🏷️ Likely Rental
29 Avery Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!
Key facts
- North buffalo double
- Off-street parking
- Prime location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $252k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $260k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.79%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $592,906
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- -56.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Avery Ave | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 | 2,107 (+9%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $131 | 82 |
| 301 Crestwood Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 2,024 (+4%) | 3mo | $359,000 | $177 | 76 |
| 146 Ramsdell Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 1,936 (0%) | 6mo | $281,000 | $145 | 71 |
| 41 Hartwell Rd | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,013 (+4%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $142 | 68 |
| 79 Lincoln Blvd | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,968 (+2%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $132 | 62 |
| 130 W Hazeltine Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,806 (-7%) | 4mo | $246,000 | $136 | 59 |
| 508 Linden Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,856 (-4%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $129 | 58 |
| 180 Euclid Ave | 0.51mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (-5%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $125 | 57 |
| 397 Sanders Rd | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,804 (-7%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $150 | 56 |
| 204 E Hazeltine Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,733 (-10%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $156 | 55 |
| 153 Hinman Ave | 0.51mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,152 (+11%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $70 | 46 |
| 27 Hobmoor Ave | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,140 (+10%) | 3mo | $321,600 | $150 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-6,561
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $44,653
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14216
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 16.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,610 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $689/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$548
- Net cashflow
- $533
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,610 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,305 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,305 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,610 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244 Hartwell Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2514 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 1d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 77 Lovering Ave #2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,895 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 140 Commonwealth Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $3,500 | $2.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 359 Colvin Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2010 | $2,100 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 88 Commonwealth Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1355 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 309 N Park Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2560 | $1,750 | $0.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 79 Commonwealth Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 307 Sterling Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 414 Taunton Pl Unit Lowet Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 172 Tremont Ave Kenmore, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1569 | $2,500 | $1.59 | 10d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 351 Stillwell Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2586 | $1,800 | $0.70 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 139 Fordham Dr Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1453 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 237 W Girard Blvd Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1329 | $4,000 | $3.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 202 Summit Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $259,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-12price $259,900 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!
-
2026-05-05status Active 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!
-
2026-04-28status Pending 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!
-
2026-04-16$269,900 Active 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!
-
2025-11-24historical
-
2025-08-22price $275,000
-
2025-06-24$289,000 Active
-
2024-11-07$325,000 Active
-
2018-10-05soldstatus $170,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2018-10-05soldstatus $170,000
-
2018-08-16status Pending Sale
-
2018-08-13status Under Contract- Do Not Show
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2018-08-10price $185,000
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2018-07-21price $194,900
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2018-06-25$199,900 Active
-
2009-04-01soldstatus $94,900
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1993-11-19soldstatus $41,750
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1993-11-19soldstatus $41,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $689 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,541 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,851/yr (+$154/mo · 268.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$689
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,506
- − Management
- −$2,506
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $2,201
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$528
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,849
- Household income
- $69,629
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1831.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -264.53%
- Current HPI
- 421.1138
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.65%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+522.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $259,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-28 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $269,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-24 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed $275,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-06-24 Listed $289,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-11-07 Listed $325,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-05 Sold (MLS) $170,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-08-16 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-08-13 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-08-10 Price Changed $185,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-07-21 Price Changed $194,900 WNYREIS
- 2018-06-25 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS
- 2009-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records
- 1993-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $41,750 Public Records
- 1993-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $41,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $689 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…