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Highgate Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 37.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$196,399

Highgate Plan · St. Hedwig, TX 78109
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,802 sqft · SingleFamily · 353 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

Key facts

  • Open floorplan
  • Adjoining bathroom
  • Sprawling game room

Tags

TWO STORY HOMECHEF READY KITCHENOPEN FLOORPLANTRANQUIL OWNER'S SUITEADJOINING BATHROOMSPRAWLING GAME ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $196,399 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $229,458.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $196k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-430/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (0.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in St. Hedwig — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1208 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 353 days — a 12% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $172,831 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 353 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.67%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,458
List price
$196,399
Delta
-14.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11565 Cinnamon Rose 0.24mi 4/2.5 1,802 (0%) 1mo $179,999 $100 88
11529 Cinnamon Rose 0.29mi 4/2.5 1,802 (0%) 2mo $184,999 $103 85
2211 Camellia Rose 0.35mi 4/2.5 1,802 (0%) 4mo $189,999 $105 81
1810 Musk Rose 0.17mi 4/2.5 1,867 (+4%) 7mo $255,999 $137 80
11541 Cinnamon Rose 0.27mi 4/2.5 1,692 (-6%) 1mo $224,999 $133 76
11711 Evergreen Rose 0.21mi 4/3.0 1,657 (-8%) 2mo $227,999 $138 73
11639 Evergreen Rose 0.21mi 4/3.0 1,657 (-8%) 2mo $236,999 $143 73
2207 Camellia Rose 0.35mi 4/2.5 1,692 (-6%) 2mo $218,999 $129 72
11723 Evergreen Rose 0.27mi 4/3.0 1,657 (-8%) 1mo $236,999 $143 71
11514 Cedar Close 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,904 (+6%) 6mo $273,999 $144 60
11538 Cedar Close 0.35mi 4/3.0 2,024 (+12%) 5mo $262,999 $130 56
11519 Cedar Close 0.39mi 4/3.0 2,024 (+12%) 5mo $257,999 $127 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.8%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-45,183
Equity at exit
$34,213
10-year hold
IRR
-23.0%
Equity multiple
-0.00×
Total profit
$-64,381
Equity at exit
$19,839

Cash invested: $64,248 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78109

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
1208
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,962 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,203
Tax est. 1.5%
$287 /mo · $3,442/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$-36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,007
Max offer price $224,275
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $123 -5% $43 +0% $-36 +5% $-115 +10% $-194
Rent -10% $-191 -5% $-113 +0% $-36 +5% $42 +10% $119
Rate -1.0pp $80 -0.5pp $23 base $-36 +0.5pp $-95 +1.0pp $-156

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,364
Closing costs
$6,884
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11602 Dog Rose Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1354 $1,650 $1.22 25d 1 0.22mi
11515 Cedar Close Converse, TX 4.0 3.0 2378 $1,895 $0.80 4d 1 0.37mi
4611 E 1604 N Converse, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0 1112 $1,499 $1.35 3d 1 0.89mi
11151 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 1859 $1,705 $0.92 25d 1 0.92mi
11130 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1689 $1,950 $1.15 3d 1 0.95mi
11130 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1709 $1,950 $1.14 23d 1 0.95mi
3106 Drayton Ests Converse, TX 2.0–5.0 2.0–3.5 1733 $2,293 $1.32 3d 1 1.04mi
11050 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2205 $1,875 $0.85 45d 1 1.06mi
11046 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1525 $1,750 $1.15 25d 1 1.07mi
11038 Chatham Ct Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2205 $1,995 $0.90 13d 1 1.08mi
2822 Praline Fry Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1525 $1,645 $1.08 4d 1 1.11mi
2810 Praline Fry Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2204 $1,745 $0.79 45d 1 1.12mi
11019 Chatham Ct Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1428 $1,425 $1.00 45d 1 1.13mi
11010 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX 5.0 2.5 2543 $2,200 $0.87 4d 1 1.14mi
11002 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2204 $1,745 $0.79 45d 1 1.14mi
2826 Tybee Crk Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2204 $1,830 $0.83 5d 1 1.16mi
3006 Citron Gdn Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2198 $1,950 $0.89 4d 1 1.17mi
11030 Yonder Flts Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1428 $1,500 $1.05 5d 1 1.17mi
11026 Yonder Flts Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1525 $1,645 $1.08 4d 1 1.18mi
10922 Chatham Ct Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1525 $1,645 $1.08 25d 1 1.22mi
2939 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1525 $1,495 $0.98 45d 1 1.25mi
10902 Chatham Ct Converse, TX 5.0 2.5 2543 $2,195 $0.86 45d 1 1.25mi
2927 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2205 $1,850 $0.84 3d 1 1.26mi
10950 Chippewa Trce Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2205 $1,800 $0.82 25d 1 1.27mi
10930 Juliette Pass Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2205 $1,850 $0.84 4d 1 1.28mi
10819 Juliette Pass Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2204 $1,745 $0.79 45d 1 1.38mi
2943 Forsyth Cyn Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2203 $1,795 $0.81 25d 1 1.39mi
2815 Armaan WAY Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1401 $1,495 $1.07 3d 1 1.40mi
3026 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2204 $1,745 $0.79 45d 1 1.41mi
3006 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 5.0 2.5 2543 $2,095 $0.82 25d 1 1.41mi
2942 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2204 $1,745 $0.79 45d 1 1.41mi
2934 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2204 $2,070 $0.94 45d 1 1.42mi
3130 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1428 $1,885 $1.32 5d 1 1.42mi
3158 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 2205 $1,895 $0.86 3d 1 1.43mi
3103 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 5.0 2.5 2543 $2,000 $0.79 45d 1 1.44mi
2935 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 5.0 2.5 2543 $2,200 $0.87 25d 1 1.44mi
3055 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1525 $1,595 $1.05 45d 1 1.44mi
2927 Jackson Smt Converse, TX 5.0 2.5 2543 $2,095 $0.82 45d 1 1.44mi
3318 Carducci Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,800 $1.41 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $196,399 Active 353 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $196,049 Active 350 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $196,049 Active 349 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $196,049 Active 348 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $196,049 Active 347 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $195,349 Active 345 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $194,999 Active 341 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $194,999 Active 340 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,999 Active 339 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $194,999 Active 336 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $194,999 Active 335 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $194,999 Active 334 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,999 Active 333 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,999 Active 332 DOM
  15. 2026-02-13
    price $194,999 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

  16. 2025-11-17
    price $205,499 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

  17. 2025-09-01
    price $210,499 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

  18. 2025-07-03
    listed $217,499 Active 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,543
− Mortgage interest
−$12,853
− Property taxes
−$3,442
− Insurance
−$1,147
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,883
− Management
−$1,883
− Depreciation
−$6,675
Taxable loss
−$4,341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,042
After-tax cash flow
$612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This two-story home presents as move-in ready with good condition and modern finishes. It offers a spacious floor plan and ample natural light, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Resale Replace kitchen faucet — Modern faucet can improve kitchen aesthetics and functionality
  • Resale Upgrade bathroom light fixtures — Updated lighting can make bathrooms more inviting and modern

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Resale Replace kitchen faucet — Modern faucet can improve kitchen aesthetics and functionality
  • Resale Upgrade bathroom light fixtures — Updated lighting can make bathrooms more inviting and modern

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Central ISD
NCES district ID
4817850
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,941
Composite
18.67/100
National rank
#8887
State rank
#758 of 826 in TX

Livability — St. Hedwig

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
3,958
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
63,067
Household income
$91,320
Rent vs Own
25.1% rent · 74.9% own
Severe rent burden
1732.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.02%
Current HPI
236.4923
Rent YoY
▼ -1.08%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $194,999 Zillow
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $205,499 Zillow
  • 2025-09-01 Price Changed $210,499 Zillow
  • 2025-07-03 Listed $217,499 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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