2319 Parrot · Waco, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great possibilities with this cute 2 story, 2 bed and 2 full bath fixer upper. The home sits on a large lot, so there is plenty of room to grow. This has been a rental property for many years.
Key facts
- Large lot
- 0.25 acre lot
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Accepting Cash and Conventional financing; Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Carport (1 covered space); 1 carport space
- Utilities: City sewer; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Entry level: Multiple levels
- Construction: Built in 1934; Wood construction
- Exterior features: Circular driveway; Gravel surfaces; Lot under 0.5 acre (approx. 0.249 acre); Subdivision: Parrella; Directions: Going south on 25th Street, take a right on Parrot; house is on the left
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (Primary bedroom on level 2)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric cooling (window unit(s)); Natural gas heating; Space heater
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Two levels
- Laundry & utility: Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $639 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 3.9% in Waco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in TX, #4,378 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
- Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Provident Heights El (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 372 students, 95% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.49%
- DSCR
- 2.62
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $186,624
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2319 Parrot | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (0%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $65 | 93 |
| 2620 Lasker Ave | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+4%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $183 | 72 |
| 912 N 22nd St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,168 (+1%) | 2mo | $199,999 | $171 | 69 |
| 2805 Parrott Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,236 (+7%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $154 | 66 |
| 2013 Homan Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-8%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $164 | 64 |
| 3103 Homan Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,086 (-6%) | 2mo | $69,900 | $64 | 52 |
| 2110 Gorman Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (+9%) | 4mo | $214,999 | $172 | 52 |
| 1815 Maple Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $154 | 50 |
| 3005 Windsor Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,235 (+7%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $162 | 50 |
| 1521 Homan Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+9%) | 4mo | $169,900 | $135 | 48 |
| 2015 Gorman Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+15%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $106 | 41 |
| 2704 Herring Ave | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,286 (+12%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $163 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $25,822
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 36.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.06×
- Total profit
- $64,206
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76707
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,484 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $639
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2511 Parrott Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,695 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2225 Trice Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2225 Trice Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2224 Cumberland Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,075 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1821 Algonquin St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1815 Seneca Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1471 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2225 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,100 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2705 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,599 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2000 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2621 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,175 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2714 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1920 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3007 Parrott Ave Unit 1 Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1825 Cumberland Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,325 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2724 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2632 Colonial Ave Unit B Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1818 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,625 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1511 Maple Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $1,450 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2704 Herring Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $1,750 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3116 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2601 Herring Ave Unit 1 Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3121 Colonial Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3121 Colonial Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2504 Lyle Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,475 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2121 Lyle Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 615 N 23rd St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2712 Lyle Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2712 Lyle Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 608 N 23rd St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1361 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1216 Tennessee Ave Unit B Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,350 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1216 Tennessee Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,250 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2714 Morrow Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1484 | $1,375 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2313 Mitchell Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2712 Mitchell Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2601 Fort Ave Unit 4 Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $990 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3400 W Brookview Dr Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,209 | $1.40 | 14d | 5 | 0.89mi |
| 1600 N 11th St Unit A Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,750 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2805 Mitchell Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,145 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2717 Alexander Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2408 McKenzie Ave Unit A Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,350 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-30status $75,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-05-26$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,309 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,372 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$64/yr (+$5/mo · 4.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,805
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,309
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $6,890
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,654
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waco ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844280
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,208
- Composite
- 17.57/100
- National rank
- #9043
- State rank
- #773 of 826 in TX
Livability — Waco
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4378
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waco, TX
- County
- McLennan County · 213,088 people
- City population
- 125,319
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,879
- Household income
- $40,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 704.0
Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 264,191 people
- By 2030
- 273,578 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 291,506 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 308,044 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 349,648 · +32.3%
- By 2100
- 364,779 · +38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% Black 32% Two or more races 26% White 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 34% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McLennan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.95%
- Current HPI
- 239.639
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.14%
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $75,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2020): $1,309 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…