1110 N Henness Rd Unit 2307-02307 · Casa Grande, AZ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.2
$154,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautiful new 2 bedroom, 2 bath home located at 2307 Rocky Mountain Drive. This spacious home features a desirable island kitchen complete with stainless steel appliances and offering plenty of counter space for cooking, entertaining and everyday living. The thoughtfully designed floor plan includes a dedicated laundry room for added convenience and a generous primary suite featuring a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom with a step-shower. Guests will appreciate the comfortable second bedroom and full bath, perfect for visitors or a home office set up.
Key facts
- Island kitchen
- Walk-in closet
- Step-shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($306/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mesquite Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #898 of 1,109 statewide, top 83%, 467 students, 85% FRL); Cactus Middle School (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #156 of 218 statewide, top 72%, 779 students, 63% FRL); Vista Grande High School (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #279 of 381 statewide, top 73%, 1,790 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 901 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.71%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $232,331
- List price
- $154,995
- Delta
- -33.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1873 E Birch St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,237 (+5%) | 2mo | $227,000 | $184 | 71 |
| 1547 E 12th St | 1.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,218 (+3%) | 0mo | $266,900 | $219 | 59 |
| 1829 E Sandalwood Rd | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,297 (+10%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $197 | 57 |
| 1647 E Krystal St | 1.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,198 (+2%) | 1mo | $281,000 | $235 | 56 |
| 1546 E 12th St | 1.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,105 (-6%) | 8mo | $239,900 | $217 | 48 |
| 1547 E Melrose Dr | 0.99mi | 2/2.0 | 1,275 (+8%) | 6mo | $228,000 | $179 | 47 |
| 1570 E Earl Dr | 0.96mi | 2/2.0 | 1,275 (+8%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $196 | 47 |
| 1552 E Manor Dr | 0.97mi | 2/2.0 | 1,275 (+8%) | 8mo | $235,500 | $185 | 45 |
| 1553 E Prickly Pear Pl | 1.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,281 (+9%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $222 | 45 |
| 1718 E Birch St | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,013 (-14%) | 4mo | $248,000 | $245 | 43 |
| 1533 E Laurel Dr | 1.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,458 (+24%) | 3mo | $205,832 | $141 | 38 |
| 1386 E 10th Pl | 1.43mi | 2/2.0 | 939 (-20%) | 6mo | $249,900 | $266 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-21,200
- Equity at exit
- $23,110
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,658
- Equity at exit
- $13,401
Cash invested: $43,399 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 31 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $159,995 ($137/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 118 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +43.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85122
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 901
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,388 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $26
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $133 | -5% $79 | +0% $26 | +5% $-28 | +10% $-82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-84 | -5% $-29 | +0% $26 | +5% $80 | +10% $135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $104 | -0.5pp $65 | base $26 | +0.5pp $-15 | +1.0pp $-56 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,749
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1110 Henness Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,649 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1762 E Sycamore Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $3,500 | $2.75 | 74d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1727 E Birch St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 30d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1771 E McMurray Blvd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 733 | $1,395 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1682 E Kielly Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $2,400 | $1.61 | 54d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1000 N Arizola Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 621 | $1,290 | $2.08 | 0d | 20 | 0.79mi |
| 422 N Via Del Cielo Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $2,172 | $1.99 | 0d | 27 | 0.97mi |
| 1821 E Florence Blvd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1091 | $1,604 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1620 E Silver Reef Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 120d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1715 N Peart Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1221 | $1,399 | $1.15 | 0d | 49 | 1.12mi |
| 1450 E Cottonwood Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,845 | $2.25 | 0d | 64 | 1.24mi |
| 1650 E Jardin Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,695 | $1.20 | 120d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1636 E Jardin Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,799 | $1.27 | 74d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1456 E 9th St #118 Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,325 | $0.89 | 33d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2071 N St Bonita Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 255 N Camino Mercado Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1041 | $1,660 | $1.59 | 0d | 64 | 1.40mi |
| 1766 E Bishop Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,840 | $1.41 | 74d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Listing status: ActiveLast updated May 15, 2026
- Financial info
- List price $189,995
Exterior
- Home design
- Spec inventory homePlan: 1110 North Henness Rd 2307
- Exterior features
- Located at 1110 N Henness Rd, Casa Grande, AZ 85122
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 bathrooms (full)
- Interior features
- Living area of 1179
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $154,995 Active 131 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $154,995 Active 130 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $154,995 Active 129 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $154,995 Active 128 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $154,995 Active 127 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $154,995 Active 126 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $154,995 Active 125 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $154,995 Active 124 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $154,995 Active 123 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $154,995 Active 122 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $154,995 Active 121 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $154,995 Active 120 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $154,995 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $154,995 Active 113 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $154,995 Active 112 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $154,995 Active 111 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $154,995 Active 108 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $154,995 Active 107 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $154,995 Active 106 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $154,995 Active 105 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $154,995 Active 104 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $154,995 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $154,995 Active 102 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $154,995 Active 101 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $154,995 Active 100 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $154,995 Active 99 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $154,995 Active 98 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $154,995 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $154,995 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $154,995 Active 95 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $154,995 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $154,995 Active 93 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $154,995 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $154,995 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $154,995 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $154,995 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $154,995 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $154,995 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $154,995 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $154,995 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $154,995 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $154,995 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $154,995 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $154,995 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $154,995 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $154,995 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $154,995 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $154,995 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $154,995 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $154,995 Active 70 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,658
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,325
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$2,298
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$552
- After-tax cash flow
- $858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This beautiful new 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is in excellent condition with a spacious kitchen and well-maintained exterior. It offers a great value for both resale and rental markets with minimal updates needed to maximize its potential.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value by making it more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's value and appeal to a wider range of potential buyers or renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
- NCES district ID
- 0401740
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,373
- Composite
- 15.38/100
- National rank
- #9319
- State rank
- #193 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Casa Grande
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #21534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Casa Grande, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 437,574 people
- City population
- 69,701
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,624
- Household income
- $68,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.32%
- Current HPI
- 233.148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…