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1172 Melbourne Rd
B+ Composite 75.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

1172 Melbourne Rd · East Cleveland, OH 44112
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1912 3,920 sqft lot $29/sqft · 38% below area Est $72k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1172 Melbourne Rd, a classic Colonial-style home brimming with character, space, and opportunity. Offering approximately 1,536 square feet, this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath residence invites you to reimagine its full potential and bring your vision to life. From the moment you arrive, the deep covered front porch with stone accents sets a warm and welcoming tone—an ideal space to relax and take in the charm of this timeless façade. Step inside and discover a layout rich in traditional character, featuring a spacious living room anchored by a fireplace, creating a natural focal point for gatherings or future design inspiration. The adjoining dining area offers an elegant sett

Key facts

  • Functional footprint
  • Private balcony
  • Spacious living room

Tags

DEEP COVERED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMPRIVATE BALCONYDETACHED 2-CAR GARAGEFUNCTIONAL FOOTPRINT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2 stories; Frame construction with vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Brick/mortar and stone foundation
  • Construction: Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Porch; Balcony; Private entrance; City lot; Flat, level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7; Has basement (full, unfinished)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Hot water heating; Radiators; Steam heating
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Pantry; Storage; Natural woodwork; Bay windows; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $785 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.2% vs local median 17.4% in East Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#650 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • East Cleveland City School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #652 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,394/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $45k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.10%
Cap rate
27.23%
Cash-on-cash
74.78%
DSCR
4.33
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,081
List price
$45,000
Delta
-37.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1101 Carlyon Rd 0.14mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,570 (+2%) 21mo $79,900 $51 65
13411 6th Ave 0.67mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,468 (-4%) 9mo $113,000 $77 49
1863 Woodlawn Ave 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,688 (+10%) 3mo $399,900 $237 41
1855 Woodlawn Ave 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,688 (+10%) 6mo $399,900 $237 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
77.1%
Equity multiple
4.64×
Total profit
$45,833
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
81.3%
Equity multiple
10.34×
Total profit
$117,674
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44112

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,394 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $738/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$785

Break-even live

Break-even rent $400
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14120 Superior Ave Unit 1 East Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,350 $0.96 10d 1 0.50mi
14120 Superior Ave Unit 4 East Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1408 $1,350 $0.96 43d 1 0.50mi
12819 Edmonton Ave Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.0 1423 $1,795 $1.26 16d 1 0.61mi
12511 Euclid Ave Cleveland, OH 2.0 2.5 1300 $1,400 $1.08 43d 1 0.70mi
14009 Mayfair Ave Unit 2 East Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1144 $1,390 $1.22 43d 1 0.79mi
14005 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,570 $1.49 16d 1 0.82mi
13900 Potomac Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,355 $1.16 23d 1 0.84mi
14200 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,350 $1.07 16d 1 0.84mi
13438 Hartford Rd East Cleveland, OH 2.0 1.0 1920 $1,200 $0.62 43d 1 0.85mi
1459 E 134th St Unit up East Cleveland, OH 2.0 1.0 1150 $850 $0.74 10d 1 0.89mi
14312 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1090 $1,300 $1.19 4d 1 0.89mi
14205 Savannah Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,350 $1.16 16d 1 0.96mi
651 E 115th St Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1550 $1,800 $1.16 21d 1 0.97mi
1862 E 123rd St Cleveland, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 1107 $2,999 $2.71 1d 17 1.04mi
571 E 115th St Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 2220 $1,808 $0.81 16d 1 1.11mi
1545 Glenmont Rd Unit 1 East Cleveland, OH 2.0 1.0 1428 $800 $0.56 23d 1 1.12mi
1641 Coventry Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1848 $1,200 $0.65 16d 1 1.18mi
2827 Avondale Ave Apt 2 Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1680 $1,275 $0.76 23d 1 1.20mi
14120 Superior Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1390 $1,400 $1.01 43d 1 1.22mi
11471 Euclid Ave Cleveland, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $2,645 $2.92 3d 38 1.23mi
11420 Hessler Rd Cleveland, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0 969 $2,265 $2.34 16d 2 1.23mi
11350 Hessler Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,265 $1.74 7d 1 1.24mi
12314 Mayfield Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 2.5 2033 $3,859 $1.90 3d 9 1.27mi
1695 Glenmont Rd Unit 1695 Glenmont Lower Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1336 $1,435 $1.07 7d 1 1.29mi
1695 Glenmont Rd Unit Lower Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1336 $1,435 $1.07 23d 1 1.29mi
1633 Eddington Rd Unit 1 Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1538 $1,100 $0.72 23d 1 1.31mi
1605 Hillcrest Rd Cleveland, OH 2.0 1.0 1180 $1,245 $1.06 16d 1 1.32mi
14172 Superior Rd Unit 1 Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1446 $1,295 $0.90 23d 1 1.36mi
14172 Superior Rd Unit 2 Cleveland Heights, OH 2.0 1.0 1446 $1,195 $0.83 23d 1 1.36mi
2472 Overlook Rd #3 Cleveland, OH 2.0 1.0 1106 $1,850 $1.67 16d 1 1.37mi
2583 Overlook Rd Cleveland Heights, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 1004 $1,250 $1.24 23d 2 1.41mi
2878 Mayfield Rd Cleveland Heights, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 1060 $1,275 $1.20 23d 1 1.41mi
15801 Hazel Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.5 1908 $1,550 $0.81 16d 1 1.41mi
2580 Overlook Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0–2.0 1125 $1,740 $1.55 1d 12 1.44mi
14813 Alder Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1188 $1,150 $0.97 23d 1 1.47mi
2764 Lancashire Rd Cleveland, OH 2.0 2.0 1750 $1,545 $0.88 23d 1 1.48mi
2772 Lancashire Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1295 $1,400 $1.08 7d 2 1.48mi
2772 Lancashire Rd Unit 1 Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1295 $1,400 $1.08 23d 1 1.48mi
2729 Euclid Heights Blvd Apt 4 Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 23d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-04-29
    listed $50,000 Active 2048-char remark
  16. 1977-06-01
    soldstatus $20,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$738 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$738 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,729
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$738
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,338
− Management
−$1,338
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$9,260
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,222
After-tax cash flow
$7,199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Cleveland City School District
NCES district ID
3904390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$22,726
Composite
7.38/100
National rank
#9954
State rank
#652 of 656 in OH

Livability — East Cleveland

Score
66/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#11510

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Cleveland, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
17,848
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
17,848
Household income
$28,799
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
1702.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.61%
Current HPI
67.2162
Rent YoY
▲ 5.16%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+119.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $45,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $50,000 MLSNOW
  • 1977-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $738 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…