216 Brookhollow Dr · Ashland City, TN
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This move-in ready home is perfect to live in or add to your rental portfolio. Enjoy relaxing on the covered front porch and appreciate the low-maintenance red metal roof and white siding installed over vinyl for extra insulation. Home comes with gas range, microwave and refrigerator. 08x08 storage building remains.
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Built 1973
- Listed 33 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: $377 annual tax (as reported)
Exterior
- Parking: No covered parking listed; No parking total listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Residential mobile home; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 0.33 acres (approx. dimensions 75 x 200)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating with propane; Wall/window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.4% in Ashland City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Cheatham County (rural): math 24% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #74 of 139 in TN (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ashland City Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #496 of 952 statewide, top 55%, 443 students, 0% FRL); Cheatham Co Central (math 2% / reading 32%, grade F, #215 of 332 statewide, top 67%, 581 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 271 units permitted in Cheatham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $115k implies a 1433% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.05%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,652
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $24,266
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37015
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $377/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $337
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $402 | -5% $370 | +0% $337 | +5% $305 | +10% $272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $229 | -5% $283 | +0% $337 | +5% $392 | +10% $446 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $395 | -0.5pp $367 | base $337 | +0.5pp $308 | +1.0pp $277 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-16$115,000 Active 589-char remark
-
2026-05-14historical $115,000 589-char remark
-
2026-05-10historical 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
This move-in ready home is perfect to live in or add to your rental portfolio. Enjoy relaxing on the covered front porch and appreciate the low-maintenance red metal roof and white siding installed over vinyl for extra insulation. Home comes with gas range, microwave and refrigerator. 08x08 storage building remains.
-
2026-04-08price $115,000 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
This move-in ready home is perfect to live in or add to your rental portfolio. Enjoy relaxing on the covered front porch and appreciate the low-maintenance red metal roof and white siding installed over vinyl for extra insulation. Home comes with gas range, microwave and refrigerator. 08x08 storage building remains.
-
2026-02-09$129,900 Active 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
This move-in ready home is perfect to live in or add to your rental portfolio. Enjoy relaxing on the covered front porch and appreciate the low-maintenance red metal roof and white siding installed over vinyl for extra insulation. Home comes with gas range, microwave and refrigerator. 08x08 storage building remains.
-
2004-03-30soldstatus $7,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $377 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $816 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$440/yr (+$37/mo · 116.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$377
- − Insurance
- −$1,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,323
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$558
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cheatham County
- NCES district ID
- 4700570
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,027
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7949
- State rank
- #74 of 139 in TN
Livability — Ashland City
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #12483
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland City, TN
- County
- Cheatham County · 18,988 people
- City population
- 18,988
- Metro
- Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,988
- Household income
- $79,092
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 396.0
Population outlook (Cheatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,312 people
- By 2030
- 41,739 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 41,726 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 40,413 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 37,125 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 31,619 · -23.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cheatham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.3% · R 72.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.7pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+44.0 2016: R+46.9 2012: R+37.0 2008: R+31.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.06%
- Current HPI
- 313.8358
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.13%
- Metro
- Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+1433.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $115,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Coming Soon $115,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-10 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $115,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Listed $129,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.9%/yrLatest (2025): $377 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…