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807 Blair St
B+ Composite 78.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

807 Blair St · Portage, PA 15946
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,290 sqft · SingleFamily · 120 Days on market
Built 1910 2,178 sqft lot $43/sqft · 45% below area Est $99k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.

Key facts

  • Rear sunroom
  • Oak kitchen
  • Dining room

Tags

FORMAL LIVING ROOMDINING ROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSOAK KITCHENREAR SUNROOMENCLOSED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($952 rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#772 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Portage Area SD (town): math 46% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #120 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Portage Area El Sch (math 48% / reading 72%, grade B-, #371 of 1,518 statewide, top 25%, 448 students, 54% FRL); Portage Area Jshs (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #138 of 437 statewide, top 34%, 359 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,959 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
14.20%
Cash-on-cash
28.24%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,159
List price
$54,900
Delta
-44.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
506 Mountain Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,280 (-1%) 4mo $108,500 $85 75
1112 Sonman Ave 0.22mi 2/1.5 1,200 (-7%) 12mo $169,500 $141 66
1006 Jefferson Ave 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (-5%) 17mo $114,000 $93 66
1208 Sonman Ave 0.29mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,200 (-7%) 11mo $200,000 $167 58
841 Farren St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+13%) 6mo $116,500 $80 52
519 Orchard St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,408 (+9%) 13mo $22,250 $16 51
1319 Gillespie Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-13%) 10mo $60,000 $54 51
926 Webster Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (-13%) 11mo $100,000 $89 40
810 W Albright Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,204 (-7%) 14mo $169,900 $141 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$10,659
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$34,616
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15946

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$952 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $956/yr
Insurance
$23
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $565
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $337 -5% $322 +0% $306 +5% $291 +10% $275
Rent -10% $231 -5% $269 +0% $306 +5% $344 +10% $381
Rate -1.0pp $334 -0.5pp $320 base $306 +0.5pp $292 +1.0pp $277

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.

  2. 2026-04-17
    price $54,900 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.

  3. 2026-03-13
    price $64,900 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.

  4. 2026-02-19
    status Active 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.

  5. 2026-01-02
    status Pending 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.

  6. 2025-12-23
    status Active 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.

  7. 2025-11-12
    status Pending 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.

  8. 2025-10-07
    listed $74,900 Active 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.

  9. 2015-08-26
    soldstatus $68,000
  10. 1990-07-01
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$956 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$956 · $80/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,425
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$956
− Insurance
−$941
− Repairs & maintenance
−$914
− Management
−$914
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$3,028
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$727
After-tax cash flow
$2,947/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portage Area SD
NCES district ID
4219560
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,143
Composite
47.02/100
National rank
#2344
State rank
#120 of 539 in PA

Livability — Portage

Score
70/100
State rank
#772
US rank
#7786

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portage, PA
Population (ZIP)
6,630

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 22% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.66%
Current HPI
104.3539
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+128.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $54,900 AHARMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $64,900 AHARMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Relisted AHARMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Relisted AHARMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $74,900 AHARMLS
  • 2015-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 1990-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $956 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…