1418 N Cottonwood St · Iola, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.44 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Bungalow-style; One story
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition (shingle) roof; Estimated age: 76–100 years
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Not in a flood plain; Lot approximately 19,200 sq ft
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (central cooling present)
- Interior features: Bungalow floor plan; Living and dining combined (liv/dining combo); Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.8% in Iola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#150 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Iola (town): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #140 of 169 in KS (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $70k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.82%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,056
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Prairie Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+0%) | 2mo | $179,000 | $155 | 71 |
| 1012 Meadowbrook Rd E | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,248 (+9%) | 4mo | $152,000 | $122 | 60 |
| 720 Garfield Rd N | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-8%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $114 | 59 |
| 1015 North Walnut St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (-7%) | 12mo | $92,500 | $87 | 59 |
| 1620 N Walnut St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+0%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $126 | 59 |
| 701 N Chestnut St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,132 (-1%) | 8mo | $72,000 | $64 | 55 |
| 502 N 4th St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,181 (+3%) | 9mo | $39,900 | $34 | 49 |
| 831 North St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,014 (-12%) | 14mo | $127,500 | $126 | 49 |
| 721 N 2nd St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (+10%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $123 | 47 |
| 915 N Buckeye St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,299 (+13%) | 13mo | $139,900 | $108 | 42 |
| 508 N Walnut St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,294 (+13%) | 13mo | $98,000 | $76 | 35 |
| 518 N Second St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-13%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $169 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $9,278
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $34,653
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66749
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,021 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $372 | -5% $347 | +0% $323 | +5% $299 | +10% $275 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $243 | -5% $283 | +0% $323 | +5% $364 | +10% $404 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $358 | -0.5pp $341 | base $323 | +0.5pp $305 | +1.0pp $287 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820 N Walnut St Iola, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $875 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1 1/2 N Jefferson Ave Iola, KS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 17 E Madison Ave Iola, KS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21status $69,900 Pending 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $69,900
-
2026-04-23$74,900 Active
-
2026-04-20historical $74,900
-
2023-10-25soldstatus
-
2002-07-01soldstatus $30,000
-
1998-07-01soldstatus $19,100
-
1998-06-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,248
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$980
- − Management
- −$980
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,941
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$706
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,173/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iola
- NCES district ID
- 2007740
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,749
- Composite
- 20.52/100
- National rank
- #8567
- State rank
- #140 of 169 in KS
Livability — Iola
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #150
- US rank
- #7275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Iola, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,452
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,885 people
- By 2030
- 11,352 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 10,285 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 9,342 · -21.4%
- By 2075
- 7,482 · -37.0%
- By 2100
- 5,871 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 25.8% · R 72.0% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+41.0 2012: R+27.2 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.20%
- Current HPI
- 151.1778
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+179.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Listed $74,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $74,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1998-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,100 Public Records
- 1998-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…