🏗️ New Construction
Mahogany Plan · Punta Gorda, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$264,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ryan Homes at Heritage Station features new single-family homes in a gated community with NO CDD fees. Choose your designer interior features with options for water and nature view homesites. Priced from the mid $200s. The Mahogany single-family home offers a fresh take on fine living. From your covered front porch or 2-car garage, step into a ranch floor plan that blends convenience and style. There's plenty of room for family and friends in 2 spacious bedrooms, with a full bath just outside their doors. Gather in your great room for movie nights, and don't forget to prep popcorn and other delicious snacks on your gourmet kitchen's large island. Enjoy the night air on your lanai before hea
Key facts
- Gated community
- Covered front porch
- Ranch floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: Punta Gorda, FL 33955; Status: Active
- Financial info: List price $264,990
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Central air conditioning
- Home design: Plan: Mahogany; New construction plan
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,452
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 2.8% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1481 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,871/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.62%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $85,574
- Equity at exit
- $39,511
- IRR
- 35.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $240,203
- Equity at exit
- $22,911
Cash invested: $74,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33955
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Active inventory
- 1481
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,871 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,023
- Net cashflow
- $2,017
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,248
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25186 Alicante Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1717 | $2,095 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 14040 Heritage Landing Blvd #113 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $6,500 | $4.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14267 Heritage Landing Blvd #1222 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $4,200 | $2.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 14271 Heritage Landing Blvd #1527 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,800 | $1.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16077 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 14261 Heritage Landing Blvd #1615 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $6,000 | $4.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 16107 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14251 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1723 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $6,000 | $4.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14251 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1713 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $4,800 | $3.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14224 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $4,500 | $3.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 14224 Heritage Landing Blvd #921 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $3,400 | $2.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 14241 Heritage Landing Blvd #1821 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $6,000 | $3.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 25222 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 14184 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,947 | $1.43 | 21d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 25214 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 14231 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1928 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $6,000 | $3.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 14221 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 2014 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $6,000 | $4.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 14194 Heritage Landing Blvd #614 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,995 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 14649 Sycamore Ct #2912 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $7,000 | $4.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 14656 Sycamore Ct #3211 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $7,000 | $4.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 14201 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1338 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $6,000 | $4.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14201 Heritage Landing Blvd #1312 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14161 Poppy Field Loop #5811 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $4,200 | $2.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 14191 Heritage Landing Blvd #1214 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,585 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 14149 Poppy Field Loop #6011 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $6,500 | $3.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 16229 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,749 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14271 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $6,500 | $4.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 14161 Heritage Landing Blvd #1118 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 25324 Lychee Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 14141 Heritage Landing Blvd #922 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 14141 Heritage Landing Blvd #935 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $5,500 | $4.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 14121 Heritage Landing Blvd #743 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $6,000 | $5.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 14050 Heritage Landing Blvd #226 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $6,500 | $4.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 14091 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $5,000 | $4.32 | 21d | 2 | 1.21mi |
| 14091 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit Reservation spot 1 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $5,000 | $4.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 14081 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $5,750 | $4.89 | 21d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 14061 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $6,500 | $4.99 | 21d | 3 | 1.36mi |
| 14051 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $6,000 | $4.69 | 21d | 2 | 1.40mi |
| 14051 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit Reservation spot 1 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14041 Heritage Landing Blvd #642 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $6,000 | $5.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $264,990 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $264,990 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $264,990 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $264,990 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $264,990 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $264,990 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $264,990 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $264,990 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $264,990 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $264,990 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $264,990 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $264,990 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $264,990 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $264,990 Active 205 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $58,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,975
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,676
- − Management
- −$4,676
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable income
- $21,245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,099
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Punta Gorda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #3567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,399
- Household income
- $76,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 226.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.71%
- Current HPI
- 242.9043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…