207/mo
Expected delta
+$628/yr (+$52/mo · 33.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,365
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,857
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,029
− Management
−$2,029
− HOA
−$5,040
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$3,146
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$755
After-tax cash flow
$3,895/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakewood Township School District
NCES district ID
3408220
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,301
Composite
19.21/100
National rank
#8813
State rank
#417 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Leisure Village

Score
64/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#14624

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Leisure Village, NJ
County
Ocean County · 439,426 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
139,149
Household income
$64,959
Rent vs Own
48.5% rent · 51.5% own
Severe rent burden
5757.0

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -682.83%
Current HPI
465.344
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $125,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $125,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,857 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…