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667 W Southern Rd
C- Composite 51.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

667 W Southern Rd · Orland, IN 49028
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,917 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1940 1.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Quiet area of open fields all around subject, is this 3 bedrroms home with large living room, full unfinished basement, 2 car garage , front covered porch with a barn sitting on 1.5 Acre lot.

Key facts

  • Front covered porch
  • 1.5 acre lot
  • Large living room

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTFRONT COVERED PORCH1.5 ACRE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water
  • Home design: Traditional-style single family residence; Approximately 1,917 living area
  • Construction: Built in 1940; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Full foundation (basement)
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Barn(s) on the property; Well water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Replacement windows; Total of 6 rooms; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#279 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools F.
  • Bronson Community School District (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #340 of 540 in MI (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 43 units permitted in Branch County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Branch County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.95%
Cash-on-cash
5.93%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-9,245
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$6,091
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 49028

Home prices YoY
-34.8%
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,261 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,393/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,042
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $243 -5% $208 +0% $173 +5% $137 +10% $102
Rent -10% $73 -5% $123 +0% $173 +5% $223 +10% $272
Rate -1.0pp $236 -0.5pp $204 base $173 +0.5pp $140 +1.0pp $107

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $124,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 298-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    remarks 191-char remark
  9. 2026-06-12
    listed $124,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,393 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,393 · $116/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,126
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,393
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,210
− Management
−$1,210
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$59
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$14
After-tax cash flow
$2,058/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bronson Community School District
NCES district ID
2606960
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$42,978
Composite
27.14/100
National rank
#7032
State rank
#340 of 540 in MI

Livability — Orland

Score
66/100
State rank
#279
US rank
#11526

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,607
Population (ZIP)
5,969

Population outlook (Branch County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,079 people
By 2030
39,622 · -3.5%
By 2040
36,584 · -10.9%
By 2050
33,462 · -18.5%
By 2075
26,612 · -35.2%
By 2100
18,580 · -54.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Branch

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.0% · R 70.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-36.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -42.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.4 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.49%
Current HPI
173.6851
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $124,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
  • 2016-05-06 Sold (MLS) $125,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-05-06 Sold (MLS) $125,500 REALCOMP
  • 2016-05-03 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-02-23 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-02-04 Price Changed $123,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2015-12-01 Price Changed $128,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2015-09-18 Listed $134,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2015-09-17 Listed $123,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $119,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+68.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,393 · +183.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…