7 Greenbriar Dr · Duluth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence that perfectly blends cozy character with modern updates. As you step through the front door, you are greeted by a spacious living room featuring brand-new carpet and a grand stone fireplace that serves as a stunning focal point. The kitchen is fully equipped with new countertops, a new refrigerator, a gas stove, and a dishwasher, all flowing seamlessly into a bright breakfast nook. Tucked away at the back of the home for maximum privacy, the master suite is a true retreat, boasting a completely remodeled 3/4 bath with a new walk-in shower, fresh linoleum flooring, a modern vanity, and an added window that adds light and airflow.
Key facts
- New walk-in shower
- Modern vanity
- Remodeled 3/4 bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease: $750 (if applicable); Annual tax amount listed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Off-street asphalt parking; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; One-story
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Shed(s); Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Fireplace heating; No central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Master suite on main level; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Proctor Public School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #177 of 301 in MN (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.74%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Greenbriar Dr | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $66 | 99 |
| 21 Kalmia Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (0%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $70 | 85 |
| 48 Arbutus Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (0%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $58 | 76 |
| 33 Ivy Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+7%) | 2mo | $98,500 | $76 | 76 |
| 9234 Brook St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (0%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $201 | 61 |
| 110 Grove St | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (-5%) | 5mo | $271,000 | $234 | 61 |
| 4 Plumtree Cir | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,072 (-12%) | 8mo | $79,900 | $75 | 50 |
| 111 2nd St | 0.72mi | 2/2.5 | 1,332 (+10%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $233 | 48 |
| 9123 Brook St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,091 (-10%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $202 | 44 |
| 8 4th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,371 (+13%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $128 | 38 |
| 9235 Meadow St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,309 (+8%) | 10mo | $179,000 | $137 | 38 |
| 132 1st St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,066 (-12%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $136 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $66,977
- Equity at exit
- $71,980
- IRR
- 33.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.99×
- Total profit
- $178,836
- Equity at exit
- $155,228
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55810
- Home prices YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,165 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $368
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $423 | -5% $396 | +0% $368 | +5% $340 | +10% $313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $276 | -5% $322 | +0% $368 | +5% $414 | +10% $460 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $408 | -0.5pp $388 | base $368 | +0.5pp $347 | +1.0pp $326 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-21$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,979
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,118
- − Management
- −$1,118
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,344
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$803
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,615/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, with potential for significant value increase through updates to interior walls, landscaping, and kitchen and bathroom improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — existing cabinets
- Minor bathroom fixtures — existing fixtures
- Minor exterior siding — existing siding
- Minor interior walls — existing paint
- Minor windows — existing windows
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls and trim — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscape and add curb appeal — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale replace bathroom fixtures and flooring — new fixtures and flooring improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale repair and paint exterior siding — new siding enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · existing cabinets | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · existing fixtures | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior siding · existing siding | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior walls · existing paint | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| windows · existing windows | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $2,500–15,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls and trim — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscape and add curb appeal — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale replace bathroom fixtures and flooring — new fixtures and flooring improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale repair and paint exterior siding — new siding enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Proctor Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2730090
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,151
- Composite
- 38.84/100
- National rank
- #4106
- State rank
- #177 of 301 in MN
Livability — Duluth
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duluth, MN
- City population
- 71,097
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,305
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Native American 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 13% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 53.59%
- Current HPI
- 515.02
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — LSAR
- 2026-04-21 Listed $79,900 LSAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…