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15104 Ardmore St
D Composite 43.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$22,400

15104 Ardmore St · Detroit, MI 48227
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1918 4,356 sqft lot $20/sqft · 60% below area ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity in Detroit's desirable Bethune Community Neighborhood! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow offers strong potential for investors looking to complete a value-add renovation project. The home features a functional layout, a basement providing additional storage or finishing potential, and flexibility for future improvements. Convenient access to major roads, schools, and local amenities, this property is well-positioned for long-term rental demand. Whether you're a seasoned investor or looking to make some sweat equity - this property presents an opportunity in an established Detroit neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information.

Key facts

  • Functional layout
  • Local amenities
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYVALUE-ADD RENOVATION PROJECTFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTLOCAL AMENITIESLONG-TERM RENTAL DEMAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $884 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
  • Recommended offer: $20k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 53.7% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $155 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $672 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $20,384 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.87%
Cap rate
53.66%
Cash-on-cash
169.18%
DSCR
8.53
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,830
List price
$22,400
Delta
-59.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15770 Stansbury St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-2%) 1mo $50,000 $45 77
15041 Lesure St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,021 (-9%) 2mo $50,000 $49 76
15430 Mark Twain St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,026 (-9%) 1mo $95,000 $93 74
15824 Snowden St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,127 (+0%) 0mo $61,000 $54 72
15824 Snowden St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,127 (+0%) 0mo $61,000 $54 72
15366 Sussex St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-2%) 3mo $105,000 $95 68
16180 Snowden St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,137 (+1%) 0mo $61,000 $54 63
14644 Hubbell St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+11%) 2mo $45,000 $36 62
16174 Lauder St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,084 (-3%) 3mo $102,900 $95 55
14321 Ardmore St 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (+6%) 2mo $11,000 $9 52
15053 Littlefield St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,286 (+15%) 2mo $75,000 $58 51
16176 Tracey St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,270 (+13%) 0mo $70,000 $55 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.96×
Total profit
$56,225
Equity at exit
$3,340
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
22.81×
Total profit
$136,775
Equity at exit
$1,937

Cash invested: $6,272 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
391
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,315 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$117
Tax est. 1.5%
$28 /mo · $336/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$884

Break-even live

Break-even rent $196
Max offer price $22,400
Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $900 -5% $892 +0% $884 +5% $877 +10% $869
Rent -10% $780 -5% $832 +0% $884 +5% $936 +10% $988
Rate -1.0pp $896 -0.5pp $890 base $884 +0.5pp $878 +1.0pp $873

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,600
Closing costs
$672
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15073 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 860 $1,350 $1.57 18d 1 0.20mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 13d 1 0.21mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 18d 1 0.25mi
15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 25d 1 0.34mi
15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 18d 1 0.34mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 0.34mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 4d 1 0.34mi
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 45d 1 0.38mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1080 $1,475 $1.37 18d 1 0.41mi
14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1033 $1,150 $1.11 21d 1 0.42mi
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 18d 1 0.42mi
15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1294 $1,275 $0.99 23d 1 0.43mi
15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 19d 1 0.50mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 25d 1 0.50mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 13d 1 0.50mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 25d 1 0.50mi
14847 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 849 $1,150 $1.35 19d 1 0.51mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 18d 1 0.60mi
14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 45d 1 0.60mi
15468 Sussex St #2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 45d 1 0.60mi
15100 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 45d 1 0.61mi
15810 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 25d 1 0.62mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,425 $1.10 45d 1 0.66mi
15738 Sorrento Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 762 $1,175 $1.54 45d 1 0.70mi
14893 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 16d 1 0.73mi
15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 45d 1 0.73mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 12d 1 0.75mi
16151 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,525 $1.17 16d 1 0.77mi
14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 0.80mi
16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 45d 1 0.90mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 6d 1 0.92mi
14615 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1217 $1,300 $1.07 18d 1 0.93mi
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 45d 1 0.94mi
15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 45d 1 0.95mi
14580 Forrer St Unit Unit Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1300 $900 $0.69 21d 1 0.96mi
14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,100 $1.07 25d 1 0.97mi
15375 Prevost St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 907 $1,300 $1.43 18d 1 1.00mi
15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 931 $1,200 $1.29 6d 1 1.03mi
15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 45d 1 1.03mi
14836 Rutherford St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1104 $950 $0.86 45d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $22,400 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $22,400 Active 108 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $22,400 Active 107 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $22,400 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $22,400 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $22,400 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $22,400 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $22,400 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $22,400 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $22,400 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $22,400 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $22,400 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $22,400 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-04-25
    price $22,400 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in Detroit's desirable Bethune Community Neighborhood! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow offers strong potential for investors looking to complete a value-add renovation project. The home features a functional layout, a basement providing additional storage or finishing potential, and flexibility for future improvements. Convenient access to major roads, schools, and local amenities, this property is well-positioned for long-term rental demand. Whether you're a seasoned investor or looking to make some sweat equity - this property presents an opportunity in an established Detroit neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information.

  15. 2026-04-24
    price $22,400 666-char remark
    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in Detroit’s desirable Bethune Community Neighborhood! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow offers strong potential for investors looking to complete a value-add renovation project. The home features a functional layout, a basement providing additional storage or finishing potential, and flexibility for future improvements. Convenient access to major roads, schools, and local amenities, this property is well-positioned for long-term rental demand. Whether you're a seasoned investor or looking to make some sweat equity - this property presents an opportunity in an established Detroit neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information.

  16. 2026-03-18
    status Active 666-char remark
    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in Detroit’s desirable Bethune Community Neighborhood! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow offers strong potential for investors looking to complete a value-add renovation project. The home features a functional layout, a basement providing additional storage or finishing potential, and flexibility for future improvements. Convenient access to major roads, schools, and local amenities, this property is well-positioned for long-term rental demand. Whether you're a seasoned investor or looking to make some sweat equity - this property presents an opportunity in an established Detroit neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information.

  17. 2026-03-18
    historical 666-char remark
    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in Detroit’s desirable Bethune Community Neighborhood! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow offers strong potential for investors looking to complete a value-add renovation project. The home features a functional layout, a basement providing additional storage or finishing potential, and flexibility for future improvements. Convenient access to major roads, schools, and local amenities, this property is well-positioned for long-term rental demand. Whether you're a seasoned investor or looking to make some sweat equity - this property presents an opportunity in an established Detroit neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information.

  18. 2026-03-02
    listed $24,900 Active 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in Detroit’s desirable Bethune Community Neighborhood! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow offers strong potential for investors looking to complete a value-add renovation project. The home features a functional layout, a basement providing additional storage or finishing potential, and flexibility for future improvements. Convenient access to major roads, schools, and local amenities, this property is well-positioned for long-term rental demand. Whether you're a seasoned investor or looking to make some sweat equity - this property presents an opportunity in an established Detroit neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information.

  19. 2026-03-02
    listed $24,900 Active 666-char remark
    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in Detroit’s desirable Bethune Community Neighborhood! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow offers strong potential for investors looking to complete a value-add renovation project. The home features a functional layout, a basement providing additional storage or finishing potential, and flexibility for future improvements. Convenient access to major roads, schools, and local amenities, this property is well-positioned for long-term rental demand. Whether you're a seasoned investor or looking to make some sweat equity - this property presents an opportunity in an established Detroit neighborhood. Buyer to verify all information.

  20. 2017-07-06
    historical
  21. 2017-07-06
    historical
  22. 2017-06-20
    historical
  23. 2017-06-20
    historical
  24. 2017-01-31
    listed $24,000 Active
  25. 2017-01-31
    listed $24,000 Active
  26. 2017-01-31
    listed $24,000 Active
  27. 2017-01-31
    listed $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,783
− Mortgage interest
−$1,255
− Property taxes
−$336
− Insurance
−$112
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,263
− Management
−$1,263
− Depreciation
−$652
Taxable income
$10,903
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,617
After-tax cash flow
$7,994/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $22,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $22,400 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-18 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-07-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-06-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-06-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-01-31 Listed $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-01-31 Listed $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-01-31 Listed $24,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-01-31 Listed $24,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,623 · +111.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…