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1962 Bancroft Ave
B Composite 74.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

1962 Bancroft Ave · Youngstown, OH 44514
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,352 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 161 Days on market
Built 1926 7,492 sqft lot Est $162k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Traditional aluminum sided 2 story home with 1st floor office (possible 4th bedroom) and 3/4 bath. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath. Attic storage, partial basement/crawl space, 2 car detached garage and fenced rear yard. Appears to have shared paved drive and furnace does not work.

Key facts

  • 7,492 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1926

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 6.9% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $110k implies a 686% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.88%
Cash-on-cash
23.53%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$162,240
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1925 Weston Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,227 (-9%) 1mo $89,000 $73 70
1923 Medford Ave 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,554 (+15%) 4mo $105,000 $68 64
536 Creed St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,272 (-6%) 4mo $170,000 $134 61
1926 Brandon Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,432 (+6%) 1mo $178,000 $124 60
417 9th St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,260 (-7%) 2mo $93,000 $74 58
537 7th St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,280 (-5%) 3mo $153,500 $120 56
1562 Medford Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,170 (-14%) 3mo $129,156 $110 53
3803 Loveland Rd 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,520 (+12%) 3mo $56,000 $37 51
1828 Basil Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,492 (+10%) 0mo $185,000 $124 49
1646 Everett Ave 0.41mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (-15%) 3mo $100,000 $87 46
1870 Basil Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,527 (+13%) 1mo $186,900 $122 45
587 Edison St 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,163 (-14%) 2mo $160,000 $138 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$20,615
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$67,363
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44514

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,613 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $575/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$604

Break-even live

Break-even rent $849
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $666 -5% $635 +0% $604 +5% $573 +10% $542
Rent -10% $477 -5% $540 +0% $604 +5% $668 +10% $731
Rate -1.0pp $659 -0.5pp $632 base $604 +0.5pp $576 +1.0pp $547

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4807 Sheridan Rd Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.5 1586 $1,750 $1.10 15d 1 0.25mi
610 Elm St Struthers, OH 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 15d 1 0.31mi
1914 S Heights Ave Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,950 $1.75 45d 1 0.47mi
1803 Pointview Ave Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 45d 1 0.53mi
3446 Ambert Ave Youngstown, OH 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 15d 1 0.76mi
465 W Omar St Struthers, OH 3.0 2.0 1544 $1,800 $1.17 15d 1 0.91mi
1750 Nova Ln Youngstown, OH 3.0 2.0 1538 $1,700 $1.11 15d 1 0.94mi
851 Cook Ave Unit 4 Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 1050 $800 $0.76 45d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 161 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 160 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 159 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 156 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 154 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 147 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 146 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 145 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 144 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 143 DOM
  15. 2026-03-16
    price $110,000
  16. 2026-02-10
    price $115,000
  17. 2026-01-26
    price $120,900
  18. 2026-01-05
    listed $125,000 Active
  19. 2023-11-02
    historical
  20. 2023-09-05
    listed $128,900 Active
  21. 2011-02-08
    soldstatus $14,000 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    Traditional aluminum sided 2 story home with 1st floor office (possible 4th bedroom) and 3/4 bath. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath. Attic storage, partial basement/crawl space, 2 car detached garage and fenced rear yard. Appears to have shared paved drive and furnace does not work.

  22. 2010-09-06
    listed $15,900 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    Traditional aluminum sided 2 story home with 1st floor office (possible 4th bedroom) and 3/4 bath. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath. Attic storage, partial basement/crawl space, 2 car detached garage and fenced rear yard. Appears to have shared paved drive and furnace does not work.

  23. 2008-09-03
    historical
  24. 2008-06-04
    listed $45,000
  25. 2006-12-30
    historical
  26. 2006-06-23
    listed $66,500
  27. 1998-10-25
    soldstatus $54,950
  28. 1993-07-07
    soldstatus $45,000
  29. 1987-02-06
    soldstatus $27,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$575 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,145 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$571/yr (+$48/mo · 99.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,361
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$575
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,549
− Management
−$1,549
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$5,777
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,386
After-tax cash flow
$5,862/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning County · 84,956 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
Population (ZIP)
23,917
Household income
$79,808
Rent vs Own
15.2% rent · 84.8% own
Severe rent burden
411.0

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.78%
Current HPI
210.5511
Rent YoY
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+298.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $110,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $115,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $120,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $125,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-11-02 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2023-09-05 Listed $128,900 MLSNOW
  • 2011-02-08 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MLSNOW
  • 2010-09-06 Listed $15,900 MLSNOW
  • 2008-09-03 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2008-06-04 Listed $45,000 MLSNOW
  • 2006-12-30 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2006-06-23 Listed $66,500 MLSNOW
  • 1998-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $54,950 Public Records
  • 1993-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1987-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $27,600 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $575 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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