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208 Center Ave
D Composite 40.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

208 Center Ave · Center City, MN 55012
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,213 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1918 7,100 sqft lot ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and inviting, this delightful older home in historic Center City boasts three cozy bedrooms and large eat in kitchen, Living and Dining rooms perfect for comfy living. A standout feature is the lovely screened porch, ideal for enjoying morning coffee or evening breezes in a serene setting. The spacious eat-in kitchen offers ample space for culinary creations and family gatherings. Situated conveniently close to picturesque lakes, vibrant playgrounds, and an array of restaurants, this home is perfectly located for both relaxation and recreation. Embrace the charm of historic living in this beautiful property! New roof in 2022 - siding in 2023. The beautiful Chisago Lakes areas boas

Key facts

  • Picturesque lakes
  • Screened porch
  • 7,100 sq ft lot

Tags

SCREENED PORCHSPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHENPICTURESQUE LAKESHIKING AND BIKING TRAILSWILDCAT COMMUNITY CENTER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1-car) with interior dimensions approximately 19 x 25
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Residential property; One-and-one-half story layout; City street frontage; public maintained road
  • Construction: Block and poured concrete foundation; Roof replaced or 8 years old or newer
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior siding; Screened porch/patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with window; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (one main-floor bedroom; two upper-level bedrooms); Flexible upper-level room usable as office/den
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One half bathroom in the basement
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating with boiler; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Informal dining area that can function as living/dining space; Screened porch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located on the lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-181/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (1.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (20.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#443 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Chisago Lakes School District (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #91 of 301 in MN (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 362 units permitted in Chisago County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chisago County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $215,326 (20.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.24%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-44,756
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-40,452
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55012

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,153 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,260/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$-15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,172
Max offer price $267,232
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    price $269,900 957-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    price $279,900 957-char remark
  3. 2026-04-23
    listed $298,000 Active 957-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,260 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,641 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$381/yr (+$32/mo · 16.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,839
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$2,260
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,067
− Management
−$2,067
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$4,875
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,170
After-tax cash flow
$989/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chisago Lakes School District
NCES district ID
2700017
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$71,167
Composite
45.18/100
National rank
#2674
State rank
#91 of 301 in MN

Livability — Center City

Score
67/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#10483

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Center City, MN
Population (ZIP)
1,995

Population outlook (Chisago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,187 people
By 2030
55,036 · -0.3%
By 2040
53,293 · -3.4%
By 2050
49,157 · -10.9%
By 2075
38,399 · -30.4%
By 2100
24,646 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 3% Native American 2% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 11% Romanian 4% Scottish 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chisago

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+29.2 2016: R+30.5 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+10.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.57%
Current HPI
298.1267
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $269,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $279,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $298,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,260 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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