802 Georgia St · Coal Hill, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
No central Ac home sold as is
Key facts
- Built 1950
- Listed 2 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#105 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Westside School District (rural): math 20% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #216 of 238 in AR (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 99% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Johnson County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $80k implies a 471% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.57%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,200
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 S 7th | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-11%) | 8mo | $118,000 | $129 | 72 |
| 804 E Hwy 64 St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,167 (+14%) | 2mo | $92,000 | $79 | 66 |
| 300 Us-64 | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (+7%) | 20mo | $120,000 | $110 | 49 |
| 902 Rabbit Hill Rd | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,146 (+12%) | 12mo | $146,000 | $127 | 47 |
| 306 Us-64 | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 884 (-13%) | 22mo | $24,000 | $27 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $41,206
- Equity at exit
- $35,971
- IRR
- 32.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $102,408
- Equity at exit
- $55,436
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72832
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $464/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 E Highway 64 Coal Hill, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 29-char remark
-
2026-06-17$80,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $464 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $512 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$48/yr (+$4/mo · 10.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$464
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,927
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,183
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,769/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westside School District
- NCES district ID
- 0514020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,160
- Composite
- 15.81/100
- National rank
- #9265
- State rank
- #216 of 238 in AR
Livability — Coal Hill
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #10670
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coal Hill, AR
- City population
- 677
- Population (ZIP)
- 677
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,452 people
- By 2030
- 28,003 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 28,960 · +5.5%
- By 2050
- 29,627 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 31,000 · +12.9%
- By 2100
- 31,173 · +13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.3% · R 74.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.4pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+49.0 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+471.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $80,000 FSBO.com
- 2004-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $464 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…