800 Prospect Ave · Bristol, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Conveniently located in Bristol, Virginia, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the ease of one-level living with additional finished space in the basement and an attached garage. Hardwood flooring runs throughout much of the main level, and the functional floor plan provides comfortable everyday living with plenty of potential to make the space your own. The finished basement offers flexibility for a den, home office, hobby room, workout area, or additional living space. Recent improvements include a new HVAC system installed in 2020 and a new water heater in 2025, providing added value and peace of mind. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a property
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Finished basement
- One level living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached asphalt garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; Residential zoning (R)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Block foundation; Built with a below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Side porch; Level to sloped topography
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Fireplace in living room and basement; Partially finished basement (concrete)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (16.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.9% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#140 in VA, #4,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Bristol City Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #53 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Virginia Middle (math 56% / reading 71%, grade B+, #128 of 342 statewide, top 39%, 487 students, 101% FRL); Virginia High (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 637 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15 units permitted in Bristol city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bristol County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $189k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.75%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,880
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726 Lawrence Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,205 (-5%) | 3mo | $194,000 | $161 | 78 |
| 617 Prince St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,228 (-3%) | 8mo | $232,000 | $189 | 72 |
| 1006 Highland Ave | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,356 (+7%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $166 | 63 |
| 1205 Euclid Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,207 (-5%) | 17mo | $165,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 719 Vernon St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-6%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $152 | 59 |
| 332 Randolph St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (+6%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $160 | 58 |
| 617 Vernon St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,227 (-3%) | 21mo | $199,900 | $163 | 53 |
| 144 Crescent Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,098 (-13%) | 8mo | $126,800 | $115 | 43 |
| 441 Clinton Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,306 (+3%) | 15mo | $9,780 | $7 | 42 |
| 359 Buchanan St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,228 (-3%) | 22mo | $120,000 | $98 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-22,988
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-10,414
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24201
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,586 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $744/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $121
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1216 Norway St Unit 101 Bristol, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1216 Norway St Unit 102 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1405 Newton St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 135 Kingsolver St Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 203 Opal Ln Unit 4 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 308 Emerald Dr Unit 308 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 970 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1136 Moorland Ave Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1156 Bristol View Dr Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1152 | $1,650 | $1.43 | 13d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 1718 Clifton Rd Bristol, TN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1672 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 279 Reservoir St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $189,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-10pricedays on market $189,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-07$199,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $744 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,550 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$806/yr (+$67/mo · 108.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,034
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$744
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,523
- − Management
- −$1,523
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$1,785
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$428
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,883/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bristol City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100450
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,978
- Composite
- 52.4/100
- National rank
- #1579
- State rank
- #53 of 131 in VA
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #4544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bristol, VA
- City population
- 16,039
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,039
Population outlook (Bristol County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,113 people
- By 2030
- 15,510 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 14,121 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 12,847 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 9,870 · -38.7%
- By 2100
- 7,883 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Iranian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bristol
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -206.40%
- Current HPI
- 196.2099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+109.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $199,000 TVRMLS
- 2011-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…