3004 Haynie St · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home with great curb appeal. Beautifully landscaped with large trees in the front. Quick access to Interstate 820 and close to I30. The garage is oversized with a large loft for storage and includes a built in workshop and separate storage room. The home includes washer, dryer, microwave, refrigerator and freezer and is within walking distance to McClung middle school. Home needs some TLC but has great potential.
Key facts
- Additional workspace
- Functional layout
- Built 1975
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($635/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
- Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.68%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,723
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -20.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2820 Forest Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 989 (-3%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $207 | 79 |
| 6720 Craig St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,028 (+1%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $201 | 72 |
| 3114 Chilton St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 956 (-6%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $194 | 67 |
| 2837 Meaders Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 974 (-4%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $175 | 63 |
| 6517 Oak Forest Ct | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,046 (+3%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $177 | 60 |
| 2616 Putnam St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-12%) | 2mo | $179,000 | $200 | 49 |
| 2837 Hunter St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (-14%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $228 | 48 |
| 2408 Forest Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,151 (+13%) | 2mo | $189,999 | $165 | 47 |
| 5901 Greenlee St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,118 (+10%) | 1mo | $99,817 | $89 | 44 |
| 6928 Van Natta Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,089 (+7%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $161 | 41 |
| 2725 Halbert St | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,156 (+14%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $199 | 40 |
| 5620 Hiett Ct | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,130 (+11%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $190 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-22,717
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-31,688
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76112
- Home prices YoY
- -32.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$355 /mo · $4,257/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $53
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3121 Lumber St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1254 | $2,000 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6029 Plants Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2829 Handley Dr Unit 2831 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $900 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2913 Hunter St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 6816 Church St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1154 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 6d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 6800 Beaty St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,925 | $1.31 | 6d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 6617 Greenlee St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,499 | $1.43 | 20d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2708 Hunter St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $1,550 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2521 Putnam St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1105 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1736 Ransom Ter Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2607 Yeager St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,995 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2607 Yeager St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,995 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2607 Yeager St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,995 | $1.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2120 Handley Dr Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $1,512 | $1.62 | 2d | 11 | 0.90mi |
| 5720 Meadowbrook Dr Unit 135 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 758 | $950 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5720 Meadowbrook Dr Unit 202 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 919 | $1,350 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5720 Meadowbrook Dr Unit 263 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $950 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2121 Handley Dr Fort Worth, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1085 | $1,099 | $1.01 | 1d | 3 | 0.95mi |
| 2100 E Loop 820 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,099 | $1.03 | 1d | 36 | 0.96mi |
| 5433 Purington Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,850 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1702 Stalcup Rd Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $670 | $0.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1810 Wiseman Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5636 Lester Granger Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5317 Purington Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1363 | $1,525 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5317 Purington Ave Unit 1 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2721 Janice Ln Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $1,495 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5308 Norma St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1804 Andrew Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $1,395 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5200 E Lancaster Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 799 | $1,575 | $1.97 | 2d | 14 | 1.34mi |
| 2128 R. W. Bivens Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,615 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-12$135,000 Active 711-char remark
-
2017-08-04soldstatus Sold 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
Home with great curb appeal. Beautifully landscaped with large trees in the front. Quick access to Interstate 820 and close to I30. The garage is oversized with a large loft for storage and includes a built in workshop and separate storage room. The home includes washer, dryer, microwave, refrigerator and freezer and is within walking distance to McClung middle school. Home needs some TLC but has great potential.
-
2017-08-04soldstatus
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
Home with great curb appeal. Beautifully landscaped with large trees in the front. Quick access to Interstate 820 and close to I30. The garage is oversized with a large loft for storage and includes a built in workshop and separate storage room. The home includes washer, dryer, microwave, refrigerator and freezer and is within walking distance to McClung middle school. Home needs some TLC but has great potential.
-
2017-07-19status Pending 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
Home with great curb appeal. Beautifully landscaped with large trees in the front. Quick access to Interstate 820 and close to I30. The garage is oversized with a large loft for storage and includes a built in workshop and separate storage room. The home includes washer, dryer, microwave, refrigerator and freezer and is within walking distance to McClung middle school. Home needs some TLC but has great potential.
-
2017-07-14price $79,000 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
Home with great curb appeal. Beautifully landscaped with large trees in the front. Quick access to Interstate 820 and close to I30. The garage is oversized with a large loft for storage and includes a built in workshop and separate storage room. The home includes washer, dryer, microwave, refrigerator and freezer and is within walking distance to McClung middle school. Home needs some TLC but has great potential.
-
2017-06-29$84,500 Active 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
Home with great curb appeal. Beautifully landscaped with large trees in the front. Quick access to Interstate 820 and close to I30. The garage is oversized with a large loft for storage and includes a built in workshop and separate storage room. The home includes washer, dryer, microwave, refrigerator and freezer and is within walking distance to McClung middle school. Home needs some TLC but has great potential.
-
1998-07-07soldstatus
-
1993-11-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,257 · $355/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,257 · $355/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,801
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$4,257
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,469
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$353
- After-tax cash flow
- $987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Worth ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,109
- Composite
- 19.61/100
- National rank
- #8753
- State rank
- #742 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,514
- Household income
- $57,724
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3056.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 34% White 21% Two or more races 19% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.49%
- Current HPI
- 336.6297
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.43%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-6.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-08-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-08-04 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2017-07-19 Pending — NTREIS
- 2017-07-14 Price Changed $79,000 NTREIS
- 2017-06-29 Listed $84,500 NTREIS
- 1998-07-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-11-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,257 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…