13727 California Ave · Eagle, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,699
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
lovely 4 bed 2 bath double wide home
Key facts
- Pavilion
- Community center
- Basketball courts
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $114,699
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family property; Active listing
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,568
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec home (Capital Crossings plan)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $518 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#480 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Portland Public Schools (town): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #191 of 540 in MI (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $793 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.35%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $14,427
- Equity at exit
- $17,102
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $55,143
- Equity at exit
- $9,917
Cash invested: $32,116 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48822
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,659 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$601
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$143 /mo · $1,720/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $518
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $597 | -5% $558 | +0% $518 | +5% $478 | +10% $439 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $387 | -5% $452 | +0% $518 | +5% $583 | +10% $649 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $576 | -0.5pp $547 | base $518 | +0.5pp $488 | +1.0pp $458 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,675
- Closing costs
- $3,441
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13531 Declaration Ct Eagle, MI | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,659 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 0.17mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,699 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,699 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,699 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,699 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,699 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,699 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,699 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,699 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,699 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,699 Active 180 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,908
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,720
- − Insurance
- −$573
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,593
- − Management
- −$1,593
- − Depreciation
- −$3,337
- Taxable income
- $4,667
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,120
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,095/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portland Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2629120
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,869
- Composite
- 35.55/100
- National rank
- #4905
- State rank
- #191 of 540 in MI
Livability — Eagle
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #480
- US rank
- #13699
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,410
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,490 people
- By 2030
- 82,558 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 82,325 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 79,133 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 65,737 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 51,314 · -37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Iranian 5% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.6) · D 44.9% · R 53.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -8.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.6 2020: R+6.5 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.2 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.86%
- Current HPI
- 268.4386
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…