🏷️ Likely Rental
2401 W Route 66 #17 · Flagstaff, AZ
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Turnkey Charmer in Wildwood Hills Flagstaff Community ......Don't miss this rare opportunity to own a fully remodeled, fully furnished move-in-ready home in the peaceful community of Wildwood Hills in Flagstaff. Whether you're seeking a cool summer retreat or a year-round residence, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home checks all the boxes. Step inside to find a completely updated interior featuring new life-proof vinyl plank flooring, plush carpet in the bedrooms, and fresh drywall throughout. The kitchen has been fully upgraded with brand-new appliances, countertops, and modern cabinetry. Both bathrooms shine, with the master boasting dual sinks, a dedicated makeup vanity and two heating units for comfort. Enjoy practical perks like two A/C units, a re-leveled foundation with new piers, and a detached two-car garage with a built-in workbench. This home also includes new doors, window coverings, and comes fully furnished. Relax on the shaded front porch or enjoy the private, fenced backyard with a patio, perfect for entertaining or quiet evenings. The remodeled clubhouse with a pool and spa is just a short walk away. Land is leased for 1495/month and must be approved by park manager before submitting an offer. Call today to schedule a private showing.
Key facts
- Dual sinks
- Fully remodeled
- Modern cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (6.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (14.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.1% in Flagstaff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#167 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing B; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Flagstaff Unified District (4192) (urban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #158 of 249 in AZ (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Manuel Demiguel Elementary School (math 39% / reading 55%, grade D-, #308 of 1,109 statewide, top 29%, 579 students, 19% FRL); Mount Elden Middle School (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #134 of 218 statewide, top 63%, 757 students, 51% FRL); Flagstaff High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #154 of 381 statewide, top 53%, 1,620 students, 25% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 372 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $178k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.66%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $415,000
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- -47.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1407 S Union Pacific St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,121 (-3%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $384 | 73 |
| 1505 S Burlington St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,121 (-3%) | 12mo | $425,500 | $380 | 70 |
| 2412 W Rio Grande Ct | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+3%) | 9mo | $399,000 | $336 | 66 |
| 1314 S Burlington St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,094 (-5%) | 3mo | $430,000 | $393 | 66 |
| 2500 W Route 66 #118 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $90 | 66 |
| 1455 S Union Pacific St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (-2%) | 18mo | $435,000 | $384 | 62 |
| 2375 W Zepher Ave | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+7%) | 12mo | $439,000 | $356 | 62 |
| 1301 S Burlington St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-6%) | 12mo | $420,000 | $389 | 56 |
| 1290 S Burlington St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-6%) | 17mo | $426,500 | $395 | 51 |
| 1248 S Chattanooga St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+12%) | 1mo | $470,000 | $363 | 50 |
| 1758 W Sherrie Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+12%) | 1mo | $420,000 | $324 | 50 |
| 1675 W Sherrie Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+12%) | 3mo | $410,000 | $316 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-46,313
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -24.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-65,881
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 16 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.7 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $154,450 ($131/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 51 d
- This list price
- 62% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +175.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 86001
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,873 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $-100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $51 | -5% $-25 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-176 | +10% $-252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-248 | -5% $-174 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-26 | +10% $48 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $10 | -0.5pp $-45 | base $-100 | +0.5pp $-157 | +1.0pp $-215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2701 S Woody Mountain Rd Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1078 | $3,110 | $2.88 | 93d | 77 | 0.46mi |
| 2292 S Alvan Clark Blvd Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $1,701 | $1.74 | 93d | 12 | 0.64mi |
| 1385 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,725 | $1.90 | 93d | 3 | 0.77mi |
| 1000 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $1,925 | $2.03 | 93d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 927 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,806 | $2.93 | 93d | 11 | 0.94mi |
| 923 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 877 | $2,304 | $2.63 | 93d | 36 | 1.05mi |
| 1580 S Plaza Way Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $2,455 | $2.81 | 93d | 12 | 1.07mi |
| 800 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $3,535 | $4.17 | 93d | 32 | 1.09mi |
| 813 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 567 | $1,840 | $3.25 | 93d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1515 S Yale St Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,740 | $2.02 | 93d | 6 | 1.14mi |
| 700 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 675 | $1,735 | $2.57 | 93d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 600 W University Heights Dr N Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 766 | $2,254 | $2.94 | 93d | 4 | 1.38mi |
| 3200 S Litzler Dr Unit 9-236 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 776 | $1,800 | $2.32 | 93d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $219,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $219,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $219,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $219,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $219,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $219,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $219,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $219,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $219,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $219,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $219,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $219,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $219,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $219,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $219,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $219,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $219,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $219,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $219,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $219,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $219,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $219,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $219,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $219,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $219,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $219,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $219,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $219,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $219,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $219,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $219,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $219,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $219,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $219,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $219,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $219,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $219,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $219,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $219,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $219,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $219,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 93 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,285
- − Insurance
- −$1,892
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,798
- − Management
- −$1,798
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$4,937
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,185
- After-tax cash flow
- $-19/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This fully remodeled and furnished home in Wildwood Hills, Flagstaff, is move-in ready with updated interiors and a well-maintained exterior.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Trim the landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flagstaff Unified District (4192)
- NCES district ID
- 0402860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,510
- Composite
- 21.11/100
- National rank
- #8437
- State rank
- #158 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Flagstaff
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #18308
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flagstaff, AZ
- County
- Coconino County · 150,645 people
- City population
- 91,667
- Metro
- Flagstaff, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,312
- Household income
- $64,626
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 18% of renters
Population outlook (Coconino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 150,645 people
- By 2030
- 156,857 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 168,714 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 181,082 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 218,399 · +45.0%
- By 2100
- 238,853 · +58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 15% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coconino
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.9) · D 59.2% · R 39.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.9pp toward D · 2008: 17.0pp · 2024: 19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -488.37%
- Current HPI
- 393.2551
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.55%
- Metro
- Flagstaff, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+16.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $219,000 NAZMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $229,000 NAZMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $239,000 NAZMLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $249,000 NAZMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — NAZMLS
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $249,000 NAZMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $259,000 NAZMLS
- 2025-05-22 Listed $269,999 NAZMLS
- 2022-09-30 Sold (MLS) $178,000 NAZMLS
- 2022-08-08 Listing Removed — NAZMLS
- 2022-06-28 Price Changed $186,000 NAZMLS
- 2022-05-20 Listed $188,500 NAZMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…