🏗️ New Construction
Highgate Plan · Converse, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$201,799
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.
Key facts
- Open floorplan
- Adjoining bathroom
- Sprawling game room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $202k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-723/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (4.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $178k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.4% in Converse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#649 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: East Central Heritage Middle (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 1,120 students, 44% FRL); East Central H S (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,252 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1440 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 48d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 401 days — a 12% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 401 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.12%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,676
- List price
- $201,799
- Delta
- -12.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11327 Evergreen Rose | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 1,802 (0%) | 1mo | $179,999 | $100 | 86 |
| 11565 Cinnamon Rose | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 | 1,802 (0%) | 3mo | $179,999 | $100 | 86 |
| 11529 Cinnamon Rose | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 | 1,802 (0%) | 3mo | $184,999 | $103 | 84 |
| 2211 Camellia Rose | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 | 1,802 (0%) | 5mo | $189,999 | $105 | 79 |
| 11549 Cinnamon Rose | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 1,897 (+5%) | 1mo | $227,999 | $120 | 78 |
| 11319 Evergreen Rose | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 1,692 (-6%) | 1mo | $217,999 | $129 | 76 |
| 11541 Cinnamon Rose | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 | 1,692 (-6%) | 3mo | $224,999 | $133 | 75 |
| 11711 Evergreen Rose | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 | 1,657 (-8%) | 3mo | $227,999 | $138 | 72 |
| 11639 Evergreen Rose | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 | 1,657 (-8%) | 3mo | $236,999 | $143 | 72 |
| 2207 Camellia Rose | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 | 1,692 (-6%) | 4mo | $218,999 | $129 | 70 |
| 11723 Evergreen Rose | 0.27mi | 4/3.0 | 1,657 (-8%) | 2mo | $236,999 | $143 | 70 |
| 11519 Cedar Close | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 | 2,024 (+12%) | 6mo | $257,999 | $127 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-46,692
- Equity at exit
- $34,245
- IRR
- -24.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-67,375
- Equity at exit
- $19,858
Cash invested: $64,309 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 86 active · 24 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.6 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $272,744 ($149/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 269 d
- This list price
- 9% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -14.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78109
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1440
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,933 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,204
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$287 /mo · $3,445/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $-60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $98 | -5% $19 | +0% $-60 | +5% $-140 | +10% $-219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-213 | -5% $-137 | +0% $-60 | +5% $16 | +10% $92 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $55 | -0.5pp $-2 | base $-60 | +0.5pp $-120 | +1.0pp $-180 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,419
- Closing costs
- $6,890
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11653 Dog Rose Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $1,495 | $1.01 | 36d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 11602 Dog Rose Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 73d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 11515 Cedar Close Converse, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2378 | $1,895 | $0.80 | 52d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4611 E 1604 N Converse, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,449 | $1.46 | 9d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11151 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1859 | $1,705 | $0.92 | 73d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 11130 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 51d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11130 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1709 | $1,950 | $1.14 | 71d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11131 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,300 | $1.41 | 38d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3106 Drayton Ests Converse, TX | 2.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1733 | $2,293 | $1.32 | 9d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 11050 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,875 | $0.85 | 93d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11046 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,750 | $1.15 | 73d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 11038 Chatham Ct Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,750 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2826 Praline Fry Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2543 | $2,095 | $0.82 | 42d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2822 Praline Fry Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,770 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2818 Praline Fry Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 38d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2810 Praline Fry Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2204 | $1,745 | $0.79 | 93d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 11019 Chatham Ct Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 93d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11010 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2543 | $2,145 | $0.84 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11002 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2204 | $1,745 | $0.79 | 93d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2815 Praline Fry Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2204 | $1,790 | $0.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 11002 Chatham Ct Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2543 | $2,145 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3034 Citron Gdn Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2543 | $2,145 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2826 Tybee Crk Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2204 | $1,830 | $0.83 | 53d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3022 Citron Gdn Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2542 | $1,899 | $0.75 | 31d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3022 Citron Gdn Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2543 | $2,069 | $0.81 | 48d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3006 Citron Gdn Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2198 | $1,950 | $0.89 | 53d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11030 Yonder Flts Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 53d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11026 Yonder Flts Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,725 | $1.13 | 27d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10922 Chatham Ct Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,685 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2939 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,495 | $0.98 | 93d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 10902 Chatham Ct Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2543 | $2,195 | $0.86 | 93d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2927 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,750 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2927 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,850 | $0.84 | 48d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2927 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,850 | $0.84 | 51d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 10950 Chippewa Trce Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,750 | $0.79 | 48d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10950 Chippewa Trce Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,800 | $0.82 | 73d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10950 Chippewa Trce Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,700 | $0.77 | 9d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10927 Juliette Pass Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,850 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 10930 Juliette Pass Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $1,795 | $0.81 | 29d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 10926 Juliette Pass Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2543 | $1,975 | $0.78 | 30d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $201,799 Active 401 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $201,799 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $201,799 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $201,799 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $201,799 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $201,799 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $201,799 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $201,799 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $201,799 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $201,799 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $201,799 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $201,799 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $201,799 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $201,799 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-07-18pricedays on market $201,799 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-07-18pricedays on market $200,449 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $200,099 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $200,099 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $200,099 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $200,099 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $200,099 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $200,099 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $200,099 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $200,099 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $200,099 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-07-06pricedays on market $200,099 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $199,099 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $199,099 Active 365 DOM
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2026-07-02price $199,099 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $197,099 Active 364 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $197,099 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-07-01price $197,099 Active 362 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $196,749 Active 362 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $196,749 Active 361 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $196,749 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $196,749 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $196,749 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $196,749 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $196,749 Active 354 DOM
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2026-06-22price $196,749 Active 353 DOM
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2026-06-21pricedays on market $196,399 Active 353 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $196,049 Active 350 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $196,049 Active 349 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $196,049 Active 348 DOM
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2026-06-15pricedays on market $196,049 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $195,349 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,999 Active 341 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $194,999 Active 340 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $194,999 Active 339 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $194,999 Active 336 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,194
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,865
- − Property taxes
- −$3,445
- − Insurance
- −$1,148
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,856
- − Management
- −$1,856
- − Depreciation
- −$6,681
- Taxable loss
- −$4,657
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,118
- After-tax cash flow
- $394/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-story home presents as move-in ready with good condition and modern finishes. It offers a spacious floor plan and ample natural light, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen faucet — Modern faucet can improve kitchen aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Resale Upgrade bathroom light fixtures — Updated lighting can make bathrooms more inviting and modern ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Central ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817850
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,941
- Composite
- 18.67/100
- National rank
- #8887
- State rank
- #758 of 826 in TX
Livability — Converse
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #649
- US rank
- #12250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bexar County · 2,336,851 people
- City population
- 63,067
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,067
- Household income
- $91,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.02%
- Current HPI
- 236.4923
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.08%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-10.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $194,999 Zillow
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $205,499 Zillow
- 2025-09-01 Price Changed $210,499 Zillow
- 2025-07-03 Listed $217,499 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…