209 F NE · Miami, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Adorable 3 bed, 1 bath home in Miami, OK that has been completely remodeled and is move-in ready. Updates include new quartz countertops, custom built-ins, luxury vinyl plank flooring, and all new paint and trim throughout. The layout is clean and functional with a bright, fresh feel in every room. Outside, you'll find a large fenced backyard with alley access, giving you extra space and convenience. Located right in town, just minutes from the college and elementary school.
Key facts
- Alley access
- Quartz countertops
- Minutes from college
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Wood-frame construction with wood siding
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Storage structure; Chain-link fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Quartz counters; Stone counters; Ceiling fan(s); Vinyl windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $78k (7.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $78k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.8% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#327 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Miami (town): math 17% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #194 of 270 in OK (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ottawa County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $84k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.97%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-6,196
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $4,041
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74354
- Home prices YoY
- -7.3%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $775 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $236/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$163
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $165 | -5% $141 | +0% $117 | +5% $93 | +10% $70 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $56 | -5% $86 | +0% $117 | +5% $148 | +10% $178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $159 | -0.5pp $138 | base $117 | +0.5pp $95 | +1.0pp $73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 B St NE Miami, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 586 | $775 | $1.32 | 21d | 43 | 0.27mi |
| 41 N Main St Miami, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 562 | $775 | $1.38 | 21d | 61 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $84,000 Pending 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $84,000
-
2026-04-17$89,000 Active
-
2023-08-03soldstatus $42,000
-
2004-11-19soldstatus $11,000
-
2002-10-17soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $236 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $756 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$520/yr (+$43/mo · 220.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$236
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$744
- − Management
- −$744
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $7
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,403/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami
- NCES district ID
- 4019860
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,234
- Composite
- 15.35/100
- National rank
- #9324
- State rank
- #194 of 270 in OK
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #18488
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, OK
- City population
- 16,972
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,972
Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,860 people
- By 2030
- 31,699 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 31,324 · -1.7%
- By 2050
- 30,745 · -3.5%
- By 2075
- 29,902 · -6.1%
- By 2100
- 27,545 · -13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Native American 20% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.5) · D 22.5% · R 76.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -53.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.5 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+29.7 2008: R+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.93%
- Current HPI
- 266.6593
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+600.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $84,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-17 Listed $89,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2004-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $236 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…