🏷️ Likely Rental
904 Moore Lot 469 St #469 · Baraboo, WI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent opportunity to own this remodeled and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Blackhawk Manor. Featuring a new roof, new flooring, and brand-new appliances, this home is move-in ready. Enjoy the covered porch, plus an additional building that offers plenty of storage. Priced to sell?schedule your showing today! Lot Rent is $750 per month. Can be moved to a different location as well. At buyer's expense.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Plenty of storage
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Estimated finished above-grade living area about 1,120; Estimated total living area range 1,001–1,250
Exterior
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family home; One story; Builder-listed year built
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Vinyl exterior; Subdivision: Blackhawk Manor; Zoned residential
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: Main-level primary bedroom (14 x 12); Two additional main-level bedrooms (each 10 x 11)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; No primary ensuite
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heat
- Interior features: High speed internet
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Storage shed (included)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $962 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.0% vs local median 2.4% in Baraboo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#118 in WI, #3,059 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Baraboo School District (town): math 34% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #232 of 342 in WI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Baraboo High (math 31% / reading 31%, grade F, #204 of 483 statewide, top 43%, 917 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 527 units permitted in Sauk County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 91.82%
- DSCR
- 5.09
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,840
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 527 Badger Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 1mo | $167,500 | $168 | 47 |
| 426 Badger Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-8%) | 23mo | $224,900 | $218 | 36 |
| 414 Badger Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,014 (-10%) | 22mo | $210,000 | $207 | 29 |
| 202 Badger Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-15%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $189 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 92.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.30×
- Total profit
- $54,016
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 95.4%
- Equity multiple
- 11.02×
- Total profit
- $126,027
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53913
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,610 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $674/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $962
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 Ellis Ave Baraboo, WI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $1,850 | $1.83 | 14d | 4 | 0.80mi |
| 1101 Silver Dr Baraboo, WI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,399 | $1.47 | 14d | 9 | 0.83mi |
| 930 Spencer Ct Unit 930-105 Baraboo, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,750 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 922 Spencer Ct Unit 924-219 Baraboo, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $44,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-17price $44,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $54,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $54,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $54,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $62,500 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-03remarks 418-char remark
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2026-06-02days on market $62,500 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $62,500 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $62,500 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $62,500 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-26$62,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$674
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,546
- − Management
- −$1,546
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $11,514
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,763
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baraboo School District
- NCES district ID
- 5500810
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,101
- Composite
- 29.85/100
- National rank
- #6412
- State rank
- #232 of 342 in WI
Livability — Baraboo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #3059
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baraboo, WI
- County
- Sauk County · 36,155 people
- City population
- 21,704
- Metro
- Baraboo, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,704
- Household income
- $74,629
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 651.0
Population outlook (Sauk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,065 people
- By 2030
- 66,755 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 66,999 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 65,499 · -0.9%
- By 2075
- 60,000 · -9.2%
- By 2100
- 51,070 · -22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sauk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+18.5 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.28%
- Current HPI
- 195.5466
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baraboo, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $62,500 SCWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…