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10601 Stephenson Dr
D+ Composite 47.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$121,500

10601 Stephenson Dr · Bastrop, LA 71220
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,482 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1954 0.33 ac lot $82/sqft · at area comps Est $123k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

COME ON IN AND TAKE A LOOK AT THIS BRICK HOME, OFFERING 3 BEDROOMS 2 BATHS, FENCED IN BACKYARD WITH SCREENED IN PORCH, CARPORT AND COVERED SITTING OUT FRONT. WHETHER YOUR JUST GETTING STARTED OR LOOKING TO DOWNSIZE, THIS MAY BE JUST THE PLACE FOR YOU. CALL YOUR FAVORITE REALTOR TODAY TO SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING!

Key facts

  • Screened in porch
  • Fenced in backyard
  • Carport

Tags

BRICK HOMEFENCED IN BACKYARDSCREENED IN PORCHCARPORTCOVERED SITTING OUT FRONT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site built); One story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Block construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built on 0.33-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Screened, covered patio/porch; Chain link fencing; Cleared lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows with blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (11.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#425 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Morehouse Parish (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in LA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Morehouse Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $840 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morehouse County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,004 (11.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.19%
Cash-on-cash
3.19%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,789
List price
$121,500
Delta
-1.05%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-9,360
Equity at exit
$23,020
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,202
Equity at exit
$19,126

Cash invested: $34,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71220

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,070 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$637
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $806/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$90

Break-even live

Break-even rent $956
Max offer price $121,500
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $159 -5% $125 +0% $90 +5% $56 +10% $22
Rent -10% $6 -5% $48 +0% $90 +5% $133 +10% $175
Rate -1.0pp $152 -0.5pp $121 base $90 +0.5pp $59 +1.0pp $27

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,375
Closing costs
$3,645
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $121,500 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $121,500 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $121,500 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $121,500 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $121,500 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $121,500 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $121,500 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $121,500 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $121,500 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $121,500 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $121,500 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $121,500 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $121,500 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $121,500 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $121,500 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $121,500 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $121,500 Active 31 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $121,500 Active 30 DOM
  19. 2026-04-30
    listed $121,500 Active 311-char remark
  20. 2007-05-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$806 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$806 · $67/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,840
− Mortgage interest
−$6,806
− Property taxes
−$806
− Insurance
−$608
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,027
− Management
−$1,027
− Depreciation
−$3,535
Taxable loss
−$968
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$232
After-tax cash flow
$1,317/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morehouse Parish
NCES district ID
2201110
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$30,482
Composite
11.46/100
National rank
#9704
State rank
#83 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bastrop

Score
50/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#25547

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
20,426

Population outlook (Morehouse County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,631 people
By 2030
22,114 · -6.4%
By 2040
19,203 · -18.7%
By 2050
16,698 · -29.3%
By 2075
11,998 · -49.2%
By 2100
8,622 · -63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (51%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Morehouse

2024 margin
R (+19.4) · D 39.7% · R 59.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -19.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.4 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+11.4 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+11.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.10%
Current HPI
171.3272
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $121,500 NELABOR
  • 2007-05-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $806 · +18.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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