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305 Mill St
C- Composite 52.94
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,000

305 Mill St · Laceyville, PA 18623
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,746 sqft · Other · 61 Days on market
Built 1920 0.66 ac lot $80/sqft · 16% below area Est $166k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable 3 bedroom home located in Laceyville Borough. Home has been fully painted throughout and new flooring throughout the home. First floor features a open layout with a large room that could be a first floor bedroom. First floor half bath with laundry could easily be made into a full bath. Also features a large lot with detached garage and large yard.

Key facts

  • Large room
  • Large lot
  • Large yard

Tags

OPEN LAYOUTLARGE ROOMFIRST FLOOR HALF BATHLARGE LOTDETACHED GARAGELARGE YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-114/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (7.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,353 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, employment B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wyalusing Area SD (rural): math 24% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #400 of 539 in PA (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
  • Wyoming County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $139k implies a 271% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $128,607 (7.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.29%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,953
List price
$139,000
Delta
-16.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$7,031
Equity at exit
$52,747
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$38,003
Equity at exit
$74,391

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18623

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,286 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,864/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$-10

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,298
Max offer price $137,321
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $69 -5% $30 +0% $-10 +5% $-49 +10% $-88
Rent -10% $-111 -5% $-60 +0% $-10 +5% $41 +10% $92
Rate -1.0pp $60 -0.5pp $26 base $-10 +0.5pp $-46 +1.0pp $-82

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,000 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    listed $139,000 Active 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    Affordable 3 bedroom home located in Laceyville Borough. Home has been fully painted throughout and new flooring throughout the home. First floor features a open layout with a large room that could be a first floor bedroom. First floor half bath with laundry could easily be made into a full bath. Also features a large lot with detached garage and large yard.

  17. 2010-04-29
    soldstatus $37,500
  18. 2006-03-31
    soldstatus $81,900
  19. 2002-06-05
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,864 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,864 · $239/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,433
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,864
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,235
− Management
−$1,235
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable loss
−$2,425
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$582
After-tax cash flow
$468/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wyalusing Area SD
NCES district ID
4226700
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$51,219
Composite
31.2/100
National rank
#6043
State rank
#400 of 539 in PA

Livability — Laceyville

Score
62/100
State rank
#1353
US rank
#16781

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laceyville, PA
Population (ZIP)
2,194

Population outlook (Wyoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,334 people
By 2030
25,225 · -4.2%
By 2040
22,707 · -13.8%
By 2050
20,250 · -23.1%
By 2075
15,192 · -42.3%
By 2100
10,961 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wyoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.8) · D 31.1% · R 67.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-29.2pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -36.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.8 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+38.7 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+7.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.72%
Current HPI
131.3259
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+152.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $139,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2010-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
  • 2006-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $81,900 Public Records
  • 2002-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,864 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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