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1154 Summer Lakes Dr 🔨 Auction
F Composite 24.07
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Cash flow +3.9/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

1154 Summer Lakes Dr · Orlovista, FL 32835
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,676 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1989 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Foreclosure Auction Ends May 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Orlando community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa Home App.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1989

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R-1AA-C

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two stories; Residential property
  • Construction: Construction details: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 total room
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Front porch; Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $5,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $434,084 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#268 in FL, #4,405 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 130.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.51%
Cap rate
2.87%
Cash-on-cash
-12.21%
DSCR
0.46
GRM
16.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$434,084
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7609 Telegraph Hill Rd 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,718 (+2%) 2mo $355,000 $207 84
7106 Keel Ct 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,490 (-11%) 4mo $350,000 $235 57
8085 Sweetgum Loop 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,751 (+4%) 18mo $450,000 $257 50
7542 Herricks Loop 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,471 (-12%) 22mo $450,000 $306 48
200 Sweetbay Ln 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,527 (-9%) 19mo $395,000 $259 47
928 Summer Lakes Dr 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,835 (+10%) 20mo $478,990 $261 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-42.1%
Equity multiple
-0.28×
Total profit
$-155,617
Equity at exit
$64,723
10-year hold
IRR
-92.7%
Equity multiple
-1.16×
Total profit
$-262,077
Equity at exit
$37,532

Cash invested: $121,544 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32835

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,232 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,276
Tax est. 1.5%
$543 /mo · $6,511/yr
Insurance
$181
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$469
Net cashflow
$-1,237

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,797
Max offer price $255,123
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$108,521
Closing costs
$13,023
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
219 Ashbourne Dr Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $2,205 $2.04 7d 1 0.35mi
7205 Seamans Blf Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1511 $1,500 $0.99 2d 1 0.37mi
215 Dempsey Way Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,665 $1.46 14d 1 0.40mi
106 Cranfield Ct Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1263 $2,500 $1.98 22d 1 0.41mi
245 Alston Dr Orlando, FL 3.0 2.5 1385 $2,300 $1.66 4d 1 0.46mi
8019 Lesia Cir Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,700 $1.80 3d 1 0.46mi
7102 Harbor Heights Cir Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,400 $2.01 24d 1 0.49mi
7222 Nima Ct Orlando, FL 3.0 2.5 1449 $2,400 $1.66 14d 1 0.51mi
7832 Barberry Dr Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1521 $2,700 $1.78 22d 1 0.58mi
414 Sandpiper Ridge Dr Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1620 $2,500 $1.54 18d 1 0.60mi
371 Snowshoe Ct Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1417 $2,540 $1.79 14d 1 0.69mi
247 Grove St Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1113 $2,250 $2.02 24d 1 0.75mi
247 Grove St Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1113 $2,250 $2.02 2d 1 0.75mi
403 Crabtree Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1105 $2,095 $1.90 24d 1 0.78mi
325 Crabtree Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1749 $2,106 $1.20 22d 1 0.78mi
7200 Bay Club Way Orlando, FL 3.0 2.5 1991 $3,100 $1.56 24d 1 0.87mi
8008 Balasands Blvd Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1091 $2,290 $2.10 1d 11 0.94mi
1005 Delnova Ln Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1554 $2,650 $1.71 12d 1 1.24mi
204 Hawthorne Groves Blvd Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1126 $2,001 $1.78 2d 32 1.25mi
6215 Melbourne Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $850 $0.68 18d 1 1.28mi
1212 S Hiawassee Rd Orlando, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1229 $1,900 $1.55 24d 3 1.28mi
6029 Westgate Dr #712 Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1077 $1,599 $1.48 24d 1 1.30mi
1224 S Hiawassee Rd #620 Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1206 $1,875 $1.55 24d 1 1.33mi
6025 Westgate Dr Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,595 $1.78 2d 2 1.33mi
6025 Westgate Dr Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,595 $1.78 2d 3 1.33mi
6025 Westgate Dr #2512 Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1077 $1,595 $1.48 2d 1 1.33mi
6344 Raleigh St #1113 Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1248 $1,850 $1.48 22d 1 1.33mi
6119 Melbourne Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1109 $1,999 $1.80 20d 1 1.34mi
6324 Raleigh St Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,725 $1.62 24d 1 1.35mi
6324 Raleigh St #714 Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,700 $1.60 22d 1 1.35mi
5979 Westgate Dr #1021 Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1308 $1,800 $1.38 14d 1 1.36mi
6356 Raleigh St #1503 Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1051 $1,500 $1.43 24d 1 1.37mi
6368 Raleigh St Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1248 $1,850 $1.48 24d 1 1.39mi
6368 Raleigh St #1803 Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1051 $1,800 $1.71 24d 1 1.39mi
5971 Westgate Dr #1213 Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1077 $1,580 $1.47 20d 1 1.41mi
137 N Nowell St Orlando, FL 3.0 1.5 1167 $2,300 $1.97 18d 1 1.43mi
1109 Woodman Way Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,750 $1.56 22d 1 1.44mi
6101 Raleigh St Orlando, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1120 $1,956 $1.75 2d 41 1.45mi
929 Pahoa St Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1625 $2,390 $1.47 4d 1 1.46mi
1300 Woodman Way Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 1240 $2,300 $1.85 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    listed $5,000 Active
  2. 1999-09-20
    soldstatus $98,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,781
− Mortgage interest
−$24,315
− Property taxes
−$6,511
− Insurance
−$2,170
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,142
− Management
−$2,142
− Depreciation
−$12,628
Taxable loss
−$23,129
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,551
After-tax cash flow
$-9,290/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL

Livability — Orlovista

Score
74/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4405

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Orange County · 1,471,359 people
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
49,205
Household income
$71,418
Rent vs Own
51.9% rent · 48.1% own
Severe rent burden
2914.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
Race & ethnicity
White 33% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 19% Two or more races 19% Asian 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Estonian 9% Hispanic 7% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
38% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.26%
Current HPI
250.6804
Rent YoY
▼ -1.21%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-94.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 1999-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,746 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…