4298 South St · Marianna, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.1/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CHARMING Home for sale! Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Nearby amenities
- Local restaurants
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential zoning
- Construction: Block construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Open porch; Paved lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (12.5 x 7); Electric Range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; First-floor bedrooms (2): 10 x 10 and 10.5 x 9
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (7.5 x 6)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Living room; Dining room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($165/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (15.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in Marianna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#592 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.45%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $113,920
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2823 Wynn St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 886 (-0%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $147 | 73 |
| 2760 Wynn St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 875 (-2%) | 5mo | $88,000 | $101 | 71 |
| 2925 Orange St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 858 (-4%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $146 | 62 |
| 2850 Stuart Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-8%) | 23mo | $60,000 | $74 | 50 |
| 2849 Miltonia Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+13%) | 23mo | $101,000 | $100 | 46 |
| 2769 Brenda St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+8%) | 23mo | $130,000 | $135 | 44 |
| 2925 Harley Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,012 (+14%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $128 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-20,202
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-16,511
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32448
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,096 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $14
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$130,000 Active
-
2024-03-18soldstatus $110,000
-
2024-03-14soldstatus $110,000 Closed 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
CHARMING Home for sale!Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!
-
2024-03-14soldstatus $110,000 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
CHARMING Home for sale!Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!
-
2024-01-31status Pending 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
CHARMING Home for sale!Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!
-
2024-01-31$110,000 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
CHARMING Home for sale!Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!
-
2024-01-26price $114,900 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
CHARMING Home for sale! Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!
-
2024-01-20$124,900 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
CHARMING Home for sale! Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!
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2023-11-08soldstatus $65,000
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2014-12-30soldstatus $65,000
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2013-04-02soldstatus $70,000
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2012-07-06soldstatus $64,000
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2008-11-14soldstatus $64,100
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2007-01-04soldstatus $62,500
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1998-04-01soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,398 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,398 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,398
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,053
- − Management
- −$1,053
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$2,060
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$494
- After-tax cash flow
- $659/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson
- NCES district ID
- 1200960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,824
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3358
- State rank
- #39 of 73 in FL
Livability — Marianna
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #592
- US rank
- #11318
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marianna, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,041
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,095 people
- By 2030
- 44,432 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 41,077 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 37,587 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 28,921 · -37.3%
- By 2100
- 19,332 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 41% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.86%
- Current HPI
- 140.1373
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1344.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $130,000 CPARMLS
- 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2024-03-14 Sold (MLS) $110,000 CATRS
- 2024-03-14 Sold (MLS) $110,000 CPARMLS
- 2024-01-31 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2024-01-31 Listed $110,000 CATRS
- 2024-01-26 Price Changed $114,900 CPARMLS
- 2024-01-20 Listed $124,900 CPARMLS
- 2023-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2012-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 2008-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $64,100 Public Records
- 2007-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 1998-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,398 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…