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29 Avery Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 58.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,900

29 Avery Ave · Buffalo, NY 14216
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,936 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1927 3,332 sqft lot $134/sqft · 56% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!

Key facts

  • North buffalo double
  • Off-street parking
  • Prime location

Tags

NORTH BUFFALO DOUBLEOFF-STREET PARKINGPRIME LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $259,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$592,906) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
  • Recommended offer: $252k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $260k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $252,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.79%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$592,906
List price
$259,900
Delta
-56.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19 Avery Ave 0.03mi 4/2.0 2,107 (+9%) 2mo $275,000 $131 82
301 Crestwood Ave 0.30mi 4/2.0 2,024 (+4%) 3mo $359,000 $177 76
146 Ramsdell Ave 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,936 (0%) 6mo $281,000 $145 71
41 Hartwell Rd 0.42mi 4/2.0 2,013 (+4%) 8mo $285,000 $142 68
79 Lincoln Blvd 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,968 (+2%) 2mo $260,000 $132 62
130 W Hazeltine Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,806 (-7%) 4mo $246,000 $136 59
508 Linden Ave 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,856 (-4%) 4mo $240,000 $129 58
180 Euclid Ave 0.51mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,836 (-5%) 7mo $230,000 $125 57
397 Sanders Rd 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,804 (-7%) 5mo $270,000 $150 56
204 E Hazeltine Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,733 (-10%) 9mo $270,000 $156 55
153 Hinman Ave 0.51mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,152 (+11%) 8mo $150,000 $70 46
27 Hobmoor Ave 0.64mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,140 (+10%) 3mo $321,600 $150 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-6,561
Equity at exit
$38,752
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$44,653
Equity at exit
$22,471

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14216

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
16.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,610 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $689/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$548
Net cashflow
$533

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,935
Max offer price $259,900
Occupancy floor 75%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,610

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
244 Hartwell Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 2d 1 0.08mi
2514 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1620 $1,650 $1.02 1d 1 0.19mi
77 Lovering Ave #2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,895 $1.31 43d 1 0.31mi
140 Commonwealth Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $3,500 $2.80 43d 1 0.40mi
359 Colvin Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2010 $2,100 $1.04 23d 1 0.44mi
88 Commonwealth Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1355 $1,695 $1.25 19d 1 0.51mi
309 N Park Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2560 $1,750 $0.68 14d 1 0.54mi
79 Commonwealth Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,600 $1.10 23d 1 0.54mi
307 Sterling Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1632 $1,800 $1.10 3d 1 0.67mi
414 Taunton Pl Unit Lowet Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,700 $1.38 14d 1 0.86mi
172 Tremont Ave Kenmore, NY 3.0 1.5 1569 $2,500 $1.59 10d 1 0.99mi
351 Stillwell Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2586 $1,800 $0.70 23d 1 1.11mi
139 Fordham Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1453 $1,700 $1.17 23d 1 1.20mi
237 W Girard Blvd Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1329 $4,000 $3.01 23d 1 1.37mi
202 Summit Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2000 $2,400 $1.20 23d 1 1.40mi
163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 2d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,900 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,900 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,900 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,900 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,900 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $259,900 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $259,900 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,900 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,900 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,900 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,900 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,900 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,900 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $259,900 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!

  16. 2026-05-05
    status Active 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!

  17. 2026-04-28
    status Pending 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!

  18. 2026-04-16
    listed $269,900 Active 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Welcome to this classic North Buffalo double featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units with comfortable layouts and bright, inviting spaces. With one unit vacant and the other tenant occupied, this property offers the perfect blend of flexibility and steady income. Off-street parking adds everyday convenience, while the prime location keeps you close to neighborhood favorites, shops, and restaurants. Ideal for both investors and owner-occupants alike! Showings begin immediately!

  19. 2025-11-24
    historical
  20. 2025-08-22
    price $275,000
  21. 2025-06-24
    listed $289,000 Active
  22. 2024-11-07
    listed $325,000 Active
  23. 2018-10-05
    soldstatus $170,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  24. 2018-10-05
    soldstatus $170,000
  25. 2018-08-16
    status Pending Sale
  26. 2018-08-13
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  27. 2018-08-10
    price $185,000
  28. 2018-07-21
    price $194,900
  29. 2018-06-25
    listed $199,900 Active
  30. 2009-04-01
    soldstatus $94,900
  31. 1993-11-19
    soldstatus $41,750
  32. 1993-11-19
    soldstatus $41,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$689 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,541 · $212/mo
Expected delta
+$1,851/yr (+$154/mo · 268.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,320
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$689
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,506
− Management
−$2,506
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable income
$2,201
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$528
After-tax cash flow
$5,870/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,849
Household income
$69,629
Rent vs Own
54.4% rent · 45.6% own
Severe rent burden
1831.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -264.53%
Current HPI
421.1138
Rent YoY
▲ 3.65%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+522.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $259,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-28 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $269,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-24 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-22 Price Changed $275,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $289,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-11-07 Listed $325,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2018-10-05 Sold (MLS) $170,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-08-16 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-08-13 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-08-10 Price Changed $185,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-07-21 Price Changed $194,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-06-25 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS
  • 2009-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records
  • 1993-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $41,750 Public Records
  • 1993-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $41,750 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $689 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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