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2401 W Route 66 #17 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 45.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -4.0

$219,000

2401 W Route 66 #17 · Flagstaff, AZ 86001
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 154 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1984 Good condition 5,227 sqft lot $190/sqft · 47% below area Est $415k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey Charmer in Wildwood Hills Flagstaff Community ......Don't miss this rare opportunity to own a fully remodeled, fully furnished move-in-ready home in the peaceful community of Wildwood Hills in Flagstaff. Whether you're seeking a cool summer retreat or a year-round residence, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home checks all the boxes. Step inside to find a completely updated interior featuring new life-proof vinyl plank flooring, plush carpet in the bedrooms, and fresh drywall throughout. The kitchen has been fully upgraded with brand-new appliances, countertops, and modern cabinetry. Both bathrooms shine, with the master boasting dual sinks, a dedicated makeup vanity and two heating units for comfort. Enjoy practical perks like two A/C units, a re-leveled foundation with new piers, and a detached two-car garage with a built-in workbench. This home also includes new doors, window coverings, and comes fully furnished. Relax on the shaded front porch or enjoy the private, fenced backyard with a patio, perfect for entertaining or quiet evenings. The remodeled clubhouse with a pool and spa is just a short walk away. Land is leased for 1495/month and must be approved by park manager before submitting an offer. Call today to schedule a private showing.

Key facts

  • Dual sinks
  • Fully remodeled
  • Modern cabinetry

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDFULLY FURNISHEDUPDATED INTERIORNEW APPLIANCESMODERN CABINETRYDUAL SINKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $219,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$415,000) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (14.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.1% in Flagstaff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#167 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing B; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Flagstaff Unified District (4192) (urban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #158 of 249 in AZ (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Manuel Demiguel Elementary School (math 39% / reading 55%, grade D-, #308 of 1,109 statewide, top 29%, 579 students, 19% FRL); Mount Elden Middle School (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #134 of 218 statewide, top 63%, 757 students, 51% FRL); Flagstaff High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #154 of 381 statewide, top 53%, 1,620 students, 25% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 372 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $178k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,294 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.66%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$415,000
List price
$219,000
Delta
-47.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1407 S Union Pacific St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,121 (-3%) 1mo $430,000 $384 73
1505 S Burlington St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,121 (-3%) 12mo $425,500 $380 70
2412 W Rio Grande Ct 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,188 (+3%) 9mo $399,000 $336 66
1314 S Burlington St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,094 (-5%) 3mo $430,000 $393 66
2500 W Route 66 #118 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-8%) 14mo $95,000 $90 66
1455 S Union Pacific St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,134 (-2%) 18mo $435,000 $384 62
2375 W Zepher Ave 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,232 (+7%) 12mo $439,000 $356 62
1301 S Burlington St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,080 (-6%) 12mo $420,000 $389 56
1290 S Burlington St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,080 (-6%) 17mo $426,500 $395 51
1248 S Chattanooga St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+12%) 1mo $470,000 $363 50
1758 W Sherrie Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+12%) 1mo $420,000 $324 50
1675 W Sherrie Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+12%) 3mo $410,000 $316 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.4%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-46,313
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
-24.6%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-65,881
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
16 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
10.7 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$154,450 ($131/sqft)
Median days on market
51 d
This list price
62% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+175.3% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 86001

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,873 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax est. 1.5%
$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
Insurance
$91
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$-100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,000
Max offer price $204,487
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $51 -5% $-25 +0% $-100 +5% $-176 +10% $-252
Rent -10% $-248 -5% $-174 +0% $-100 +5% $-26 +10% $48
Rate -1.0pp $10 -0.5pp $-45 base $-100 +0.5pp $-157 +1.0pp $-215

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2701 S Woody Mountain Rd Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1078 $3,110 $2.88 93d 77 0.46mi
2292 S Alvan Clark Blvd Flagstaff, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 978 $1,701 $1.74 93d 12 0.64mi
1385 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 2.0 906 $1,725 $1.90 93d 3 0.77mi
1000 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 2.0 947 $1,925 $2.03 93d 1 0.89mi
927 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 958 $2,806 $2.93 93d 11 0.94mi
923 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 877 $2,304 $2.63 93d 36 1.05mi
1580 S Plaza Way Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $2,455 $2.81 93d 12 1.07mi
800 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 847 $3,535 $4.17 93d 32 1.09mi
813 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 567 $1,840 $3.25 93d 1 1.13mi
1515 S Yale St Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $1,740 $2.02 93d 6 1.14mi
700 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 675 $1,735 $2.57 93d 1 1.14mi
600 W University Heights Dr N Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 766 $2,254 $2.94 93d 4 1.38mi
3200 S Litzler Dr Unit 9-236 Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 2.0 776 $1,800 $2.32 93d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $219,000 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $219,000 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $219,000 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $219,000 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $219,000 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $219,000 Active 142 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $219,000 Active 140 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $219,000 Active 139 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $219,000 Active 138 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $219,000 Active 137 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $219,000 Active 136 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $219,000 Active 133 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $219,000 Active 131 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $219,000 Active 130 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $219,000 Active 129 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $219,000 Active 128 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $219,000 Active 127 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $219,000 Active 126 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $219,000 Active 125 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $219,000 Active 124 DOM
  25. 2026-07-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 123 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 122 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $219,000 Active 121 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $219,000 Active 120 DOM
  29. 2026-07-04
    days on market $219,000 Active 119 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 118 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 117 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 116 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $219,000 Active 115 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $219,000 Active 114 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $219,000 Active 113 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $219,000 Active 112 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $219,000 Active 111 DOM
  38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $219,000 Active 110 DOM
  39. 2026-06-23
    days on market $219,000 Active 107 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $219,000 Active 106 DOM
  41. 2026-06-19
    days on market $219,000 Active 104 DOM
  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,000 Active 103 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,000 Active 102 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,000 Active 101 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,000 Active 100 DOM
  46. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,000 Active 98 DOM
  47. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,000 Active 97 DOM
  48. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,000 Active 95 DOM
  49. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,000 Active 94 DOM
  50. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 93 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,475
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$3,285
− Insurance
−$1,892
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,798
− Management
−$1,798
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable loss
−$4,937
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,185
After-tax cash flow
$-19/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,760–$17,280 screening

This fully remodeled and furnished home in Wildwood Hills, Flagstaff, is move-in ready with updated interiors and a well-maintained exterior.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Trim the landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 30/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Manuel Demiguel Elementary School D- AZ #308/1,109 Nat'l #14,504/41,679 Middle Mount Elden Middle School F AZ #134/218 Nat'l #11,801/14,009 High Flagstaff High School F AZ #154/381 Nat'l #12,478/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flagstaff Unified District (4192)
NCES district ID
0402860
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$53,510
Composite
21.11/100
National rank
#8437
State rank
#158 of 249 in AZ
C Composite livability gradescore 61/100

Livability — Flagstaff

Score
61/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#18308

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment C- Housing B Health & safety C+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flagstaff, AZ
County
Coconino County · 150,645 people
City population
91,667
Metro
Flagstaff, AZ
Population (ZIP)
37,312
Household income
$64,626
Rent vs Own
63.2% rent · 36.8% own
Severe rent burden
18% of renters

Population outlook (Coconino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
150,645 people
By 2030
156,857 · +4.1%
By 2040
168,714 · +12.0%
By 2050
181,082 · +20.2%
By 2075
218,399 · +45.0%
By 2100
238,853 · +58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 15% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coconino

2024 margin
D (+19.9) · D 59.2% · R 39.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+2.9pp toward D · 2008: 17.0pp · 2024: 19.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+17.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+16.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $219,000 NAZMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $229,000 NAZMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $239,000 NAZMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $249,000 NAZMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed NAZMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $249,000 NAZMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Price Changed $259,000 NAZMLS
  • 2025-05-22 Listed $269,999 NAZMLS
  • 2022-09-30 Sold (MLS) $178,000 NAZMLS
  • 2022-08-08 Listing Removed NAZMLS
  • 2022-06-28 Price Changed $186,000 NAZMLS
  • 2022-05-20 Listed $188,500 NAZMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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