147 Church St · Highland Park, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL! SQUATTER ON PROPERTY – BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR EVICTION. SOLD AS-IS. FIX & FLIP OR FIX & HOLD
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1939
- Listed 319 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 40.3% vs local median 14.2% in Highland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#214 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 320 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $25k implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 320 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 121.29%
- DSCR
- 6.40
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $42,500
- List price
- $24,900
- Delta
- -41.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17419 Wanda St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 777 (-5%) | 24mo | $52,500 | $68 | 58 |
| 709 E Margaret St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 913 (+12%) | 7mo | $15,000 | $16 | 41 |
| 124 Geneva St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+15%) | 12mo | $8,000 | $9 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.87×
- Total profit
- $40,902
- Equity at exit
- $3,713
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.43×
- Total profit
- $93,629
- Equity at exit
- $2,153
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48203
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,183 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,069/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $705
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $719 | -5% $712 | +0% $705 | +5% $698 | +10% $691 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $611 | -5% $658 | +0% $705 | +5% $751 | +10% $798 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $717 | -0.5pp $711 | base $705 | +0.5pp $698 | +1.0pp $692 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 730 Whitmore Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 44d | 3 | 0.78mi |
| 27 Pasadena St Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 941 Merton Rd Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 202 Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 550 | $1,400 | $2.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 17765 Manderson Rd Unit 14 Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 17765 Manderson Rd Unit 8 Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,215 | $1.22 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 127 W Buena Vista St Unit 129 Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 790 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 16927 Inverness St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,650 | $1.84 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $24,900 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $24,900 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $24,900 Active 316 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $24,900 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $24,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $24,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $24,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $24,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $24,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $24,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $24,900 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $24,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $24,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $24,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2025-09-16price $24,900 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL! SQUATTER ON PROPERTY – BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR EVICTION. SOLD AS-IS. FIX & FLIP OR FIX & HOLD
-
2025-09-16price $24,900 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL! SQUATTER ON PROPERTY – BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR EVICTION. SOLD AS-IS. FIX & FLIP OR FIX & HOLD
-
2025-07-30$28,000 Active 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL! SQUATTER ON PROPERTY – BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR EVICTION. SOLD AS-IS. FIX & FLIP OR FIX & HOLD
-
2025-07-30$28,000 Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL! SQUATTER ON PROPERTY – BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR EVICTION. SOLD AS-IS. FIX & FLIP OR FIX & HOLD
-
2002-10-04soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,069 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,069 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,199
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$1,069
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,136
- − Management
- −$1,136
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $8,614
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,067
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Highland Park
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #214
- US rank
- #5271
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Highland Park, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,049
- Household income
- $38,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1192.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.13%
- Current HPI
- 297.0176
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+149.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-30 Listed $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-30 Listed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,069 · -37.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…