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1419 Silverdale St
C Composite 58.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

1419 Silverdale St · Houston, TX 77029
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,098 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1953 6,181 sqft lot $137/sqft · 12% below area Est $170k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ready for your vision! This all brick 2/3 bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot in Houston’s Pleasantville community. NO HOA, this is your chance to create something special. TLC needed throughout. Great bones, great location, great opportunity. Bring your contractor and your creativity. Situated at the crossroads of I-10 and I-610 with direct access to Downtown Houston in 10 to 15 minutes. High demand rental corridor. Close to major employment centers along the Ship Channel. Strong long term value in an established Houston neighborhood.

Key facts

  • 6,181 sq ft lot
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 52 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Fractional ownership
  • HOA & community: Community curbs

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Concrete road surface
  • Home design: Residential property; Corner lot
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1953; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced backyard; Storage; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedroom on the first floor; Up to 3 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Tile counters; Kitchen/dining combo; Living/dining room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($656/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (5.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pleasantville El (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #4,021 of 4,322 statewide, top 94%, 233 students, 97% FRL); Holland Middle (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 644 students, 98% FRL); Furr H S (math 8% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,497 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 1,173 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,087 (5.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.56%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$169,571
List price
$150,000
Delta
-11.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8734 Josie St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,150 (+5%) 1mo $159,000 $138 71
1431 Teanaway Ln 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-9%) 9mo $115,000 $115 67
1718 Normandale St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+4%) 9mo $229,000 $200 65
1427 Teanaway Ln 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+12%) 11mo $239,750 $195 61
1531 Teanaway Ln 0.17mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,226 (+12%) 12mo $195,000 $159 58
8606 Guinevere St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,238 (+13%) 2mo $225,000 $182 57
8711 Othello St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,180 (+8%) 8mo $215,000 $182 57
8427 Guinevere St 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,228 (+12%) 1mo $225,000 $183 52
8647 Berndale St 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,252 (+14%) 11mo $199,999 $160 47
8715 Josie st St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,006 (-8%) 23mo $198,000 $197 45
8755 Pattibob St 0.45mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,240 (+13%) 22mo $179,000 $144 34
7902 Wiggins St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 940 (-14%) 11mo $175,000 $186 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$85,216
Equity at exit
$135,132
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
6.91×
Total profit
$248,290
Equity at exit
$291,417

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77029

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,421 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,352
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $140 -5% $97 +0% $55 +5% $12 +10% $-30
Rent -10% $-58 -5% $-1 +0% $55 +5% $111 +10% $167
Rate -1.0pp $130 -0.5pp $93 base $55 +0.5pp $16 +1.0pp $-24

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8710 Josie St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,090 $1.09 0d 1 0.38mi
8735 Cowart St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,000 $0.88 45d 1 0.40mi
8726 Josie St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 45d 1 0.42mi
8534 Fillmore St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 965 $1,600 $1.66 45d 1 0.45mi
2203 Pearl St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,570 $1.21 15d 1 0.86mi
9701 Market St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 798 $1,309 $1.64 9d 1 1.12mi
9709 Cargill St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1184 $2,300 $1.94 45d 1 1.17mi
9806 Fillmore St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,850 $2.18 45d 1 1.24mi
9710 Tuffly St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,795 $1.41 26d 1 1.28mi
9907 Lanewell St Unit a Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,154 $1.32 23d 1 1.34mi
9713 Stedman St Unit b Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,095 $1.26 45d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-04-30
    listed $150,000 Active 562-char remark
  14. 2026-04-25
    historical $150,000 562-char remark
  15. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,624 · $219/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,745 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$121/yr (+$10/mo · 4.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,050
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,624
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,364
− Management
−$1,364
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,818
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$436
After-tax cash flow
$1,092/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,154
Household income
$48,279
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
457.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 32% Black 22% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 66%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 61%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.53%
Current HPI
276.1811
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Coming Soon $150,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,624 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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