136 Walnut Hill Dr · Calhoun, LA 71225

$149,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 26 Days on market

Built 2025 0.65 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.0/30.0
• DSCR +9.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.3/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this sharp 2025 single-wide featuring 3BR \ 2BA!! Nestled on a beautiful lot, you'll love the peaceful setting and fresh, modern feel. Whether you're starting out or simplifying life, this home is the perfect fit. ..

Key facts

• 0.65 acre lot
• Built 2025
• Listed 26 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
• Recommended offer: $147k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.2% in Calhoun — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#22 in LA, #4,072 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $146,765 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.23% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.66%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.04%
• DSCR: 1.54
• GRM: 6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.06×
• Total profit: $2,535
• Equity at exit: $22,216

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.88×
• Total profit: $36,639
• Equity at exit: $12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71225

• Home prices YoY: -21.2%
• Active inventory: 87
• Price-to-rent: 6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,833 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$781
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$186 /mo · $2,235/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$385
• Net cashflow: $418

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303

Max offer price $149,000

Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $521	-5% $470	+0% $418	+5% $367	+10% $315
Rent	-10% $274	-5% $346	+0% $418	+5% $491	+10% $563
Rate	-1.0pp $493	-0.5pp $456	base $418	+0.5pp $380	+1.0pp $341

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,250
• Closing costs: $4,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1114 Brownlee Rd Calhoun, LA	3.0	2.0	1260	$2,150	$1.71	22d	1	1.10mi
161 Cowboy Ln Calhoun, LA	3.0	2.0	1200	$988	$0.82	22d	2	1.19mi
630 Brownlee Rd Calhoun, LA	2.0	2.0	900	$2,150	$2.39	22d	1	1.26mi
185 Brownlee Rd #10 Calhoun, LA	2.0	2.0	900	$1,000	$1.11	45d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-01
   status $149,000 Pending 26 DOM
2. 2026-05-31
   days on market $149,000 Active 26 DOM
3. 2026-05-30
   days on market $149,000 Active 25 DOM
4. 2026-05-07
   status Active 232-char remark

   Show marketing remark (232 chars)

   Welcome home to this sharp 2025 single-wide featuring 3BR \ 2BA!! Nestled on a beautiful lot, you'll love the peaceful setting and fresh, modern feel. Whether you're starting out or simplifying life, this home is the perfect fit. ..

5. 2026-04-03
   status Pending 232-char remark

   Show marketing remark (232 chars)

   Welcome home to this sharp 2025 single-wide featuring 3BR \ 2BA!! Nestled on a beautiful lot, you'll love the peaceful setting and fresh, modern feel. Whether you're starting out or simplifying life, this home is the perfect fit. ..

6. 2026-03-31
   listed $149,000 Active 232-char remark

   Show marketing remark (232 chars)

   Welcome home to this sharp 2025 single-wide featuring 3BR \ 2BA!! Nestled on a beautiful lot, you'll love the peaceful setting and fresh, modern feel. Whether you're starting out or simplifying life, this home is the perfect fit. ..

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,997
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,346
• − Property taxes: −$2,235
• − Insurance: −$745
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,760
• − Management: −$1,760
• − Depreciation: −$4,335
• Taxable income: $2,817
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$676
• After-tax cash flow: $4,345/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ouachita Parish
• NCES district ID: 2201200
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -38.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -31.00%
• Median HH income: $43,316
• Composite: 32.14/100
• National rank: #5791
• State rank: #26 of 98 in LA

Livability — Calhoun

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #22
• US rank: #4072

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 7,450

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 163,370 people
• By 2030: 165,520 · +1.3%
• By 2040: 167,652 · +2.6%
• By 2050: 166,699 · +2.0%
• By 2075: 156,348 · -4.3%
• By 2100: 134,102 · -17.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -54.29%
• Current HPI: 201.8198
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-07 Relisted — NELABOR
• 2026-04-03 Pending — NELABOR
• 2026-03-31 Listed $149,000 NELABOR

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $90 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.