1440 Matt Leonard Dr SW · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
STOP!!! Look no more because you have found the perfect investment property or project for a 1st time home buyer! This property boasts 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath on a generous lot. There is potential for additional bedrooms/bath in the basement. It needs some love but could be a jewel! Don't miss this opportunity to expand your portfolio or put your own stamp on this home. Hurry and make your appointment today!
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with front entry; Basement/lower-level parking — 1 garage space
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Gas water heater; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Existing home; Four-sided brick construction
- Construction: Basement foundation; Concrete block basement
- Exterior features: Open deck; No pool, patio, or garden; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop and gas oven; Refrigerator included; Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo on main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central cooling plus window units
- Interior features: Security system; Pull-down attic; Full, unfinished concrete block basement; Ceilings: other (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Wenonah High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 85% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,343/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2161% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.32%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $90,132
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1908 14th Pl SW | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,390 (-11%) | 13mo | $72,500 | $52 | 61 |
| 1633 Mims St SW | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,518 (-2%) | 3mo | $88,000 | $58 | 60 |
| 1620 Pine Ave SW | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,528 (-2%) | 23mo | $38,000 | $25 | 50 |
| 1624 16th Way SW | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,690 (+9%) | 22mo | $152,000 | $90 | 31 |
| 1745 Grant Ave SW | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (-15%) | 12mo | $107,000 | $81 | 29 |
| 1545 16th Way SW | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (-15%) | 20mo | $69,500 | $53 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $7,348
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $24,592
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35211
- Rents YoY
- -0.0%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,343 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,762/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $405
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 E Ann Dr SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,495 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 218 Olympia Dr Homewood, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 958 | $1,659 | $1.73 | 2d | 33 | 0.92mi |
| 2432 Ishkooda Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1408 16th St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2076 | $1,150 | $0.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2005 Henry Crumpton Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,300 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 80 W Oxmoor Rd Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1074 | $2,839 | $2.64 | 2d | 19 | 0.97mi |
| 1669 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $1,325 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2005 Snavely Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,150 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2005 Dawson Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 19d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1698 Dennison Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1319 18th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $1,345 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1332 15th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $950 | $0.85 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1501 21st St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1758 | $1,250 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1233 15th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2128 Mayfield Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1256 15th St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1206 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1204 15th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1715 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1209 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1620 Alemeda Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,295 | $0.99 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1000 17th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 19d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1609 Jefferson Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1572 | $1,300 | $0.83 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1136 15th St SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,395 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2304 Beulah Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1283 | $1,025 | $0.80 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2516 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,050 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 195 Oxmoor Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1187 | $3,300 | $2.78 | 3d | 8 | 1.47mi |
| 2320 Wesley Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1865 | $1,200 | $0.64 | 10d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 417-char remark
-
2026-06-19$89,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,762 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,762 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,116
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,762
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,289
- − Management
- −$1,289
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,675
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,924
- Household income
- $34,884
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2161.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.29%
- Current HPI
- 91.2903
- Rent YoY
- ▬ -0.01%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $89,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,762 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…