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4298 South St
D- Composite 35.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

4298 South St · Marianna, FL 32448
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 890 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1946 5,227 sqft lot Est $114k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CHARMING Home for sale! Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Nearby amenities
  • Local restaurants

Tags

SMALL-TOWN LIVINGNEARBY AMENITIESCLOSE TO SCHOOLSLOCAL RESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential zoning
  • Construction: Block construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Open porch; Paved lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (12.5 x 7); Electric Range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; First-floor bedrooms (2): 10 x 10 and 10.5 x 9
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (7.5 x 6)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Living room; Dining room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($165/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (15.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in Marianna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#592 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,644 (15.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.45%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$113,920
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2823 Wynn St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 886 (-0%) 9mo $130,000 $147 73
2760 Wynn St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 875 (-2%) 5mo $88,000 $101 71
2925 Orange St 0.65mi 3/1.0 858 (-4%) 2mo $125,000 $146 62
2850 Stuart Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-8%) 23mo $60,000 $74 50
2849 Miltonia Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+13%) 23mo $101,000 $100 46
2769 Brenda St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+8%) 23mo $130,000 $135 44
2925 Harley Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,012 (+14%) 12mo $130,000 $128 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-20,202
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-16,511
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32448

Home prices YoY
-29.9%
Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,096 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,398/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,079
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    listed $130,000 Active
  16. 2024-03-18
    soldstatus $110,000
  17. 2024-03-14
    soldstatus $110,000 Closed 320-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    CHARMING Home for sale!Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!

  18. 2024-03-14
    soldstatus $110,000 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    CHARMING Home for sale!Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!

  19. 2024-01-31
    status Pending 320-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    CHARMING Home for sale!Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!

  20. 2024-01-31
    listed $110,000 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    CHARMING Home for sale!Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!

  21. 2024-01-26
    price $114,900 320-char remark
    Show marketing remark (320 chars)

    CHARMING Home for sale! Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!

  22. 2024-01-20
    listed $124,900 Active 320-char remark
    Show marketing remark (320 chars)

    CHARMING Home for sale! Discover this delightful 3 bed 1 bath gem nestled in the heart of Marianna, Ideal for starters or as a rental investment, this quaint house offers the convenience of being close to grocery stores, schools, and restaurants. Don't miss out--reach out to your preferred realtor now for a viewing!

  23. 2023-11-08
    soldstatus $65,000
  24. 2014-12-30
    soldstatus $65,000
  25. 2013-04-02
    soldstatus $70,000
  26. 2012-07-06
    soldstatus $64,000
  27. 2008-11-14
    soldstatus $64,100
  28. 2007-01-04
    soldstatus $62,500
  29. 1998-04-01
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,398 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,398 · $117/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,157
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,398
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,053
− Management
−$1,053
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$2,060
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$494
After-tax cash flow
$659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson
NCES district ID
1200960
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$36,824
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3358
State rank
#39 of 73 in FL

Livability — Marianna

Score
66/100
State rank
#592
US rank
#11318

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marianna, FL
Population (ZIP)
8,041

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,095 people
By 2030
44,432 · -3.6%
By 2040
41,077 · -10.9%
By 2050
37,587 · -18.5%
By 2075
28,921 · -37.3%
By 2100
19,332 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 41% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.86%
Current HPI
140.1373
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1344.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $130,000 CPARMLS
  • 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2024-03-14 Sold (MLS) $110,000 CATRS
  • 2024-03-14 Sold (MLS) $110,000 CPARMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Listed $110,000 CATRS
  • 2024-01-26 Price Changed $114,900 CPARMLS
  • 2024-01-20 Listed $124,900 CPARMLS
  • 2023-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2014-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2013-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2012-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 2008-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $64,100 Public Records
  • 2007-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
  • 1998-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,398 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…