5203 Bear Pass Ct · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors and renovators! This fixer-upper is in need of some TLC and presents a perfect opportunity to add value. Featuring great bones and strong potential, this property is ideal for a flip or long-term investment. Located in Westfield Village, enjoy a desirable location with convenient access to nearby amenities. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.
Key facts
- Convenient access
- Westfield village
- 8,123 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #161 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 762 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.75%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,344
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -23.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5306 Bay Pines Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 2,236 (+8%) | 2mo | $259,900 | $116 | 71 |
| 5439 Mersea Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 | 2,248 (+8%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $147 | 71 |
| 5511 Bear Paw Cir | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,064 (-1%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $107 | 66 |
| 20915 Cullen Ranch Rd | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 2,060 (-1%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $143 | 64 |
| 4914 Kale Garden Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,941 (-6%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $142 | 59 |
| 20926 Westfield Terrace Trl | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,026 (-2%) | 1mo | $299,980 | $148 | 56 |
| 5515 Bear Trail Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,211 (+6%) | 0mo | $295,000 | $133 | 52 |
| 4826 Jarl Ct | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,331 (+12%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $133 | 50 |
| 20310 Wild Plains Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,904 (-8%) | 2mo | $269,000 | $141 | 48 |
| 5514 Fountain Arbor Ln | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,858 (-10%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $153 | 45 |
| 4802 Claymill Ct | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,853 (-11%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $154 | 39 |
| 5402 Roaring Peaks Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,791 (-14%) | 1mo | $299,000 | $167 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.27% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-12,305
- Equity at exit
- $43,406
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-8,196
- Equity at exit
- $43,517
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77449
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 762
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$473 /mo · $5,673/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $220 | +0% $166 | +5% $113 | +10% $59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-8 | -5% $79 | +0% $166 | +5% $254 | +10% $341 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $262 | -0.5pp $215 | base $166 | +0.5pp $117 | +1.0pp $67 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21643 Bay Palms Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2438 | $2,200 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5523 Dapplewood Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,825 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5039 Lamppost Hill Ct Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2384 | $1,896 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 21207 Woodland Green Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2017 | $2,099 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5418 Gosforth Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $2,150 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4938 Yearling Ridge Ct Katy, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2660 | $2,250 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5107 Jasper Garden Cir Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,825 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4542 Medrano Trl Katy, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2797 | $3,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4802 Upland Dale Ct Katy, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2298 | $2,100 | $0.91 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4535 Medrano Trl Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2657 | $2,600 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 20014 Windcroft Hollow Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,689 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5706 Fullgarden Ct Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2023 | $1,966 | $0.97 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4211 Fair Country Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2342 | $2,275 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 20722 Iron Timber Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2785 | $2,600 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 19730 Cozy Cabbin Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 19802 Plantation Grove Trl Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $1,745 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 19735 Plantation Grove Trl Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,719 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4315 N Fry Rd Katy, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1091 | $2,419 | $2.22 | 0d | 369 | 1.04mi |
| 6010 Diantha St Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,856 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5707 Amelia Plantation Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1687 | $2,020 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 21522 Violet Ridge Rd Katy, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1597 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 21331 Hartford Hollow Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 20d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19211 Sunny Leaf Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2460 | $1,931 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 21106 Blackbluff Ct Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $1,950 | $1.05 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 20811 Trenton Valley Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2350 | $2,200 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 6502 Wellington Meadows Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 19638 Billineys Park Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1752 | $1,750 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Calling all investors and renovators! This fixer-upper is in need of some TLC and presents a perfect opportunity to add value. Featuring great bones and strong potential, this property is ideal for a flip or long-term investment. Located in Westfield Village, enjoy a desirable location with convenient access to nearby amenities. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.
-
2026-05-04status Active 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Calling all investors and renovators! This fixer-upper is in need of some TLC and presents a perfect opportunity to add value. Featuring great bones and strong potential, this property is ideal for a flip or long-term investment. Located in Westfield Village, enjoy a desirable location with convenient access to nearby amenities. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.
-
2026-02-25status Pending 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Calling all investors and renovators! This fixer-upper is in need of some TLC and presents a perfect opportunity to add value. Featuring great bones and strong potential, this property is ideal for a flip or long-term investment. Located in Westfield Village, enjoy a desirable location with convenient access to nearby amenities. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.
-
2026-02-19status Pending 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Calling all investors and renovators! This fixer-upper is in need of some TLC and presents a perfect opportunity to add value. Featuring great bones and strong potential, this property is ideal for a flip or long-term investment. Located in Westfield Village, enjoy a desirable location with convenient access to nearby amenities. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.
-
2026-02-12$190,000 Active 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Calling all investors and renovators! This fixer-upper is in need of some TLC and presents a perfect opportunity to add value. Featuring great bones and strong potential, this property is ideal for a flip or long-term investment. Located in Westfield Village, enjoy a desirable location with convenient access to nearby amenities. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.
-
2023-10-24soldstatus Sold 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Great Location to shopping & Restaurants! 4 bed 2.5 bath located in a cul-de-sac. This home offers a spacious kitchen that opens to family living area + additional for entertaining. SS Appliances, recent dishwasher + Above range microwave. Kitchen aid refrigerator (2yrs old) Maytag washer & dryer, and deep freezer * ALL INCLUDED * Popular floor plan, Updated relaxing primary and bath. .. Enjoy the evenings on the large covered patio or a dip in the above ground pool. .. Updates included New HVAC, Furnace and Duct work all 2022.. . Above ground pool 11/2022, New Privacy fence 2022, New covered patio 2023. Smart light switches throughout the home. .. Easy access to 249, 99 Grand Pkwy and I-10 Energy Corridor. Cypress-Fairbanks Schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-09-30status Pending 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Great Location to shopping & Restaurants! 4 bed 2.5 bath located in a cul-de-sac. This home offers a spacious kitchen that opens to family living area + additional for entertaining. SS Appliances, recent dishwasher + Above range microwave. Kitchen aid refrigerator (2yrs old) Maytag washer & dryer, and deep freezer * ALL INCLUDED * Popular floor plan, Updated relaxing primary and bath. .. Enjoy the evenings on the large covered patio or a dip in the above ground pool. .. Updates included New HVAC, Furnace and Duct work all 2022.. . Above ground pool 11/2022, New Privacy fence 2022, New covered patio 2023. Smart light switches throughout the home. .. Easy access to 249, 99 Grand Pkwy and I-10 Energy Corridor. Cypress-Fairbanks Schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-09-22status Option Pending 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Great Location to shopping & Restaurants! 4 bed 2.5 bath located in a cul-de-sac. This home offers a spacious kitchen that opens to family living area + additional for entertaining. SS Appliances, recent dishwasher + Above range microwave. Kitchen aid refrigerator (2yrs old) Maytag washer & dryer, and deep freezer * ALL INCLUDED * Popular floor plan, Updated relaxing primary and bath. .. Enjoy the evenings on the large covered patio or a dip in the above ground pool. .. Updates included New HVAC, Furnace and Duct work all 2022.. . Above ground pool 11/2022, New Privacy fence 2022, New covered patio 2023. Smart light switches throughout the home. .. Easy access to 249, 99 Grand Pkwy and I-10 Energy Corridor. Cypress-Fairbanks Schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-09-06price $290,000 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Great Location to shopping & Restaurants! 4 bed 2.5 bath located in a cul-de-sac. This home offers a spacious kitchen that opens to family living area + additional for entertaining. SS Appliances, recent dishwasher + Above range microwave. Kitchen aid refrigerator (2yrs old) Maytag washer & dryer, and deep freezer * ALL INCLUDED * Popular floor plan, Updated relaxing primary and bath. .. Enjoy the evenings on the large covered patio or a dip in the above ground pool. .. Updates included New HVAC, Furnace and Duct work all 2022.. . Above ground pool 11/2022, New Privacy fence 2022, New covered patio 2023. Smart light switches throughout the home. .. Easy access to 249, 99 Grand Pkwy and I-10 Energy Corridor. Cypress-Fairbanks Schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-08-17price $300,000 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Great Location to shopping & Restaurants! 4 bed 2.5 bath located in a cul-de-sac. This home offers a spacious kitchen that opens to family living area + additional for entertaining. SS Appliances, recent dishwasher + Above range microwave. Kitchen aid refrigerator (2yrs old) Maytag washer & dryer, and deep freezer * ALL INCLUDED * Popular floor plan, Updated relaxing primary and bath. .. Enjoy the evenings on the large covered patio or a dip in the above ground pool. .. Updates included New HVAC, Furnace and Duct work all 2022.. . Above ground pool 11/2022, New Privacy fence 2022, New covered patio 2023. Smart light switches throughout the home. .. Easy access to 249, 99 Grand Pkwy and I-10 Energy Corridor. Cypress-Fairbanks Schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-08-15$290,000 Active 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Great Location to shopping & Restaurants! 4 bed 2.5 bath located in a cul-de-sac. This home offers a spacious kitchen that opens to family living area + additional for entertaining. SS Appliances, recent dishwasher + Above range microwave. Kitchen aid refrigerator (2yrs old) Maytag washer & dryer, and deep freezer * ALL INCLUDED * Popular floor plan, Updated relaxing primary and bath. .. Enjoy the evenings on the large covered patio or a dip in the above ground pool. .. Updates included New HVAC, Furnace and Duct work all 2022.. . Above ground pool 11/2022, New Privacy fence 2022, New covered patio 2023. Smart light switches throughout the home. .. Easy access to 249, 99 Grand Pkwy and I-10 Energy Corridor. Cypress-Fairbanks Schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2015-01-16soldstatus
-
2015-01-15soldstatus Sold
-
2014-12-15status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2014-12-02status Option Pending
-
2014-11-15$179,900 Active
-
2014-08-22soldstatus
-
2014-08-19soldstatus
-
2014-08-18soldstatus Sold
-
2014-04-28status Pending
-
2014-01-29status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2014-01-11price $80,000
-
2014-01-06price $85,000 Active
-
2014-01-06status Active
-
2013-12-28historical
-
2013-12-28$90,000 Active
-
2000-12-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,673 · $473/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,673 · $473/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,547
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$5,673
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,124
- − Management
- −$2,124
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$890
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$214
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816110
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,025
- Composite
- 43.63/100
- National rank
- #2968
- State rank
- #161 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 130,028
- Household income
- $87,808
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3088.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Two or more races 22% Black 20% White 19% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.27%
- Current HPI
- 254.6622
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.86%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+111.1% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-02-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $190,000 HARMLS
- 2023-10-24 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2023-09-30 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-09-22 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-09-06 Price Changed $290,000 HARMLS
- 2023-08-17 Price Changed $300,000 HARMLS
- 2023-08-15 Listed $290,000 HARMLS
- 2015-01-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-01-15 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2014-12-15 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-12-02 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-11-15 Listed $179,900 HARMLS
- 2014-08-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-08-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-08-18 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2014-04-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-01-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-01-11 Price Changed $80,000 HARMLS
- 2014-01-06 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2014-01-06 Price Changed $85,000 HARMLS
- 2013-12-28 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2013-12-28 Listed $90,000 HARMLS
- 2000-12-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,673 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…