807 Blair St · Portage, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.
Key facts
- Rear sunroom
- Oak kitchen
- Dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($952 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#772 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Portage Area SD (town): math 46% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #120 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Portage Area El Sch (math 48% / reading 72%, grade B-, #371 of 1,518 statewide, top 25%, 448 students, 54% FRL); Portage Area Jshs (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #138 of 437 statewide, top 34%, 359 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.24%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,159
- List price
- $54,900
- Delta
- -44.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506 Mountain Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,280 (-1%) | 4mo | $108,500 | $85 | 75 |
| 1112 Sonman Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.5 | 1,200 (-7%) | 12mo | $169,500 | $141 | 66 |
| 1006 Jefferson Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-5%) | 17mo | $114,000 | $93 | 66 |
| 1208 Sonman Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (-7%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $167 | 58 |
| 841 Farren St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+13%) | 6mo | $116,500 | $80 | 52 |
| 519 Orchard St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,408 (+9%) | 13mo | $22,250 | $16 | 51 |
| 1319 Gillespie Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-13%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $54 | 51 |
| 926 Webster Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-13%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $89 | 40 |
| 810 W Albright Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (-7%) | 14mo | $169,900 | $141 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $10,659
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $34,616
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15946
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $952 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $956/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $337 | -5% $322 | +0% $306 | +5% $291 | +10% $275 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $231 | -5% $269 | +0% $306 | +5% $344 | +10% $381 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $334 | -0.5pp $320 | base $306 | +0.5pp $292 | +1.0pp $277 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.
-
2026-04-17price $54,900 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.
-
2026-03-13price $64,900 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.
-
2026-02-19status Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.
-
2026-01-02status Pending 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.
-
2025-12-23status Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.
-
2025-11-12status Pending 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.
-
2025-10-07$74,900 Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Portage area 2 story vinyl home features large formal living room and dining room with hardwood floors, oak kitchen, large rear sunroom/breakfast room and enclosed front porch. Second floor with large master bedroom with walk-in closet/dressing room plus second bedroom (no closet) and walk-up attic for storage. One car attached garage, fenced yard and loads of potential. Buyer to pay any required municipal sewer testing and/or repair escrow. Buyer responsible for required new water meter pit install. BUYER PAYS BOTH TRANSFER TAXES AND DEED PREP.
-
2015-08-26soldstatus $68,000
-
1990-07-01soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $956 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $956 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,425
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$956
- − Insurance
- −$941
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$914
- − Management
- −$914
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $3,028
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$727
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,947/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portage Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219560
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,143
- Composite
- 47.02/100
- National rank
- #2344
- State rank
- #120 of 539 in PA
Livability — Portage
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #7786
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portage, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,630
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 22% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.66%
- Current HPI
- 104.3539
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+128.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $54,900 AHARMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $64,900 AHARMLS
- 2026-02-19 Relisted — AHARMLS
- 2026-01-02 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2025-12-23 Relisted — AHARMLS
- 2025-11-12 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $74,900 AHARMLS
- 2015-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 1990-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2026): $956 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…