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640 Madison Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

640 Madison Ave · Evansville, IN 47713
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,254 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1919 3,136 sqft lot Est $149k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a package deal with tenants in 2 of the 3 Properties include: 640 Madison Ave rent $1,000/month 653 E Maryland $1,200/month (market rent currently vacant) 410 E Virginia $900/month $5120 per month/$61,440 annually

Key facts

  • 3,136 sq ft lot
  • Built 1919
  • Listed 124 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Taxes listed (annual): $1,238.64

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family, site-built home; One-story
  • Construction: Asphalt construction material
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 104

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces); Laundry on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (located on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: One fireplace located in the family room; Partial, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $95,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$149,226) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Glenwood Leadership Academy (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #909 of 994 statewide, top 92%, 416 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 50% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.64%
Cash-on-cash
15.51%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,226
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
712 E Blackford Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 1,327 (+6%) 1mo $22,000 $17 79
613 Madison Ave 0.07mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (-6%) 4mo $165,000 $140 78
717 E Blackford Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,303 (+4%) 5mo $29,250 $22 74
1107 S Evans Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 1,096 (-13%) 0mo $100,000 $91 72
1101 Ravenswood Dr 0.59mi 2/1.0 1,269 (+1%) 1mo $155,000 $122 69
957 Taylor Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,196 (-5%) 6mo $159,900 $134 68
868 Bellemeade Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,232 (-2%) 5mo $150,000 $122 64
300 Waggoner Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (-2%) 7mo $146,500 $119 63
1108 E Blackford Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 1,176 (-6%) 3mo $48,500 $41 59
1059 Waggoner Ave 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,150 (-8%) 1mo $125,000 $109 50
1041 E Chandler Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,412 (+13%) 6mo $167,888 $119 38
1045 Bayard Park Dr 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,440 (+15%) 4mo $110,000 $76 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$13,103
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$69,632
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47713

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
9.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,247 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,239/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $811
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $398 -5% $371 +0% $344 +5% $317 +10% $290
Rent -10% $245 -5% $295 +0% $344 +5% $393 +10% $442
Rate -1.0pp $392 -0.5pp $368 base $344 +0.5pp $319 +1.0pp $294

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1069 $1,375 $1.29 21d 1 0.10mi
734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 21d 1 0.41mi
827 Judson St Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,295 $1.28 14d 1 0.45mi
17 Washington Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 882 $1,455 $1.65 21d 1 0.58mi
1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 990 $800 $0.81 21d 1 0.71mi
615 SE 3rd St Unit D Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 1122 $895 $0.80 21d 1 0.77mi
304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 967 $955 $0.99 21d 1 0.98mi
322 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 21d 6 0.99mi
315 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 1331 $1,695 $1.27 21d 1 1.01mi
202 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 926 $2,449 $2.64 21d 4 1.08mi
100 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 715 $1,725 $2.41 14d 17 1.15mi
41 W Division St Apt 200 Evansville, IN 2.0 2.0 1083 $1,500 $1.39 21d 1 1.30mi
706 Court St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.5 1100 $850 $0.77 21d 1 1.32mi
313 NW Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Unit 311 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1200 $950 $0.79 21d 1 1.33mi
200 N Main St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 857 $1,599 $1.86 14d 7 1.41mi
1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $1,195 $1.23 14d 1 1.41mi
1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 964 $1,050 $1.09 14d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-02-02
    listed $95,000 Active
  7. 2025-12-21
    historical $700
  8. 2025-12-18
    listed $700
  9. 2024-03-14
    price $85,000
  10. 2024-03-14
    historical $1,000
  11. 2024-01-30
    price $1,000
  12. 2024-01-28
    listed $900
  13. 2023-10-04
    listed $54,900 Active
  14. 2020-10-01
    listed $39,900
  15. 2016-05-09
    listed $35,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,239 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,239 · $103/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,960
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,239
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,197
− Management
−$1,197
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,767
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$664
After-tax cash flow
$3,462/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
9,988
Household income
$40,873
Rent vs Own
61.6% rent · 38.4% own
Severe rent burden
735.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 39% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.22%
Current HPI
229.9312
Rent YoY
▲ 9.87%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+164.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $95,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-12-21 Rental Removed $700 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-18 Listed for Rent $700 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-14 Price Changed $85,000 IRMLS
  • 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-30 Price Changed $1,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-28 Listed for Rent $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-04 Listed $54,900 IRMLS
  • 2020-10-01 Listed $39,900 IRMLS
  • 2016-05-09 Listed $35,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,239 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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