23634 Miller Rd · Athens, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute ,3 bedroom 1bath home on a large treed lot. Well maintained brick and Vinyl home, Freshly painted. LVP flooring in living room, 1 bedroom and Kitchen. Full bath with tile floors. All Kitchen appliances to remain, Tile back splash. 1 Car garage with opener. 29x6 Covered front porch and a 22x14 covered patio with privacy fence. Paved drive . Roof approx 8 years old.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Large lot
- Bonus flex space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,067 square feet
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water service; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1991; Residential property
- Construction: No fireplaces
- Exterior features: Half-acre lot (approx. 0.5 acre); Public water; Septic tank
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; One-level home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.6% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Limestone County (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #52 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Elkmont Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #296 of 627 statewide, top 49%, 376 students, 63% FRL); Elkmont High School (math 9% / reading 34%, grade F, #156 of 305 statewide, top 52%, 643 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 40% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 806 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.80%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,000
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- -14.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23634 Miller Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,067 (-9%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $141 | 84 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $10,767
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $54,136
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35613
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 806
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,799 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $347/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $549
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 194-char remark
-
2026-05-01$149,000 Active 194-char remark
-
2020-10-28soldstatus $108,000 Sold 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Cute ,3 bedroom 1bath home on a large treed lot. Well maintained brick and Vinyl home, Freshly painted. LVP flooring in living room, 1 bedroom and Kitchen. Full bath with tile floors. All Kitchen appliances to remain, Tile back splash. 1 Car garage with opener. 29x6 Covered front porch and a 22x14 covered patio with privacy fence. Paved drive . Roof approx 8 years old.
-
2020-10-23soldstatus $108,000
-
2020-09-07status Pending 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Cute ,3 bedroom 1bath home on a large treed lot. Well maintained brick and Vinyl home, Freshly painted. LVP flooring in living room, 1 bedroom and Kitchen. Full bath with tile floors. All Kitchen appliances to remain, Tile back splash. 1 Car garage with opener. 29x6 Covered front porch and a 22x14 covered patio with privacy fence. Paved drive . Roof approx 8 years old.
-
2020-09-03$105,900 Active 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Cute ,3 bedroom 1bath home on a large treed lot. Well maintained brick and Vinyl home, Freshly painted. LVP flooring in living room, 1 bedroom and Kitchen. Full bath with tile floors. All Kitchen appliances to remain, Tile back splash. 1 Car garage with opener. 29x6 Covered front porch and a 22x14 covered patio with privacy fence. Paved drive . Roof approx 8 years old.
-
2012-01-12soldstatus $54,000
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Bonus room could be used as 3rd bedroom. Treed lot, lots of privacy - privacy fence on both sides. List price assumes appliances do not work. Sold "as is." New roof on property.
-
2011-08-31$56,900
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Bonus room could be used as 3rd bedroom. Treed lot, lots of privacy - privacy fence on both sides. List price assumes appliances do not work. Sold "as is." New roof on property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $347 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $611 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$264/yr (+$22/mo · 76.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,593
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$347
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,727
- − Management
- −$1,727
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $4,366
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,048
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,543/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Limestone County
- NCES district ID
- 0102100
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,972
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6829
- State rank
- #52 of 129 in AL
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Limestone County · 80,439 people
- City population
- 55,492
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,523
- Household income
- $100,845
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 118.0
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.56%
- Current HPI
- 173.0763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+163.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $150,000 VMLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $149,000 VMLS
- 2020-10-28 Sold (MLS) $108,000 VMLS
- 2020-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-07 Pending — VMLS
- 2020-09-03 Listed $105,900 VMLS
- 2012-01-12 Sold (MLS) $54,000 VMLS
- 2011-08-31 Listed $56,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $347 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…