1962 Bancroft Ave · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Traditional aluminum sided 2 story home with 1st floor office (possible 4th bedroom) and 3/4 bath. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath. Attic storage, partial basement/crawl space, 2 car detached garage and fenced rear yard. Appears to have shared paved drive and furnace does not work.
Key facts
- 7,492 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1926
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 6.9% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $110k implies a 686% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.53%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1925 Weston Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,227 (-9%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $73 | 70 |
| 1923 Medford Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,554 (+15%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $68 | 64 |
| 536 Creed St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (-6%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $134 | 61 |
| 1926 Brandon Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (+6%) | 1mo | $178,000 | $124 | 60 |
| 417 9th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-7%) | 2mo | $93,000 | $74 | 58 |
| 537 7th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (-5%) | 3mo | $153,500 | $120 | 56 |
| 1562 Medford Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (-14%) | 3mo | $129,156 | $110 | 53 |
| 3803 Loveland Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (+12%) | 3mo | $56,000 | $37 | 51 |
| 1828 Basil Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,492 (+10%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $124 | 49 |
| 1646 Everett Ave | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-15%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $87 | 46 |
| 1870 Basil Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,527 (+13%) | 1mo | $186,900 | $122 | 45 |
| 587 Edison St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,163 (-14%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $138 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $20,615
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $67,363
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44514
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,613 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $575/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $604
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $666 | -5% $635 | +0% $604 | +5% $573 | +10% $542 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $477 | -5% $540 | +0% $604 | +5% $668 | +10% $731 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $659 | -0.5pp $632 | base $604 | +0.5pp $576 | +1.0pp $547 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4807 Sheridan Rd Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1586 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 610 Elm St Struthers, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1914 S Heights Ave Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1803 Pointview Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3446 Ambert Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 465 W Omar St Struthers, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1750 Nova Ln Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $1,700 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 851 Cook Ave Unit 4 Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $800 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-03-16price $110,000
-
2026-02-10price $115,000
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2026-01-26price $120,900
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2026-01-05$125,000 Active
-
2023-11-02historical
-
2023-09-05$128,900 Active
-
2011-02-08soldstatus $14,000 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Traditional aluminum sided 2 story home with 1st floor office (possible 4th bedroom) and 3/4 bath. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath. Attic storage, partial basement/crawl space, 2 car detached garage and fenced rear yard. Appears to have shared paved drive and furnace does not work.
-
2010-09-06$15,900 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Traditional aluminum sided 2 story home with 1st floor office (possible 4th bedroom) and 3/4 bath. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath. Attic storage, partial basement/crawl space, 2 car detached garage and fenced rear yard. Appears to have shared paved drive and furnace does not work.
-
2008-09-03historical
-
2008-06-04$45,000
-
2006-12-30historical
-
2006-06-23$66,500
-
1998-10-25soldstatus $54,950
-
1993-07-07soldstatus $45,000
-
1987-02-06soldstatus $27,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $575 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$571/yr (+$48/mo · 99.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$575
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,549
- − Management
- −$1,549
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $5,777
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,386
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Youngstown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904516
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,257
- Composite
- 9.29/100
- National rank
- #9858
- State rank
- #649 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngstown, OH
- County
- Mahoning County · 84,956 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,917
- Household income
- $79,808
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 411.0
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.78%
- Current HPI
- 210.5511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+298.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $110,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $115,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $120,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-01-05 Listed $125,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-11-02 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2023-09-05 Listed $128,900 MLSNOW
- 2011-02-08 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MLSNOW
- 2010-09-06 Listed $15,900 MLSNOW
- 2008-09-03 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2008-06-04 Listed $45,000 MLSNOW
- 2006-12-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2006-06-23 Listed $66,500 MLSNOW
- 1998-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $54,950 Public Records
- 1993-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1987-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $27,600 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $575 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…