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2510 Rollahome Dr 🏗️ New Construction
C+ Composite 61.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$77,900

2510 Rollahome Dr · Erie, PA 16506
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 800 sqft · Manufactured · 12 Days on market
Built 2026 $400/mo HOA · 29% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This BRAND NEW 2026 Cavco mobile home is located in the Sleepy Hollow Mobile Home Park in Millcreek Township. This home has 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths with approx. 800 sq. ft. Make an appointment to take a look at this one before it is gone! Sale includes final utility hookups and final BIU inspection. Taxes are estimated and assessed value estimated from sale price. 3 MONTHS FREE LOT RENT!

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2026
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $400 monthly fee; HOA fee includes sewer, trash, and water

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; New construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Gas oven, gas range, refrigerator; Vinyl flooring; No basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.1% in Erie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#109 in PA, #840 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
  • Millcreek Township SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #105 of 539 in PA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Recommended offer $77,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.51%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-3,662
Equity at exit
$11,615
10-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$9,089
Equity at exit
$6,735

Cash invested: $21,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16506

Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,361 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax est. 1.5%
$97 /mo · $1,168/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$400
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,188
Max offer price $77,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $190 -5% $163 +0% $137 +5% $110 +10% $83
Rent -10% $29 -5% $83 +0% $137 +5% $190 +10% $244
Rate -1.0pp $176 -0.5pp $156 base $137 +0.5pp $116 +1.0pp $96

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,475
Closing costs
$2,337
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1428 Fairfax Ave Erie, PA 1.0 1.0 560 $895 $1.60 45d 1 0.91mi
3738 W 12th St Unit 1 Erie, PA 2.0 1.0 925 $1,180 $1.28 45d 1 0.94mi
3158 W 40th St Erie, PA 2.0 2.0 1024 $1,280 $1.25 45d 1 1.09mi
4024 Canterbury Dr Erie, PA 2.0 1.5 1044 $1,350 $1.29 45d 1 1.16mi
3063 W 11th St Apt 30 Erie, PA 1.0 1.0 650 $925 $1.42 45d 1 1.17mi
509 Beachgrove Dr Apt 4 Erie, PA 1.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 45d 1 1.37mi
4060 Chilton Ct Unit 2 Erie, PA 2.0 1.0 768 $1,400 $1.82 45d 1 1.39mi
1046 Grace St Erie, PA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,400 $1.65 45d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$400 · $4,800/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $77,900 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    remarks 394-char remark
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $77,900 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $77,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $77,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $77,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $77,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $77,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    remarks 370-char remark
  10. 2026-06-13
    days on market $77,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-10
    remarks 369-char remark
  12. 2026-06-10
    listed $77,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,327
− Mortgage interest
−$4,364
− Property taxes
−$1,168
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,306
− Management
−$1,306
− HOA
−$4,800
− Depreciation
−$2,266
Taxable income
$727
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$174
After-tax cash flow
$1,464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millcreek Township SD
NCES district ID
4215330
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$55,734
Composite
47.82/100
National rank
#2224
State rank
#105 of 539 in PA

Livability — Erie

Score
83/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#840

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Erie County · 92,215 people
City population
92,215
Metro
Erie, PA
Population (ZIP)
24,070
Household income
$81,060
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
894.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
272,159 people
By 2030
266,299 · -2.2%
By 2040
250,987 · -7.8%
By 2050
234,925 · -13.7%
By 2075
199,164 · -26.8%
By 2100
162,985 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.21%
Current HPI
228.7506
Rent YoY
Metro
Erie, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $77,900 GEBOR

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $118 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…