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909 Birkbeck St
A- Composite 82.94
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$110,000

909 Birkbeck St · Freeland, PA 18224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,530 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1920 2,613 sqft lot $72/sqft · 36% below area Est $149k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect starter home or investment property in Freeland. Laundry on first floor, large garage, walk up attic that could be finished.

Key facts

  • Large garage
  • Walk up attic
  • 2,613 sq ft lot

Tags

LAUNDRY ON FIRST FLOORLARGE GARAGEWALK UP ATTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 6.3% in Freeland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,409 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.65%
Cash-on-cash
15.55%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,367
List price
$110,000
Delta
-26.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
437 Alvin St 0.18mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,558 (+2%) 1mo $191,000 $123 81
315 Alvin St 0.16mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,498 (-2%) 5mo $130,000 $87 80
909 Birkbeck St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,320 (-14%) 0mo $110,000 $83 77
546 Johnson St 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (+1%) 9mo $215,000 $139 77
957 Chestnut St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,489 (-3%) 0mo $73,825 $50 72
169 Alvin St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,392 (-9%) 5mo $189,900 $136 68
505 Cedar St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,504 (-2%) 6mo $212,500 $141 66
635 Vine St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,438 (-6%) 3mo $145,000 $101 65
1130 Centre St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,680 (+10%) 6mo $294,900 $176 61
432 Park St 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,328 (-13%) 8mo $200,000 $151 52
340 Crescent Rd 0.34mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (-15%) 9mo $237,000 $182 42
458 Hemlock St 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,706 (+12%) 6mo $205,000 $120 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$85,345
Equity at exit
$99,097
10-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
8.51×
Total profit
$231,360
Equity at exit
$213,706

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18224

Home prices YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $945
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
109 Terrace Rd Freeland, PA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,450 $1.26 21d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    price $110,000 132-char remark
    Show marketing remark (132 chars)

    Perfect starter home or investment property in Freeland. Laundry on first floor, large garage, walk up attic that could be finished.

  2. 2026-03-10
    listed $115,000 Active 132-char remark
    Show marketing remark (132 chars)

    Perfect starter home or investment property in Freeland. Laundry on first floor, large garage, walk up attic that could be finished.

  3. 2025-06-19
    price $125,000
  4. 2025-06-02
    price $134,900
  5. 2022-10-31
    soldstatus $80,000 Closed
  6. 2022-09-23
    status Pending
  7. 2022-07-21
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,484 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,611 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$127/yr (+$11/mo · 8.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,400
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,484
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,392
− Management
−$1,392
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$3,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$773
After-tax cash flow
$4,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazleton Area SD
NCES district ID
4211700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$42,247
Composite
20.44/100
National rank
#8582
State rank
#476 of 539 in PA

Livability — Freeland

Score
61/100
State rank
#1409
US rank
#17813

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Freeland, PA
City population
5,954
Population (ZIP)
5,954

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Scotch-Irish 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.89%
Current HPI
270.8055
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $110,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $115,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-06-19 Price Changed $125,000 LCAR
  • 2025-06-02 Price Changed $134,900 LCAR
  • 2022-10-31 Sold (MLS) $80,000 LCAR
  • 2022-09-23 Pending LCAR
  • 2022-07-21 Listed $89,900 LCAR

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,484 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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